ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ARCB // ArcBest Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000894405 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$125.44 ▼ -0.97 (-0.77%)
MKT CAP: $2.80B • VOL: 186.3K
ARCB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 56/100 [D+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
55 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +82% vs NI -65.5% • ROIC-WACC -4.3% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.37
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
13 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 7 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ARCB's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ARCB is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ARCB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.40%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $126.4H $126.4L $125.4C $125.4VOL 186.3K
RES: $130.7SUP: $116.1SMA50: $131.2SMA200: $124.9
$183.2$156.3$129.4$102.6$75.70RES $130.7SUP $116.1$125.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
ARCB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 36/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.4% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 15.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 2.3% operating margin and 5.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.4% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -4.0% paired with 4.04% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -4.0% // FCF YLD: 4.04%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 47.0x trailing P/E (43.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 47.0x // EV/EBITDA: 15.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $125.44 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend 1.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.5% // D/E: 0.10x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 43.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 47.0x
FORWARD P/E 43.7x
EV / EBITDA 15.2x
FCF YIELD 4.04%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 2.3%
NET MARGIN 1.5%
ROIC % 5.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -4.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.69
DEBT / EQUITY 0.10x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.39%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 42.4
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ARCBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $114.78
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ARCB & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>