ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AN // AutoNation Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000350698 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations
$179.64 ▲ +10.30 (+6.08%)
MKT CAP: $5.60B • VOL: 1.25M
AN // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 40/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
40 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -120% vs NI -6.2% • ROIC-WACC +11.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
7 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 21% • VS 200D -12.3% • RSI 52.4
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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AN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.36%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $164.2H $179.6L $164.2C $179.6VOL 999.4K
RES: $192.0SUP: $141.8SMA50: $175.8SMA200: $193.2
$241.7$217.3$193.0$168.6$144.3RES $192.0SUP $141.8$179.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
AN // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 53/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

AutoNation Inc. (AN) exhibits 17.9% gross margins and 18.9% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), balanced against a 5.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 17.9% gross profitability converts into 4.5% operating margin and 18.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.9% // GM: 17.9%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.2% paired with -3.53% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.2% // FCF YLD: -3.53%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.20 // F-SCORE: 2/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.6x trailing P/E (8.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.6x // EV/EBITDA: 5.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $179.64 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations require continuous execution to defend 2.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 2.3% // D/E: 1.24x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 8.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.07).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.6x
FORWARD P/E 8.0x
EV / EBITDA 5.6x
FCF YIELD -3.53%
GROSS MARGIN 17.9%
OPERATING MARGIN 4.5%
NET MARGIN 2.3%
ROIC % 18.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $19.63
DEBT / EQUITY 1.24x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.07
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ANPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $164.38
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AN & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>