ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AMTM // Amentum Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002011286 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$22.47 ▲ +0.60 (+2.74%)
MKT CAP: $5.35B • VOL: 2.79M
AMTM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 55/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
55 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI +180.5% • ROIC-WACC -3.4% • Z 1.96
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 20% • VS 200D -10% • RSI 64.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
14 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 6 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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AMTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.77%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $22.07H $22.47L $21.87C $22.47VOL 3.04M
RES: $25.78SUP: $16.74SMA50: $19.89SMA200: $24.29
$28.31$25.44$22.57$19.70$16.83RES $25.78SUP $16.74$22.472026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
AMTM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 61/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM) exhibits 10.5% gross margins and 4.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 18.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 10.5% gross profitability converts into 3.3% operating margin and 4.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.6% // GM: 10.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +71.6% paired with 9.56% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +71.6% // FCF YLD: 9.56%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.96 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.96 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 81.8x trailing P/E (68.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 81.8x // EV/EBITDA: 18.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $22.47 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 0.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.5% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 68.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.11).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 81.8x
FORWARD P/E 68.7x
EV / EBITDA 18.0x
FCF YIELD 9.56%
GROSS MARGIN 10.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 3.3%
NET MARGIN 0.5%
ROIC % 4.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +71.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.27
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.11
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AMTMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $20.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>