ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ALL // Allstate Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000899051 ↗
Financials • Property-Casualty Insurers
$259.87 ▲ +3.95 (+1.54%)
MKT CAP: $64.71B • VOL: 1.52M
ALL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 78/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
78 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 76% • VS 200D +11.8% • RSI 60.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.08 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.09
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did ALL's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic Fundamentals sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ALL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ALL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $250.2H $259.9L $250.2C $259.9VOL 1.22M
RES: $262.4SUP: $213.4SMA50: $245.4SMA200: $229.0
$282.5$260.7$239.0$217.2$195.5RES $262.4SUP $213.4$259.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ALL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 54/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Allstate Corporation (ALL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 18.2% return on invested capital within Financials (Property-Casualty Insurers), balanced against a 7.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 18.3% operating margin and 18.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.6% paired with 15.27% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.6% // FCF YLD: 15.27%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 6.4x trailing P/E (6.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 6.4x // EV/EBITDA: 7.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $259.87 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Property-Casualty Insurers require continuous execution to defend 15.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 6.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.91).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 6.4x
FORWARD P/E 6.0x
EV / EBITDA 7.0x
FCF YIELD 15.27%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 18.3%
NET MARGIN 15.0%
ROIC % 18.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $40.20
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.60%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 60.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.91
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $237.79
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ALL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>