ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AKA // a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001865107 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Catalog/Specialty Distribution
$10.18 ▼ -0.51 (-4.77%)
MKT CAP: $111.9M • VOL: 4.3K
AKA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 33/100 [E] (-8 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
25 / 100 -8D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF +94.2% vs NI -20.9% • ROIC-WACC -15.3% • Z 0.53
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
5 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 29% • VS 200D -3.1% • RSI 44
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.00 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.13
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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AKA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.75%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $10.69H $10.69L $10.18C $10.18VOL 4.3K
RES: $11.10SUP: $9.63SMA50: $10.67SMA200: $10.51
$12.68$11.52$10.37$9.22$8.06RES $11.10SUP $9.63$10.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
AKA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (AKA) exhibits 57.3% gross margins and -7.8% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 57.3% gross profitability converts into -3.0% operating margin and -7.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -7.8% // GM: 57.3%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +4.4% paired with -0.54% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +4.4% // FCF YLD: -0.54%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.53 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.53 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $10.18 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Catalog/Specialty Distribution require continuous execution to defend -5.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -5.2% // D/E: 1.07x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -0.54%
GROSS MARGIN 57.3%
OPERATING MARGIN -3.0%
NET MARGIN -5.2%
ROIC % -7.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +4.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 1.07x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.0
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AKAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.32
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>