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York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$5.99 -5.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.92

York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $868.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $5.99 (-5.22% 1D, market cap $868.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, YSS ranks #300 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), YSS carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $739.3M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $567.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?
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Per YSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002086587), York Space Systems Inc. generated $619.7M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.48B in total assets and $145.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.92 (-1.13%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$47 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE YSS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YSS SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.9% FCF Margin ($24.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$6.56-12.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$5.73+13.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$6.49-7.7% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$5.99-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YSS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YSS currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.83) and Max Pain ($6.29) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How YSS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$24.3M (3.9% FCF Margin)
Revenue$619.7MGross Profit $322.2M (52%)Cost of Sales $297.4MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $322.2MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY25
Rev $619.7M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$619.7M52%0%$0$015%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YSS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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YSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -81.32%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $6.99H $6.99L $5.99C $5.99VOL 1.47M
RES: $6.30SUP: $4.72SMA50: $7.83SMA200: $20.52
$40.25$30.84$21.43$12.01$2.60RES $6.30SUP $4.72$5.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YSS Butterfly Map → + Track YSS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSS)

Industrials Rank #300 of 485 ⚔️ CDNL vs YSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (YSS vs. CDNL, PKE, VOYG, XTND)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) ranks #300 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #260 by equity capitalization ($868.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CDNL leads on earnings valuation at 33.7x trailing P/E, while CDNL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 54.6% ROIC and — gross margin. PKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with YSS at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YSS ACTIVE
York Space Systems Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -5.22% $868.1M Benchmark Subject
CDNL
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 41/100 33.7x — 54.6% +0.98% $739.3M /cdnl-vs-yss →
PKE
Park Aerospace Corp.
C- 60/100 — 30.9% 19.0% +0.89% $567.5M /pke-vs-yss →
VOYG
Voyager Technologies Inc. (Class A)
E 16/100 — 18.0% -35.0% -6.96% $1.64B /voyg-vs-yss →
XTND
Xtend AI Robotics Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -15.58% $438.7M /xtnd-vs-yss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002086587

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) reported GAAP revenue of $619.7M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, YSS closed FY2025 with $1.48B in total assets against $145.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $619.7M $0 — — $1.48B $145.0M

3. YSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, York Space Systems Inc. (NYSE: YSS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $5.99 (-5.22% 1D, market cap $868.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, YSS ranks #300 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YSS compare to CDNL and PKE in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), YSS carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CDNL (Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E 33.7x, ROIC 54.6%, cap $739.3M) and PKE (Park Aerospace Corp.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 19.0%, cap $567.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CDNL leads on earnings multiple (33.7x) while CDNL leads on capital efficiency (54.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSS?

Per YSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002086587), York Space Systems Inc. generated $619.7M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.48B in total assets and $145.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSS last traded at $5.99 (-5.22% on volume of 1,439,851 shares), positioning the stock -23.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.83) and -70.81% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.52). Across its 52-week range of $5.52 to $44.54, YSS sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.24 to $6.74).

Direct Sub-Reports: YSS RQD Cockpit YSS 12M Forecast YSS Earnings & Move YSS Dividends & DRIP YSS Insiders & 13F YSS Whale Options YSS Profit Sankey YSS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

YSS — York Space Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.99 (-5.22% 1D, market capitalization $868.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of 0.14x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (YSS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Military/Government/Technical industry. Market capitalization is listed at $1.0B in the profile and $960.1M in market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) reported $619.7M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $1.48B in total assets against $145.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.52 – $44.54 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are recorded (supply_chain: NONE, butterfly_links: empty). For a prospective investor, the watch items are the Space Force delivery timeline (stated as on track for the fourth quarter) and the litigation timeline tied to the October 30, 2026 lead plaintiff deadline, since either could ripple into the stock independent of supply-chain linkages.

  • Key Question #1: Can YSS sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $619.7M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $145.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is YSS's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

YSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YSS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.99?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YSS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on YSS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.03 (+27.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.14, and cash of $162.6M exceeds debt of $14

Forensic balance sheet scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.14, and cash of $162.6M exceeds debt of $145.0M.. When you look under the hood at YSS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $44.54. My 12M target is $8.03.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 44/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.32 and keeping dry powder in case we test $5.88.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.80 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $6.32

ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, reported FY 2025 revenue is $0.0M, and a securities fraud class action is filed after a 10% decline.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on YSS: ROIC and FCF yield are both 0%, reported FY 2025 revenue is $0.0M, and a securities fraud class action is filed after a 10% decline.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Military/Government/Technical triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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