XPEL Inc. (XPEL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$45.65 -0.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.74

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.26B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XPEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?
▼

Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.74 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (19)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$59 Bull$49 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE XPEL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XPEL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($62.9M FCF) & 42.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.4) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$44.15+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$44.13-3.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$42.40+7.7% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$45.65+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XPEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, XPEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($45.99) or 200D SMA ($46.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.53) toward Bear Floor ($37.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XPEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $23,892

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $430/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$13.0K
Yr 3
$14.2K
Yr 4
$15.5K
Yr 5
$16.9K
Yr 6
$18.4K
Yr 7
$20.1K
Yr 8
$21.9K
Yr 9
$23.9K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in XPEL & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on XPEL and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
XPEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.74%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $43.87H $45.78L $43.87C $45.65VOL 249.8K
RES: $51.45SUP: $41.98SMA50: $45.99SMA200: $46.16
$53.55$49.83$46.11$42.39$38.68RES $51.45SUP $41.98$45.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
18.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPEL)

Industrials Rank #37 of 485 ⚔️ FOIL vs XPEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XPEL vs. FOIL, TRS, PKOH, AZZ)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPEL Inc. (XPEL) ranks #37 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #235 by equity capitalization ($1.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XPEL ACTIVE
XPEL Inc.
B 72/100 24.6x 42.2% 21.6% -0.28% $1.26B Benchmark Subject
FOIL
Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five
D 45/100 — — — -3.18% $1.21B /foil-vs-xpel →
TRS
TriMas Corporation
D+ 53/100 11.5x 21.4% 4.8% -1.40% $1.39B /trs-vs-xpel →
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.
D+ 53/100 27.4x 17.0% 15.6% -4.13% $652.1M /pkoh-vs-xpel →
AZZ
AZZ Inc.
C+ 66/100 13.0x 23.9% 11.3% -2.59% $4.13B /azz-vs-xpel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001767258

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XPEL Inc. (XPEL) reported GAAP revenue of $476.2M (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.4M , and +20.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.2M, operating cash flow of $66.9M, and free cash flow of $62.9M (+53.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPEL closed FY2025 with $382.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.04, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $476.2M $51.2M $66.9M $62.9M $382.5M $0
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $420.4M $45.5M $47.8M $41.1M $285.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $396.3M $52.8M $37.4M $37.4M — —

3. XPEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.65 (-0.28% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #37 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?

Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPEL last traded at $45.65 (-0.28% on volume of 155,300 shares), positioning the stock -0.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($45.99) and -1.10% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.16). Across its 52-week range of $31.88 to $55.91, XPEL sits at the 57.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($42.64 to $48.66).

XPEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does XPEL pay a dividend and is it safe?

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XPEL — XPEL Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:29:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XPEL scores 72 out of 100, earning a letter grade of B and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 19 of 20, supported by ROIC of 21.6% and an FCF yield of 4.99%; for a prospective investor this is the strongest part of the case, indicating the business converts capital into cash at a high rate relative to its capital base. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 17 of 20, referencing SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which suggests insider-side activity has been supportive, though the source does not itemize individual transactions. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 16 of 20, with an Altman Z of 11.04, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5; these readings point to a financially sturdy profile. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 10 of 20 and the Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 10 of 20, with beta at 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted; these are the two areas where the rating offers less conviction. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are cash generation and balance sheet strength, while the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 24.6 and a forward P/E of 20.7 per the market data, so the premium must be weighed against the cash-flow profile. The lower institutional-flow and macro-fit scores mean the rating is not uniformly strong across all five pillars.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45.78$1.26B24.620.718.31.860%1.0$31.88 - $55.9121.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$476.2M$62.6M$51.2MN/A$62.9M$50.9M$0.0M
FY 2024$420.4M$59.1M$45.5MN/A$41.1M$22.1MN/A
FY 2023$396.3M$67.0M$52.8MN/A$37.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $396.3M in FY 2023 to $476.2M in FY 2025, while operating income moved from $67.0M to $62.6M over the same span, and free cash flow increased from $37.4M to $62.9M. The market data reports a net margin of 10.8% and ROIC of 21.6%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 11.04 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The FY 2025 period shows debt at $0.0M and cash at $50.9M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the headlines include a Yahoo Finance report on XPEL stock forecasts, a GuruFocus report on a new facility in São Paulo intended to boost Brazilian operations, and a TradingView item stating a Q3'26 earnings revenue estimate of 138.75M USD. A Stock Titan item concerns a Las Vegas car show appearance and a Yahoo Finance item covers the opening of a Brazil headquarters, warehouse, and training center in São Paulo. A MarketBeat report notes that Isthmus Partners LLC purchased 39,505 shares of XPEL. The Brazil facility items are the most directly company-specific catalysts; the car-show item appears unrelated to operations. The Isthmus purchase is the only item flagged as a CATALYST rather than MARKET WIRE. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's product mix, customer base, and revenue model, given that the business description is absent from the source data?
  • What were the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the financials list EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the debt and cash position for FY 2023 and FY 2024, which are listed as N/A in parts?
  • What analyst consensus, price targets, and institutional or insider holdings exist, given that analyst and holder data are unavailable?
  • How does the Brazil expansion and the Q3'26 revenue estimate relate to reported margin and cash-flow trends?

XPEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for XPEL Inc. (XPEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XPEL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XPEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $45.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XPEL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XPEL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.02 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XPEL (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $45.78?

Welcome to the XPEL (XPEL Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Industrial Specialties. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.00 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $45.78

Pump the brakes on XPEL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XPEL, but look at what you are paying: 24.6x trailing P/E with 42.2% gross margins. Unless XPEL Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.94 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $45.78

XPEL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XPEL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Specialties and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.78 (52-wk range $31.88 - $55.91), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%