Stock Ratings / Technology / XBP / options

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XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.64 -10.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.59

XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $37.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, XBP Global Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: XBP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $2.64 (-10.51% 1D, market cap $37.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, XBP ranks #484 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XBP compare to GMHS and PHUN in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), XBP carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GMHS (Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 9.8x, ROIC —, cap $37.0M) and PHUN (Phunware Inc.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $38.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GMHS leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while SJ leads on capital efficiency (-20.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBP?

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Per XBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001839530), XBP Global Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $902.1M in total assets and $353.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.59 (-2.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XBP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XBP SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.22-9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.93-4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.81-6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.64-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XBP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XBP currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.02) and Max Pain ($2.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XBP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XBP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±11.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (XBP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for XBP.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XBP)

✓Walkthrough of XBP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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XBP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.97%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $2.95H $2.95L $2.64C $2.64VOL 1.6K

RES: $4.19SUP: $2.10SMA50: $3.02SMA200: $3.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XBP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XBP Butterfly Map → + Track XBP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XBP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XBP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XBP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XBP)

Technology Rank #484 of 714 ⚔️ GMHS vs XBP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (XBP vs. GMHS, PHUN, SJ, ODYS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) ranks #484 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #576 by equity capitalization ($37.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GMHS leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while SJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -20.2% ROIC and 18.3% gross margin. GMHS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with XBP at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XBP ACTIVE XBP Global Holdings Inc.	D-	39/100	—	—	—	-10.51%	$37.4M	Benchmark Subject
GMHS Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	9.8x	52.7%	—	-4.91%	$37.0M	/gmhs-vs-xbp →
PHUN Phunware Inc.	E	22/100	—	50.6%	-35.0%	+0.54%	$38.7M	/phun-vs-xbp →
SJ Scienjoy Holding Corporation (Class A)	D	45/100	—	18.3%	-20.2%	-1.18%	$35.7M	/sj-vs-xbp →
ODYS Odysight.ai Inc.	E	26/100	—	28.9%	-35.0%	+6.07%	$39.7M	/odys-vs-xbp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001839530

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $872.7M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, XBP closed FY2025 with $902.1M in total assets against $353.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$902.1M	$353.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$872.7M	-$215.2M	$23.3M	$17.0M	$390.4M	$1.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$11.0M	-$1.5M	-$1.5M	—	—

3. XBP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does XBP compare to GMHS and PHUN in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBP?

Where is XBP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XBP last traded at $2.64 (-10.51% on volume of 1,625 shares), positioning the stock -12.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.02) and -30.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.78). Across its 52-week range of $2.00 to $8.55, XBP sits at the 9.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($2.33 to $2.95).

XBP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is XBP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for XBP.

Direct Sub-Reports: XBP RQD Cockpit XBP 12M Forecast XBP Earnings & Move XBP Dividends & DRIP XBP Insiders & 13F XBP Whale Options XBP Profit Sankey XBP News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XBP — XBP Global Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:32Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 41 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars break down as follows:

Fundamental cash engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites an ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 0% (per the Roarable RQD rating). For a prospective investor, this means the company is not currently generating a measurable return on invested capital or free-cash yield that the rating can credit. The most recent reported period with revenue shows net income of $-215.2M against revenue of $872.7M, while the latest period shows $0.0M revenue (per the SEC financials), which limits how much weight can be placed on a cash-generation thesis.
Whale / 13F flow: 5 / 20. This pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning (per the Roarable RQD rating). It is the lowest-scoring pillar. Institutional holder data is not available in source data, so the low score cannot be traced to specific filings in this dossier.
Insider conviction: 9 / 20. This pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow (per the Roarable RQD rating). A recent news item describes insiders acquiring stock (per the Recent Catalysts section), which is a potential upside signal, but the pillar score remains modest.
Macro regime fit: 7 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity (per the Roarable RQD rating). A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves; the low score suggests the rating does not view the stock as well positioned for the current macro regime.
Forensic balance sheet: 11 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 4.04 (per the Roarable RQD rating). This is the highest pillar but still well below half credit. Leverage at 4.04 times equity is the central vulnerability flagged by the rating.

Tradeoffs for a prospective investor: The upside drivers in the data are limited to insider buying headlines and a sub-$3 share price near the low end of its 52-week range (per the Snapshot). The valuation tradeoff is that there are no earnings-based multiples available, so value cannot be assessed on a P/E or EV/EBITDA basis from this source set. The balance-sheet leverage and absence of positive cash return are the main reasons the rating remains in sell territory. This is an analytical summary, not personalized advice.

Business

XBP Global Holdings Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Technology sector and EDP Services industry (per the Profile). The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The FY 2024 revenue figure of $872.7M is reported without segment or customer detail (per the SEC financials). A recent news item references an AI assistant for everyday workplace tasks and a collaboration on an AI-powered hybrid workplace, but the source data does not confirm the company's specific role in these offerings (per the Recent Catalysts section).

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	N/A	$37.1M	$353.3M
FY 2024	$872.7M	$-105.4M	$-215.2M	N/A	$17.0M	$11.6M	$1.5M
FY 2023	$0.0M	$1.1M	$-11.0M	N/A	$-1.5M	N/A	N/A

Profitability is negative in the most recent reported periods with net losses in FY 2024 ($-215.2M) and FY 2023 ($-11.0M) (per the SEC financials). Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data, and ROIC is 0% (per the Market Data). The Roarable RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 (per the Roarable RQD rating). Debt rises from $1.5M in FY 2024 to $353.3M in FY 2025 against cash of $37.1M, and the rating cites a Debt/Equity of 4.04 (per the SEC financials and the Roarable RQD rating).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, several items concern the company in a single cluster:

Leadership transition: Reports state that the chairman, Par Chadha, will step down or will not seek re-election after the current term (per the Recent Catalysts section). This is a governance watch item.
Insider buying: One report describes numerous insiders acquiring stock, which the wire frames as a favourable signal (per the Recent Catalysts section).
AI product collaboration: Reports describe an AI-powered hybrid workplace collaboration with CXAI and Macro Group, and an AI assistant handling workplace tasks by voice or text (per the Recent Catalysts section).
Estimates coverage: A TradingView item covers estimates for the stock without stating the estimate values (per the Recent Catalysts section).

All news items carry a YELLOW light with a MARKET WIRE impact label (per the Recent Catalysts section). Proprietary signals in the Butterfly graph are empty (per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph).

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the source data. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means ripple effects from suppliers, customers, or peer companies are not quantified here. The sector is listed as Technology and the industry as EDP Services, but no peer correlation data is provided.

Open Questions

What are the company's products, customers, and revenue segments, given the $872.7M FY 2024 revenue with no description in the source data?
What drove the increase in debt from $1.5M in FY 2024 to $353.3M in FY 2025, and how is it serviced against $37.1M of cash?
Why does the FY 2025 period show $0.0M revenue and $0.0M net income, and is this a reporting gap or a substantive change?
What are the size, dates, and filers of the insider purchases referenced in the news wire, and do they appear in SEC Form 4 filings?
What is the basis for the chairman's departure, and what does the transition mean for governance and strategy?

XBP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XBP Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 17h ago

XBP Global Holdings, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:XBP

TradingView report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 20h ago

An AI assistant handles everyday workplace tasks by voice or text.

Stock Titan report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 23h ago

XBP Global, CXAI and Macro Group Collaborate to Deliver an AI-Powered Hybrid Workplace

Moomoo report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Favourable Signals For XBP Global Holdings: Numerous Insiders Acquired Stock

Simply Wall St report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com UK • 1d ago

XBP Global Holdings chairman Par Chadha to step down after current term

Investing.com UK report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

XBP Global Holdings Chairman Par Chadha Will Not Seek Re-Election

TradingView report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

XBP Global Holdings (XBP) Slips 4.39% to $2.83 as Shares Pull Back Toward Lower Support - Buffered ETF

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago

XBP Q2 2026 Earnings: Wider-Than-Expected Loss as EPS Misses Consensus by 35% - Pre-Earnings Setup

https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XBP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.64?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XBP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.60 (-11.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XBP (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $2.95?

Welcome to the XBP (XBP Global Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.45 (-16.9%)

Spot @ $2.95

Pump the brakes on XBP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XBP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless XBP Global Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.54 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $2.95

XBP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XBP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.95 (52-wk range $2.00 - $8.55), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.