Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (XBIO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.05 -3.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.03

Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (XBIO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $4.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on XBIO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is XBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: XBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (-3.30% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, XBIO ranks #744 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does XBIO compare to CANF and AZTR in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), XBIO carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -30.3%. By comparison, CANF (Can-Fite Biopharma Ltd each representing two (2)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.9M) and AZTR (Azitra Inc) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while APUS leads on capital efficiency (-6.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBIO?
▼

Per XBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534525), Xenetic Biosciences Inc. generated $3.0M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and -$2.3M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.03 (-0.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510032
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (11)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE XBIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XBIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XBIO SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$2.10-4.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$2.00-8.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$1.83+12% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$2.05-9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XBIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XBIO currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.78) and Max Pain ($2.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.19.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XBIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XBIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.26 Expected Swing
$1.79 (-12.5%)Spot $2.05$2.31 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

XBIO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 32/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 19%

Model Bullish Setup (32/100)Model Risk Weight (68/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$3.0M-$2.7M-$2.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$2.5M-$4.0M-$2.8M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$2.5M-$4.1M-$4.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XBIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of XBIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
XBIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.74%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $2.12H $2.12L $2.05C $2.05VOL 32.6K
RES: $5.77SUP: $1.52SMA50: $2.78SMA200: $2.84
$5.18$4.20$3.23$2.25$1.28RES $5.77SUP $1.52$2.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XBIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XBIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XBIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XBIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XBIO)

Health Care Rank #744 of 1016 ⚔️ CANF vs XBIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (XBIO vs. CANF, AZTR, APUS, TRAW)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (XBIO) ranks #744 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #949 by equity capitalization ($4.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XBIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while APUS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. APUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with XBIO at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
XBIO ACTIVE
Xenetic Biosciences Inc.
E 32/100 — — -30.3% -3.30% $4.8M Benchmark Subject
CANF
Can-Fite Biopharma Ltd each representing two (2)
E 25/100 — — -35.0% -2.41% $4.9M /canf-vs-xbio →
AZTR
Azitra Inc
E 33/100 — — -35.0% +1.60% $4.7M /aztr-vs-xbio →
APUS
Apimeds Pharmaceuticals US Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -6.2% -6.23% $4.6M /apus-vs-xbio →
TRAW
Traws Pharma Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% -1.66% $4.5M /traw-vs-xbio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001534525

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (XBIO) reported GAAP revenue of $3.0M (+19.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.5M , and +17.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of -$2.3M, and free cash flow of -$2.3M (+18.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, XBIO closed FY2025 with $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.0M -$2.7M -$2.3M -$2.3M $8.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.5M -$4.0M -$2.8M -$2.8M $6.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.5M -$4.1M -$4.1M -$4.1M — —

3. XBIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: XBIO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (-3.30% 1D, market cap $4.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, XBIO ranks #744 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XBIO compare to CANF and AZTR in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), XBIO carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -30.3%. By comparison, CANF (Can-Fite Biopharma Ltd each representing two (2)) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.9M) and AZTR (Azitra Inc) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while APUS leads on capital efficiency (-6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBIO?

Per XBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001534525), Xenetic Biosciences Inc. generated $3.0M in revenue (+19.0% YoY), -$2.7M in net income, and -$2.3M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XBIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XBIO last traded at $2.05 (-3.30% on volume of 32,618 shares), positioning the stock -26.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.78) and -27.82% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.84). Across its 52-week range of $1.58 to $4.94, XBIO sits at the 14.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.79 to $2.31).

XBIO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is XBIO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (XBIO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is XBIO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for XBIO, spanning a range between $1.79 and $2.31.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

XBIO — Xenetic Biosciences Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:53:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, XBIO scores 34 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6 / 20, reflecting ROIC of -30.3% and an FCF yield of 0%; Whale 13F Flow at 5 / 20, covering institutional accumulation and options positioning; Insider Conviction at 5 / 20, covering SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow; Macro Regime Fit at 7 / 20, reflecting Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity; and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11 / 20, reflecting Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and the ownership-flow signals, both of which sit at or near the bottom of their ranges. The strongest pillar, balance sheet, is still only 11 of 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the overall picture is one of forensic risk rather than an identifiable upside driver, so the rating points toward caution on valuation and on the durability of the business model rather than toward any near-term return thesis.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3.0M$-2.8M$-2.7MN/A$-2.3MN/AN/A
FY 2024$2.5M$-4.2M$-4.0MN/A$-2.8MN/AN/A
FY 2023$2.5M$-4.5M$-4.1MN/A$-4.1MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each of the three periods, with operating income of $-2.8M in FY 2025, $-4.2M in FY 2024, and $-4.5M in FY 2023. Per the market data, operating margin is -60%, net margin is -60%, and gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at -30.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash and debt balances are not available in source data for any period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most prominent item is an announcement that Xenetic Biosciences and PeriNess reported a first patient dosed in an investigator-initiated study at Tel Aviv Sourasky University Medical Center evaluating systemic DNase in combination with CAR T cells for large B-cell lymphoma. This is the single company-specific catalyst in the feed. The remaining five items are Yahoo-family market pages for XBIO and other tickers (DARE, VTVT, JUNS) with generic descriptions and no company-specific fundamental content, so they carry limited analytical weight. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the data include continued operating losses, the sub-$5M market capitalization, and a 52-week range spanning $1.58 to $4.94.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's cash and debt balances in each reported period, given that these fields are N/A throughout the financials?
  • What share count and EPS figures support the $5.0M market capitalization and the reported net losses?
  • What is the revenue source behind the reported $2.5M to $3.0M in annual revenue, and how does it relate to the pharmaceutical development activity described in the catalyst?
  • What is the timing, scope, and funding runway of the investigator-initiated study, and does it have any financial disclosure attached?
  • What institutional, insider, or congressional holdings exist, given that the holders section is empty?

XBIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Xenetic Biosciences Inc. (XBIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to XBIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

XBIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.05?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON XBIO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on XBIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.87 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is XBIO (E • RQD 34/100) a Buy at $2.12?

Welcome to the XBIO (Xenetic Biosciences Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 34/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.78 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $2.12

Pump the brakes on XBIO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on XBIO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Xenetic Biosciences Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.52 (+18.9%)
Spot @ $2.12

XBIO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on XBIO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.12 (52-wk range $1.58 - $4.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%