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Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$21.29 +4.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $14.67B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $21.29 (+4.62% 1D, market cap $14.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, WY ranks #686 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WY compare to WPC and NLY in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), WY carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, WPC (W. P. Carey Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.0x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $14.75B) and NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $14.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NLY leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while REG leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WY?
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Per WY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000106535), Weyerhaeuser Company generated $6.91B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $324.0M in net income, and $251.3M in free cash flow against $16.61B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.43 (+0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (12)Macro (6)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$29 Bull$20 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE WY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WY SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (55.7) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$18.90+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$18.98+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$19.19+10.9% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$21.29-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WY currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.60) and Max Pain ($22.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (WY)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for WY.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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WY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $19.75H $21.29L $19.75C $21.29VOL 12.80M
RES: $26.32SUP: $16.76SMA50: $20.60SMA200: $23.56
$26.54$24.30$22.05$19.81$17.56RES $26.32SUP $16.76$21.292026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WY Butterfly Map → + Track WY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
32.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WY)

Financials Rank #686 of 1097 ⚔️ WPC vs WY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (WY vs. WPC, NLY, OHI, REG)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) ranks #686 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #141 by equity capitalization ($14.67B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NLY leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while REG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and — gross margin. OHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with WY at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WY ACTIVE
Weyerhaeuser Company
D 48/100 43.9x — 4.1% +4.62% $14.67B Benchmark Subject
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
C- 60/100 32.0x — 3.7% +1.01% $14.75B /wpc-vs-wy →
NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc.
D 49/100 7.1x — 4.0% +1.43% $14.36B /nly-vs-wy →
OHI
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — 0.0% +0.04% $14.24B /ohi-vs-wy →
REG
Regency Centers Corporation
C 64/100 26.0x — 11.4% +1.33% $13.66B /reg-vs-wy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000106535 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) reported GAAP revenue of $6.91B (-3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.12B , and -10.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $324.0M, operating cash flow of $562.0M, and free cash flow of $251.3M (-63.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, WY closed FY2025 with $16.61B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.91B $324.0M $562.0M $251.3M $16.61B $5.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.12B $396.0M $1.01B $687.4M $16.54B $4.87B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.67B $839.0M $1.43B $1.09B $9.21B $2.15B

3. WY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $21.29 (+4.62% 1D, market cap $14.67B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, WY ranks #686 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WY compare to WPC and NLY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), WY carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, WPC (W. P. Carey Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 32.0x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $14.75B) and NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $14.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NLY leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while REG leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WY?

Per WY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000106535), Weyerhaeuser Company generated $6.91B in revenue (-3.1% YoY), $324.0M in net income, and $251.3M in free cash flow against $16.61B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WY last traded at $21.29 (+4.62% on volume of 10,790,834 shares), positioning the stock +3.35% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.60) and -9.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.56). Across its 52-week range of $18.26 to $27.75, WY sits at the 31.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($20.01 to $22.57).

Direct Sub-Reports: WY RQD Cockpit WY 12M Forecast WY Earnings & Move WY Dividends & DRIP WY Insiders & 13F WY Whale Options WY Profit Sankey WY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WY — Weyerhaeuser Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.29 (+4.62% 1D, market capitalization $14.67B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 10.6%, and free cash flow yield of 1.77%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.90x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) reported $6.91B in annual revenue (up from $7.12B in FY2024, -3.1% YoY) and $324.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($7.67B revenue, $839.0M net income) through FY2025, WY scaled operating cash flow to $562.0M and free cash flow to $251.3M, backed by $16.61B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.77% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.26 – $27.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 43.9x trailing P/E and 18.9x EV/EBITDA against 10.6% operating margins and a 0.90x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), WY carries a macro regime beta of 0.90 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can WY sustain or expand its 10.6% operating margin and 4.1% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $6.91B and free cash flow of $251.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.05B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WY's 40.8x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.90x)?

WY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.83 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 12 of 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9, and the 4.26% dividend yield offers a cash r

Picked up a starter position in WY in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $20.35. The forensic balance sheet scores 12 of 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9, and the 4.26% dividend yield offers a cash return while the stock trades 9.6% above its 52-week low.. Trading inside a $18.26–$27.75 52-week range with 1.77% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Real Estate Investment Trusts multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 48/100 quality, though with 0.9 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $20.35 and keeping dry powder in case we test $18.93.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.47 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $20.35

Revenue fell from $7.67B to $6.91B and net income fell from $839.0M to $324.0M while debt rose to $5.05B, leaving ROIC at 4.1% an

Fading this rally in WY at $20.35. Revenue fell from $7.67B to $6.91B and net income fell from $839.0M to $324.0M while debt rose to $5.05B, leaving ROIC at 4.1% and a trailing P/E of 43.9 on EPS of 0.45.. With a beta of 0.9 and the stock sitting at $20.35 (52-wk range $18.26–$27.75), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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