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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WLY / earnings
WLYB (72) SCHL (59) PSO (60) GRBK (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6% Move

$51.12 -0.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.23

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74.3% gross margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $2.60B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, John Wiley & Sons Inc. (NYSE: WLY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $51.12 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $2.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLY ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WLY compare to WLYB and SCHL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Books), WLY carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of 74.3%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, WLYB (John Wiley & Sons Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 12.4x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $2.62B) and SCHL (Scholastic Corporation) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 12.7x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $723.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRBK leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLY?
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Per WLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000107140), John Wiley & Sons Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (-0.1% YoY), $221.6M in net income, and $209.4M in free cash flow against $2.56B in total assets and $796.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.23 (+0.22%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 12.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$64 Bull$54 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE WLY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WLY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WLY SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (19% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.63 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
80
Grade A-$52.58-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$52.28+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$52.61-2.8% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$51.12+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WLY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, WLY faces multiple-compression risk if 11.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 71.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($50.30) or 200D SMA ($43.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($54.34) toward Bear Floor ($41.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WLY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WLY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 28, 2027 (~85 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6% Swing Band

±$3.07 Expected Swing
$48.05 (-6%)Spot $51.12$54.19 (+6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WLY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $4.37 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.1%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-04-30$1.68B$221.6M$209.4M74.3%
FY 20242025-04-30$1.68B$84.2M$141.1M74.3%
FY 20232024-04-30$1.87B-$200.3M$207.6M74.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating WLY & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on WLY
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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WLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.23%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $51.44H $51.44L $51.12C $51.12VOL 397.4K
RES: $54.01SUP: $48.59SMA50: $50.30SMA200: $43.58
$58.94$52.77$46.59$40.42$34.24RES $54.01SUP $48.59$51.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WLY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WLY Butterfly Map → + Track WLY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WLY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WLY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WLY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #116 of 1011 ⚔️ WLYB vs WLY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WLY vs. WLYB, SCHL, PSO, GRBK)

Industry: Books (4 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #383 by equity capitalization ($2.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GRBK leads on earnings valuation at 7.7x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. WLY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WLY ACTIVE
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
B 72/100 11.8x 74.3% 15.1% -0.10% $2.60B Benchmark Subject
WLYB
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
B 72/100 12.4x 74.3% 15.1% +0.88% $2.62B /wlyb-vs-wly →
SCHL
Scholastic Corporation
C- 59/100 12.7x 56.4% 1.1% -1.91% $723.5M /schl-vs-wly →
PSO
Pearson Plc
C- 60/100 — — — -0.34% $10.45B /pso-vs-wly →
GRBK
Green Brick Partners Inc.
D+ 56/100 7.7x 31.4% 18.5% +4.72% $2.58B /grbk-vs-wly →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0000107140 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.68B (-0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and -10.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $221.6M, operating cash flow of $260.5M, and free cash flow of $209.4M (+48.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, WLY closed FY2025 with $2.56B in total assets against $796.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.63, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $1.68B $221.6M $260.5M $209.4M $2.56B $796.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $1.68B $84.2M $202.6M $141.1M $2.60B $877.2M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $1.87B -$200.3M $207.6M $207.6M — —

3. WLY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, John Wiley & Sons Inc. (NYSE: WLY) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $51.12 (-0.10% 1D, market cap $2.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLY ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WLY compare to WLYB and SCHL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Books), WLY carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of 74.3%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, WLYB (John Wiley & Sons Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 12.4x, ROIC 15.1%, cap $2.62B) and SCHL (Scholastic Corporation) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 12.7x, ROIC 1.1%, cap $723.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GRBK leads on earnings multiple (7.7x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLY?

Per WLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0000107140), John Wiley & Sons Inc. generated $1.68B in revenue (-0.1% YoY), $221.6M in net income, and $209.4M in free cash flow against $2.56B in total assets and $796.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WLY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WLY last traded at $51.12 (-0.10% on volume of 413,264 shares), positioning the stock +1.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($50.30) and +17.30% above its 200-day simple moving average ($43.58). Across its 52-week range of $28.38 to $57.45, WLY sits at the 78.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($48.05 to $54.19).

Direct Sub-Reports: WLY RQD Cockpit WLY 12M Forecast WLY Earnings & Move WLY Dividends & DRIP WLY Insiders & 13F WLY Whale Options WLY Profit Sankey WLY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WLY — John Wiley & Sons Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-04-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 72/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $51.12 (-0.10% 1D, market capitalization $2.60B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.1%, gross margin of 74.3%, operating margin of 16.5%, and free cash flow yield of 8.02%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.63, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

John Wiley & Sons Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Books industry. Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue-model details are — The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $2.6B. Gross margin of 74.3% and operating margin of 16.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-04-30), John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) reported $1.68B in annual revenue (up from $1.68B in FY2024, -0.1% YoY) and $221.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.87B revenue, -$200.3M net income) through FY2025, WLY scaled operating cash flow to $260.5M and free cash flow to $209.4M, backed by $2.56B in total assets against $796.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B • RQD 72/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 8.02% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $28.38 – $57.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 11.8x trailing P/E and 10.3x EV/EBITDA against 16.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated Consumer Discretionary/Books classification, and second-order bottlenecks are — Investors should watch for these relationships through separate research, since this source set does not establish them.

  • Key Question #1: Can WLY sustain or expand its 16.5% operating margin and 15.1% ROIC against Books peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.68B and free cash flow of $209.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $796.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WLY's 11.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

WLY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for John Wiley & Sons Inc. (WLY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WLY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WLY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $51.12?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WLY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WLY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $63.45 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash-generation and insider-conviction pillars are strong, with FY 2025 operating income of $276.9M and net income of $221.6M alongside

Here is why I am bullish on WLY here at $51.17: Cash-generation and insider-conviction pillars are strong, with FY 2025 operating income of $276.9M and net income of $221.6M alongside a 2.85% dividend yield.. Compare WLY's 16.5% operating margin and 15.1% ROIC against the rest of Books. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $48.61 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — WLY's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.96 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $51.17

Reported revenue fell from $1.87B in FY 2023 to $1.68B in FY 2025, and FY 2023 showed a net loss of -$200.3M.

Reported revenue fell from $1.87B in FY 2023 to $1.68B in FY 2025, and FY 2023 showed a net loss of -$200.3M.. Look at the math on WLY: paying 11.8x trailing P/E for 15.1% ROIC and 16.5% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Books demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $45.03 before getting long.

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