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Wingstop Inc. (WING) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$163.04 +8.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.34

Wingstop Inc. (WING) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.05B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WING Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WING stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $163.04 (+8.89% 1D, market cap $4.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WING ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WING compare to SHAK and CAKE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WING carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 45.0%. By comparison, SHAK (Shake Shack Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $3.02B) and CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WING?
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Per WING's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001636222), Wingstop Inc. generated $696.9M in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $174.3M in net income, and $105.6M in free cash flow against $693.4M in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $165.34 (+1.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$318 Bull$169 Base$132 Bear
📬 FREE WING RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WING)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WING SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.33 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (71) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$122.90-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$119.95+15.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$138.57+17.7% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$163.04+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WING Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, WING faces multiple-compression risk if 22.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($116.98) or 200D SMA ($161.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($168.91) toward Bear Floor ($131.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WING• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WING Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.62% Total Yield
0.82% Cash ($1.34/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
19.8% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $23,457

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $615/yr
$10.9K
Yr 1
$11.9K
Yr 2
$12.9K
Yr 3
$14.1K
Yr 4
$15.3K
Yr 5
$16.7K
Yr 6
$18.2K
Yr 7
$19.8K
Yr 8
$21.5K
Yr 9
$23.5K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in WING & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on WING and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
WING // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.33%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $145.4H $163.0L $145.4C $163.0VOL 1.58M
RES: $128.6SUP: $83.03SMA50: $117.0SMA200: $161.5
$263.7$218.2$172.7$127.2$81.70RES $128.6SUP $83.03$163.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WING Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WING today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WING. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WING today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WING)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #218 of 1011 ⚔️ SHAK vs WING Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WING vs. SHAK, CAKE, JMKE, CAVA)

Industry: Restaurants (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wingstop Inc. (WING) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #307 by equity capitalization ($4.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WING leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while WING leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 45.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CAKE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with WING at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WING ACTIVE
Wingstop Inc.
C+ 66/100 22.6x — 45.0% +8.89% $4.05B Benchmark Subject
SHAK
Shake Shack Inc.
D 48/100 60.7x — 6.8% +2.81% $3.02B /shak-vs-wing →
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
B- 71/100 38.0x — 18.9% +0.28% $5.61B /cake-vs-wing →
JMKE
Jersey Mike's Subs Inc.
D 47/100 32.8x — 2.4% +2.84% $5.81B /jmke-vs-wing →
CAVA
CAVA Group Inc.
D 51/100 108.5x — 5.9% +5.64% $6.86B /cava-vs-wing →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0001636222

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Wingstop Inc. (WING) reported GAAP revenue of $696.9M (+11.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $625.8M , and +51.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $174.3M, operating cash flow of $153.1M, and free cash flow of $105.6M (-0.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WING closed FY2025 with $693.4M in total assets against $1.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $696.9M $174.3M $153.1M $105.6M $693.4M $1.21B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $625.8M $108.7M $157.6M $105.7M $716.2M $1.21B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $460.1M $70.2M $121.6M $100.9M $2.16B $506.2M

3. WING Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WING stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ: WING) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $163.04 (+8.89% 1D, market cap $4.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WING ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WING compare to SHAK and CAKE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), WING carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 45.0%. By comparison, SHAK (Shake Shack Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 60.7x, ROIC 6.8%, cap $3.02B) and CAKE (Cheesecake Factory Incorporated) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 38.0x, ROIC 18.9%, cap $5.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WING leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while WING leads on capital efficiency (45.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WING?

Per WING's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0001636222), Wingstop Inc. generated $696.9M in revenue (+11.4% YoY), $174.3M in net income, and $105.6M in free cash flow against $693.4M in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WING trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WING last traded at $163.04 (+8.89% on volume of 2,974,153 shares), positioning the stock +39.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($116.98) and +0.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($161.49). Across its 52-week range of $95.82 to $302.80, WING sits at the 32.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($143.64 to $182.44).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WING — Wingstop Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Wingstop Inc. (WING) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $163.04 (+8.89% 1D, market capitalization $4.05B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 45.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 25.7%, and free cash flow yield of 2.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.33, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Wingstop Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Restaurants industry. — for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue mechanics beyond the reported financial figures. The company's market capitalization is $3.9B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Wingstop Inc. (WING) reported $696.9M in annual revenue (up from $625.8M in FY2024, +11.4% YoY) and $174.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($460.1M revenue, $70.2M net income) through FY2025, WING scaled operating cash flow to $153.1M and free cash flow to $105.6M, backed by $693.4M in total assets against $1.21B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 2.69% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $95.82 – $302.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 22.6x trailing P/E and 22.5x EV/EBITDA against 25.7% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Restaurants (Consumer Discretionary), WING carries a macro regime beta of 1.01 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can WING sustain or expand its 25.7% operating margin and 45.0% ROIC against Restaurants peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $696.9M and free cash flow of $105.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.21B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WING's 21.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?

WING Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Wingstop Inc. (WING) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WING Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WING Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $163.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WING 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WING:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $179.68 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong ROIC of 45% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to a high-quality cash engine and balance sheet, with insider conviction scorin

Long WING at $149.73 targeting $179.68. Strong ROIC of 45% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 point to a high-quality cash engine and balance sheet, with insider conviction scoring 16/20.. Institutional whale score is 12/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $95.82 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — WING's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $115.29 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $149.73

A Barron's report cites Wall Street outlook cuts and doubts about a sales recovery, while the stock trades far below its $302.8 52-week

Fading this rally in WING at $149.73. A Barron's report cites Wall Street outlook cuts and doubts about a sales recovery, while the stock trades far below its $302.8 52-week high.. With a beta of 1.01 and the stock sitting at $149.73 (52-wk range $95.82–$302.80), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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