Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / WINA / dividends

RERE (39) SPH (54) REAL (39) WOOF (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Winmark Corporation (WINA) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$285.69 -0.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $284.94

Winmark Corporation (WINA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.02B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on WINA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WINA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Winmark Corporation (NASDAQ: WINA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $285.69 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $1.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WINA ranks #303 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WINA compare to RERE and SPH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Other Specialty Stores), WINA carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.5x, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 84.5%. By comparison, RERE (ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 14.7%, cap $903.4M) and SPH (Suburban Propane Partners L.P.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 11.2x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPH leads on earnings multiple (11.2x) while WINA leads on capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WINA?

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Per WINA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000908315), Winmark Corporation generated $86.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $41.7M in net income, and $44.7M in free cash flow against $24.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $284.95 (-0.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 51.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WINA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WINA SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 51.9% FCF Margin ($44.7M FCF) & 96.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$291.95+3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$302.11-6.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$282.29+1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$285.69+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WINA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, WINA faces multiple-compression risk if 24.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 93.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($302.89) or 200D SMA ($377.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($290.83) toward Bear Floor ($226.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WINA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WINA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

6.61% Total Yield

4.81% Cash ($13.74/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

68/100 • SAFE COVERAGE

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

71.4% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (10.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $26,174

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,730/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$11.0K

Yr 1

$12.1K

Yr 2

$13.3K

Yr 3

$14.7K

Yr 4

$16.2K

Yr 5

$17.8K

Yr 6

$19.6K

Yr 7

$21.6K

Yr 8

$23.8K

Yr 9

$26.2K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in WINA & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on WINA and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

WINA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $283.0H $286.9L $283.0C $285.7VOL 71.5K

RES: $313.7SUP: $241.5SMA50: $302.9SMA200: $377.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WINA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WINA Butterfly Map → + Track WINA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WINA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WINA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WINA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WINA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #303 of 1011 ⚔️ RERE vs WINA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WINA vs. RERE, SPH, REAL, WOOF)

Industry: Other Specialty Stores (42 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Winmark Corporation (WINA) ranks #303 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #508 by equity capitalization ($1.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPH leads on earnings valuation at 11.2x trailing P/E, while WINA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 84.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. WINA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WINA ACTIVE Winmark Corporation	C	62/100	24.5x	96.0%	84.5%	-0.41%	$1.02B	Benchmark Subject
RERE ATRenew Inc. (every three of which representing two ) (Class A)	D-	39/100	18.8x	—	14.7%	-5.34%	$903.4M	/rere-vs-wina →
SPH Suburban Propane Partners L.P.	D+	54/100	11.2x	60.6%	8.4%	+0.62%	$1.19B	/sph-vs-wina →
REAL The RealReal Inc.	D-	39/100	—	74.6%	-27.4%	+5.37%	$1.38B	/real-vs-wina →
WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	81.5x	38.7%	4.0%	+0.77%	$741.8M	/woof-vs-wina →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000908315

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Winmark Corporation (WINA) reported GAAP revenue of $86.1M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $81.3M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $41.7M, operating cash flow of $44.9M, and free cash flow of $44.7M (+6.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WINA closed FY2025 with $24.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-27	$86.1M	$41.7M	$44.9M	$44.7M	$24.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$81.3M	$40.0M	$42.2M	$42.0M	$26.8M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$83.2M	$40.2M	$44.0M	$44.0M	—	—

3. WINA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WINA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does WINA compare to RERE and SPH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WINA?

Where is WINA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WINA last traded at $285.69 (-0.41% on volume of 125,489 shares), positioning the stock -5.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($302.89) and -24.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($377.71). Across its 52-week range of $275.47 to $488.83, WINA sits at the 4.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($263.69 to $307.69).

WINA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does WINA pay a dividend and is it safe?

Winmark Corporation (WINA) offers a 4.81% cash dividend yield ($13.74 annualized) and 6.61% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as SAFE COVERAGE.

Direct Sub-Reports: WINA RQD Cockpit WINA 12M Forecast WINA Earnings & Move WINA Dividends & DRIP WINA Insiders & 13F WINA Whale Options WINA Profit Sankey WINA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

WINA — Winmark Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:12Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, WINA scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (18 / 20): The strongest pillar. The rating cites ROIC of 84.5% and an FCF yield of 4.38%. For an investor, this points to a business that generates high returns on invested capital, though the score still leaves some headroom, and the FCF yield sets the cash-return baseline against the current price.
Whale / 13F Flow (4 / 20): A weak pillar. The rating's description references institutional accumulation and options positioning, but no 13F or options data appears in the source data, so the low score signals limited institutional sponsorship as measured by this model.
Insider Conviction (17 / 20): A strong pillar, described as reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Investors should read this as a relatively favorable insider-activity signal, while noting the underlying trade-level detail is not provided here.
Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): A middling-to-weak pillar. The rating cites beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, meaning the stock tracks the broader market and carries sector-level exposure without a defensive offset.
Forensic Balance Sheet (14 / 20): A solid pillar. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, pointing to sound financial health on these measures.

Taken together, the rating implies a business with strong cash economics and a healthy balance sheet, offset by weak institutional-flow support and only market-level macro fit. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 24.5 and EV/EBITDA of 18.5 price in a good deal of quality, so upside depends on the cash engine continuing to compound. The verdict "Hold" reflects that balance rather than a directional call.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
286.88	$1.02B	24.5	22.8	18.5	11.7	4.81%	1.0	$275.47 - $488.83	84.5%

Business

Winmark Corporation (WINA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Other Specialty Stores industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. The gross margin of 96%, operating margin of 63.4%, and net margin of 48.4% per the market data indicate a high-margin profile, but the source data does not explain how the company earns this revenue.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, all six items relate to WINA and are rated YELLOW:

A Yahoo Finance report headlined that WINA "May Be 4% Undervalued After Special Dividend News," the most recent item.
A TradingView estimates report on NASDAQ:WINA.
A Yahoo Finance piece questioning whether the valuation is justified "As Dividends And Q3 Results Impress."
A MarketBeat report on a quarterly dividend of $1.02.
A Business Wire release announcing third-quarter results.
A Stock Titan report on a proposed sale of 1,875 shares by officer Renae M. Gaudette.

Dividend and quarterly results dominate the news flow. The proposed officer share sale is the one item that could be read as a risk-watch item, though its context is not provided. The Butterfly supply-chain graph contains no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the classification as Consumer Discretionary / Other Specialty Stores, and the macro pillar of the RQD rating notes sector sensitivity without quantifying it.

Open Questions

What are the company's products, customers, and revenue model, given that the source data gives only sector classification?
What is the debt balance and the reported EPS for each period, since the financials show these as N/A?
What is the size and timing of the officer share sale, and does it coincide with the special dividend announcement?
What drives the 4.81% dividend yield, and how does it relate to the reported FCF of $44.7M in FY 2025?
What are the 13F and options positioning details behind the low whale-flow pillar score?

WINA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Winmark Corporation (WINA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WINA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 11h ago

Winmark (WINA) Stock May Be 4% Undervalued After Special Dividend News

Yahoo Finance report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 14h ago

Winmark Corporation Estimates – NASDAQ:WINA

TradingView report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

Can Winmark (WINA) Justify Its Valuation As Dividends And Q3 Results Impress?

Yahoo Finance report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 20h ago

Winmark Corporation (NASDAQ:WINA) Shares Set to Pay Quarterly Dividend of $1.02

MarketBeat report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 23h ago

Winmark Corporation Announces Third Quarter Results

Business Wire report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A proposed sale of 1,875 Winmark (WINA) shares comes from officer Renae M. Gaudette.

Stock Titan report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Winmark Corporation (WINA) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Winmark (NASDAQ:WINA) Shares Gap Up - Here's Why

MarketBeat report covering Winmark Corporation (WINA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WINA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $285.69?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WINA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $309.83 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is WINA (C • RQD 62/100) a Buy at $286.88?

Welcome to the WINA (Winmark Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Other Specialty Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (84.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $220.90 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $286.88

Pump the brakes on WINA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on WINA, but look at what you are paying: 24.5x trailing P/E with 96.0% gross margins. Unless Winmark Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $361.47 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $286.88

WINA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on WINA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Other Specialty Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $286.88 (52-wk range $275.47 - $488.83), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.