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Why WERN Stock surged +3.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$28.63 +3.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.75

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.66B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is WERN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Werner Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: WERN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $28.63 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $1.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, WERN ranks #422 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does WERN compare to ARCB and MRTN in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), WERN carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $2.80B) and MRTN (Marten Transport Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 55.1x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $957.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while ARCB leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WERN?
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Per WERN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793074), Werner Enterprises Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), -$14.4M in net income, and -$68.5M in free cash flow against $2.89B in total assets and $752.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.75 (+0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (4)SEC (9)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$50 Bull$25 Base$19 Bear
📬 FREE WERN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WERN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WERN SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.73 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$32.20-7.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$29.80-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$29.38-2.6% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$28.63-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WERN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WERN currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($33.96) and Max Pain ($30.06) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WERN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WERN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why WERN Stock surged +3.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) surged +3.32% to $28.63, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($23.06 – $47.49). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($23.06 – $47.49) with RSI-14 at 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $28.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live WERN Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
5 must-read analyst questions from Werner’s Q3 earnings call

Werner’s third quarter results met Wall Street’s expectations for both revenue and non-GAAP profit, but the market responded negatively to ongoing margin pressures. Management cited sharply rising fuel costs, higher driv

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WERN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WERN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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WERN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.75%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $27.63H $28.63L $27.63C $28.63VOL 1.26M
RES: $53.36SUP: $26.41SMA50: $33.96SMA200: $36.00
$48.92$42.99$37.06$31.12$25.19RES $53.36SUP $26.41$28.632026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WERN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
4.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WERN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WERN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WERN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WERN)

Industrials Rank #422 of 486 ⚔️ ARCB vs WERN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WERN vs. ARCB, MRTN, HTLD, CVLG)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) ranks #422 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #220 by equity capitalization ($1.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARCB leads on earnings valuation at 47.0x trailing P/E, while ARCB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ARCB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with WERN at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WERN ACTIVE
Werner Enterprises Inc.
E 28/100 — — 0.4% +3.32% $1.66B Benchmark Subject
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
D+ 55/100 47.0x — 5.4% +4.40% $2.80B /arcb-vs-wern →
MRTN
Marten Transport Ltd.
D 47/100 55.1x — 2.5% +2.56% $957.1M /mrtn-vs-wern →
HTLD
Heartland Express Inc.
E 28/100 — — -5.1% +3.33% $790.3M /htld-vs-wern →
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group Inc. (Class A)
D- 36/100 101.0x — 0.4% +8.25% $784.7M /cvlg-vs-wern →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000793074 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.96B , and -9.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$14.4M, operating cash flow of $181.8M, and free cash flow of -$68.5M (+18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WERN closed FY2025 with $2.89B in total assets against $752.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.73, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.90B -$14.4M $181.8M -$68.5M $2.89B $752.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.96B $34.2M $329.7M -$84.1M $3.05B $630.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.20B $112.4M $474.4M $474.4M — —

3. WERN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WERN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Werner Enterprises Inc. (NASDAQ: WERN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $28.63 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $1.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, WERN ranks #422 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WERN compare to ARCB and MRTN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), WERN carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, ARCB (ArcBest Corporation) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $2.80B) and MRTN (Marten Transport Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 55.1x, ROIC 2.5%, cap $957.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARCB leads on earnings multiple (47.0x) while ARCB leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WERN?

Per WERN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000793074), Werner Enterprises Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (-1.9% YoY), -$14.4M in net income, and -$68.5M in free cash flow against $2.89B in total assets and $752.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WERN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WERN last traded at $28.63 (+3.32% on volume of 1,266,582 shares), positioning the stock -15.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($33.96) and -20.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.00). Across its 52-week range of $23.06 to $47.49, WERN sits at the 22.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($26.48 to $30.78).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

WERN — Werner Enterprises Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $28.63 (+3.32% 1D, market capitalization $1.66B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.4%, and free cash flow yield of -4.14%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.73, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.55x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Werner Enterprises Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $1.7B. Reported revenue for FY 2025 was $2.90B, .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) reported $2.90B in annual revenue (up from $2.96B in FY2024, -1.9% YoY) and -$14.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.20B revenue, $112.4M net income) through FY2025, WERN scaled operating cash flow to $181.8M and free cash flow to -$68.5M, backed by $2.89B in total assets against $752.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -4.14% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.06 – $47.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 10.5x EV/EBITDA against 0.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Trucking Freight/Courier Services (Industrials), WERN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can WERN sustain or expand its 0.4% operating margin and 0.4% ROIC against Trucking Freight/Courier Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.90B and free cash flow of -$68.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $752.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is WERN's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

WERN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Werner Enterprises Inc. (WERN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to WERN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

WERN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $28.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON WERN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on WERN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.30 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock carries a 2.06% dividend yield and a 1.84% price gain, with EV/EBITDA of 10.5 and a mid-range Altman Z-Score of 2.73 supporti

Don't sleep on WERN's setup in Industrials. The stock carries a 2.06% dividend yield and a 1.84% price gain, with EV/EBITDA of 10.5 and a mid-range Altman Z-Score of 2.73 supporting the balance sheet.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (28/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — WERN's 9/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.34 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $27.71

ROIC of 0.4%, a -4.14% FCF yield, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.4M, combined with Wells Fargo's price-target cut, point to weak cash g

I respect the product at Werner Enterprises Inc., but the stock at $27.71 is a different story. ROIC of 0.4%, a -4.14% FCF yield, and FY 2025 net income of -$14.4M, combined with Wells Fargo's price-target cut, point to weak cash generation.. FCF yield is -4.14% and RQD sits at 28/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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