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Why VMAR Stock dropped -5.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$5.91 -5.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.84

Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VMAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: VMAR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $5.91 (-5.59% 1D, market cap $4.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, VMAR ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VMAR compare to VEEE and NXB in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), VMAR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VEEE (Twin Vee PowerCats Co.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $36.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBUU leads on earnings multiple (30.4x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VMAR?
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For Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #280 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.84 (-1.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$6636 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE VMAR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VMAR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VMAR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($114.5K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$5.82+16.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$6.80+13.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$7.70-23.2% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$5.91-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VMAR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VMAR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.22) and Max Pain ($6.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6,636.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VMAR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VMAR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why VMAR Stock dropped -5.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) dropped -5.59% to $5.91, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($5.16 – $6320). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($5.16 – $6320) with RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.91 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $114466 annual free cash flow.
Live VMAR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VMAR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VMAR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VMAR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -95.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $6.56H $6.56L $5.91C $5.91VOL 22.7K
RES: $7.15SUP: $5.48SMA50: $7.22SMA200: $103.4
$4,987.0$3,636.8$2,286.5$936.3$-413.87RES $7.15SUP $5.48$5.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VMAR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VMAR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VMAR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VMAR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VMAR)

Industrials Rank #280 of 486 ⚔️ VEEE vs VMAR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (VMAR vs. VEEE, NXB, MBUU, MCFT)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) ranks #280 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #464 by equity capitalization ($4.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MBUU leads on earnings valuation at 30.4x trailing P/E, while NXB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and 9.6% gross margin. MBUU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with VMAR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VMAR ACTIVE
Vision Marine Technologies Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -5.59% $4.1M Benchmark Subject
VEEE
Twin Vee PowerCats Co.
E 24/100 — 8.5% -35.0% -4.21% $5.4M /veee-vs-vmar →
NXB
NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok
D- 39/100 — 9.6% 18.8% +6.16% $36.7M /nxb-vs-vmar →
MBUU
Malibu Boats Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 30.4x 17.8% 3.5% +3.78% $468.5M /mbuu-vs-vmar →
MCFT
MasterCraft Boat Holdings Inc.
D+ 57/100 73.0x 20.0% 6.7% +3.21% $520.6M /mcft-vs-vmar →

2. VMAR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) operates in Marine Transportation (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $4.1M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. VMAR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VMAR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: VMAR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $5.91 (-5.59% 1D, market cap $4.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, VMAR ranks #280 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VMAR compare to VEEE and NXB in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Marine Transportation), VMAR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, VEEE (Twin Vee PowerCats Co.) holds a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.4M) and NXB (NextBoat Inc. Common Stcok) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.8%, cap $36.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBUU leads on earnings multiple (30.4x) while NXB leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VMAR?

For Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #280 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VMAR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VMAR last traded at $5.91 (-5.59% on volume of 14,105 shares), positioning the stock -18.14% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.22) and -94.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($103.37). Across its 52-week range of $5.16 to $6,320.00, VMAR sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.17 to $6.65).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

VMAR — Vision Marine Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $5.91 (-5.59% 1D, market capitalization $4.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Vision Marine Technologies Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Marine Transportation industry..0B, while the market data separately reports $4.3M. Per the recent news wire, the company has announced a sales leadership appointment for its Florida sales operations under the name Nautical Ventures and an inventory financing facility activation for that business. — for further detail on how the company makes money.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.16 – $6,320.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in the source data. Based on the news wire, the inventory financing facilities for Nautical Ventures and the retail unit are the most visible operational links, and a prospective investor may want to monitor how these facilities are used, though the sources do not quantify their size or terms.

  • Key Question #1: Can VMAR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $6,320.00 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is VMAR's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

VMAR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Vision Marine Technologies Inc. (VMAR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to VMAR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VMAR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.91?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VMAR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VMAR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.64 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, indicating a relatively stable financial stru

Picked up a starter position in VMAR in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $6.26. The forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with a Piotroski F of 6/9 and Debt/Equity of 0.5, indicating a relatively stable financial structure.. Trading inside a $5.16–$6320.00 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Marine Transportation multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 46/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.26 and keeping dry powder in case we test $5.82.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.01 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $6.26

The cash engine scores 12/20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and whale flow scores only 5/20, signaling no measurable cash return

Fading this rally in VMAR at $6.26. The cash engine scores 12/20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and whale flow scores only 5/20, signaling no measurable cash return and weak institutional accumulation.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $6.26 (52-wk range $5.16–$6320.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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