VirnetX Holding Corp (VHC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$9.20 -2.95% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.13

VirnetX Holding Corp (VHC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $39.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, VirnetX Holding Corp (NASDAQ: VHC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $9.20 (-2.95% 1D, market cap $39.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, VHC ranks #426 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VHC compare to NTIP and RMCO in the Industrials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), VHC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NTIP (Network-1 Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $35.2M) and RMCO (Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.7%, cap $34.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JYNT leads on earnings multiple (35.8x) while RMCO leads on capital efficiency (-1.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHC?
β–Ό

Per VHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001082324), VirnetX Holding Corp generated $162.0K in revenue (+3140.0% YoY), -$18.2M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $31.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.13 (-0.72%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE VHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY VHC SCORES 28/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$10.96-9.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$9.92+11.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$11.05-16.7% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$9.20-10% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (36) β†’ E (28)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While VHC currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.20) and Max Pain ($9.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.30.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VHCβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œVHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

VHC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (VHC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on VHC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VHC)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of VHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.46%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $10.46H $10.46L $9.20C $9.20VOL 31.7K
RES: $14.29SUP: $7.86SMA50: $11.20SMA200: $13.92
$19.35$16.38$13.42$10.45$7.49RES $14.29SUP $7.86$9.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VHC today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VHC)

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (VHC vs. NTIP, RMCO, AMOD, JYNT)

Industry: Multi-Sector Companies (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VirnetX Holding Corp (VHC) ranks #426 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #414 by equity capitalization ($39.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JYNT leads on earnings valuation at 35.8x trailing P/E, while RMCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.7% ROIC and 16.3% gross margin. NTIP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 43/100 (D-) compared with VHC at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VHC ACTIVE
VirnetX Holding Corp
E 28/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.95% $39.8M Benchmark Subject
NTIP
Network-1 Technologies Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 72.0% -10.0% +3.25% $35.2M /ntip-vs-vhc β†’
RMCO
Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)
E 29/100 β€” 16.3% -1.7% -1.30% $34.9M /rmco-vs-vhc β†’
AMOD
Alpha Modus Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 β€” 96.0% -35.0% -5.36% $71.5M /amod-vs-vhc β†’
JYNT
The Joint Corp.
D- 35/100 35.8x β€” -13.9% +4.13% $99.4M /jynt-vs-vhc β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001082324

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), VirnetX Holding Corp (VHC) reported GAAP revenue of $162.0K (+3140.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.0K , and +2214.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$18.2M, operating cash flow of -$15.6M, and free cash flow of -$15.7M (-2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VHC closed FY2025 with $31.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $162.0K -$18.2M -$15.6M -$15.7M $31.1M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.0K -$18.2M -$15.3M -$15.3M $49.6M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.0K -$27.9M -$24.8M -$24.8M β€” β€”

3. VHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, VirnetX Holding Corp (NASDAQ: VHC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $9.20 (-2.95% 1D, market cap $39.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, VHC ranks #426 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VHC compare to NTIP and RMCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Multi-Sector Companies), VHC carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NTIP (Network-1 Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.0%, cap $35.2M) and RMCO (Royalty Management Holding Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.7%, cap $34.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JYNT leads on earnings multiple (35.8x) while RMCO leads on capital efficiency (-1.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHC?

Per VHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001082324), VirnetX Holding Corp generated $162.0K in revenue (+3140.0% YoY), -$18.2M in net income, and -$15.7M in free cash flow against $31.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VHC last traded at $9.20 (-2.95% on volume of 16,505 shares), positioning the stock -17.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.20) and -33.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.92). Across its 52-week range of $8.41 to $26.00, VHC sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($8.05 to $10.35).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 28/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

VHC β€” VirnetX Holding Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:21Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

VHC carries an RQD Score of 30 out of 100, a letter grade of E, and the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 7 of 20 (ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 0%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. Whale 13F Flow scores 5 of 20, reflecting weak institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 3 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar in the set. Macro Regime Fit scores 7 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 8 of 20, based on an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 3 of 9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to no visible upside driver from cash generation or insider conviction, and a valuation case that depends on factors outside the reported cash engine. The forensic readings suggest limited margin for error if operating losses persist.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. β€” regarding specific products, customers, or revenue mechanics. The reported revenue of $0.2M for FY 2025 and β€” for FY 2024 indicates minimal commercial revenue in the periods shown..0B.

And market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Cash declined from $23.3M in FY 2024 to $15.5M in FY 2025, while net losses remained in the same range across the two most recent periods. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. The Piotroski reading indicates weak fundamental scoring on the company's own financials.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case: Beta of 1.0 and a 52-week low of $8.41 with the price at $10.46 leave room for a rebound if operating losses narrow. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield β€”) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $8.41 – $26.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A 0% FCF yield, -35% ROIC, and insider conviction scored 3 of 20 point to continued cash burn without visible support. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” regarding upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: What products or services generate the $0.2M of FY 2025 revenue, and who are the customers?
  • Key Question #2: What drove the operating losses of -$19.4M in FY 2025 and -$20.4M in FY 2024, and what is the expected trajectory?
  • Key Question #3: What are the debt obligations, given the Debt field is N/A across all periods while Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5?

VHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for VirnetX Holding Corp (VHC) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to VHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

VHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $9.20?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON VHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on VHC:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.90 (+15.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Beta of 1.0 and a 52-week low of $8.41 with the price at $10.46 leave room for a rebound if operating losses narrow.

Beta of 1.0 and a 52-week low of $8.41 with the price at $10.46 leave room for a rebound if operating losses narrow.. When you look under the hood at VHC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 7/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $26.00. My 12M target is $10.90.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” VHC's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.39 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $9.48

A 0% FCF yield, -35% ROIC, and insider conviction scored 3 of 20 point to continued cash burn without visible support.

Careful chasing VHC at $9.48. A 0% FCF yield, -35% ROIC, and insider conviction scored 3 of 20 point to continued cash burn without visible support.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -60.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $7.39 on multiple compression.

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