Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TTD Stock surged +2.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $12.55 (+2.12% 1D, market cap $5.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TTD compare to NIQ and GDS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $5.85B) and GDS (GDS Holdings Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $4.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?
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Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.5% FCF Margin ($795.7M FCF) & 78.6% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TTD Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, TTD faces multiple-compression risk if 13.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 76.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.07) or 200D SMA ($19.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($12.78) toward Bear Floor ($9.97).
Why TTD Stock surged +2.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) surged +2.12% to $12.55, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($11.62 – $50.06). Solid 79% profit margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($11.62 – $50.06) with RSI-14 at 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $12.55 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 78.6% gross margin and $795.7M annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Reddit's accelerating growth has now surpassed The Trade Desk's quarterly revenue for the first time, marking a dramatic reversal after years of trailing.
The Trade Desk's collapse has been remarkable.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TTD Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
TTD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TTD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TTD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TTD)
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TTD vs. NIQ, GDS, BZ, SRAD)
Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) ranks #180 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #196 by equity capitalization ($5.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TTD leads on earnings valuation at 13.9x trailing P/E, while GDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.9% ROIC and — gross margin. BZ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with TTD at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTD
ACTIVE
The Trade Desk Inc. | C | 62/100 | 13.9x | 78.6% | 13.8% | +2.12% | $5.81B | Benchmark Subject |
| NIQ NIQ Global Intelligence plc | D | 48/100 | — | — | 1.7% | +0.15% | $5.85B | /niq-vs-ttd → |
| GDS GDS Holdings Limited ADS | D+ | 57/100 | 21.7x | — | 14.9% | -0.68% | $4.39B | /gds-vs-ttd → |
| BZ KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shares | B+ | 79/100 | 19.6x | 85.1% | 10.9% | +3.14% | $7.80B | /bz-vs-ttd → |
| SRAD Sportradar Group AG (Class A) | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | +6.98% | $3.75B | /srad-vs-ttd → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001671933In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) reported GAAP revenue of $2.90B (+18.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.44B , and +48.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $443.3M, operating cash flow of $992.7M, and free cash flow of $795.7M (+24.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TTD closed FY2025 with $6.15B in total assets against $1.65B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.05, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.90B | $443.3M | $992.7M | $795.7M | $6.15B | $1.65B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $2.44B | $393.1M | $739.5M | $641.2M | $6.11B | $1.42B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.95B | $178.9M | $598.3M | $510.7M | $3.40B | $794.7M |
3. TTD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TTD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, The Trade Desk Inc. (NASDAQ: TTD) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $12.55 (+2.12% 1D, market cap $5.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TTD ranks #180 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TTD compare to NIQ and GDS in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TTD carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.9x, gross margin of 78.6%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, NIQ (NIQ Global Intelligence plc) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $5.85B) and GDS (GDS Holdings Limited ADS) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $4.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TTD leads on earnings multiple (13.9x) while GDS leads on capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TTD?
Per TTD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001671933), The Trade Desk Inc. generated $2.90B in revenue (+18.5% YoY), $443.3M in net income, and $795.7M in free cash flow against $6.15B in total assets and $1.65B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TTD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TTD last traded at $12.55 (+2.12% on volume of 11,576,532 shares), positioning the stock -3.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.07) and -36.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.73). Across its 52-week range of $11.62 to $50.06, TTD sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($11.41 to $13.69).
TTD — The Trade Desk Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $12.55 (+2.12% 1D, market capitalization $5.81B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.8%, gross margin of 78.6%, operating margin of 20.3%, and free cash flow yield of 12.89%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.22x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.05, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.62x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry. It carries a market capitalization of $6.2B.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) reported $2.90B in annual revenue (up from $2.44B in FY2024, +18.5% YoY) and $443.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.95B revenue, $178.9M net income) through FY2025, TTD scaled operating cash flow to $992.7M and free cash flow to $795.7M, backed by $6.15B in total assets against $1.65B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 62/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 12.89% and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.62 – $50.06 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 13.9x trailing P/E and 9.3x EV/EBITDA against 20.3% operating margins and a 1.22x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The only sector context provided is the Technology sector and Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry classification.
- Key Question #1: Can TTD sustain or expand its 20.3% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.90B and free cash flow of $795.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.65B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is TTD's 11.7x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.22x)?
TTD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TTD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.55?
Insider Conviction (18/20) and a 12.89% FCF yield support the cash engine at a 13.9 P/E.
Picked up a starter position in TTD in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $12.29. Insider Conviction (18/20) and a 12.89% FCF yield support the cash engine at a 13.9 P/E.. Trading inside a $11.62–$48.47 52-week range with 12.89% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Computer Software: Programming Data Processing multiples expand this quarter.
@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 13.9x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. If gross margin (78.6%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Shares sit at $13.06 versus a $50.06 52-week high, with Whale 13F Flow scoring only 8/20.
Careful chasing TTD at $12.29. Shares sit at $13.06 versus a $50.06 52-week high, with Whale 13F Flow scoring only 8/20.. Gross margin is 78.6%, but operating margin is 20.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $10.57 on multiple compression.