Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / TT / forecast

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Trane Technologies plc (TT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$410.00 -4.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $405.61

Trane Technologies plc (TT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $94.85B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Trane Technologies plc (NYSE: TT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $410.00 (-4.89% 1D, market cap $94.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TT ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TT compare to MGA and BWA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), TT carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.2%. By comparison, MGA (Magna International Inc.) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $17.17B) and BWA (BorgWarner Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 39.2x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $10.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ALSN leads on earnings multiple (14.6x) while TT leads on capital efficiency (29.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TT?

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Per TT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466258), Trane Technologies plc generated $21.32B in revenue (+7.5% YoY), $2.92B in net income, and $2.24B in free cash flow against $21.42B in total assets and $3.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $405.61 (-1.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 10.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TT SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.82 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.5% FCF Margin ($2.24B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (42) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$478.01-3.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$461.42-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$461.07-11.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C$410.00+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (70) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, TT faces multiple-compression risk if 32.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($449.63) or 200D SMA ($455.31) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($417.38) toward Bear Floor ($325.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $410.00: 24.4 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $325.56

$7,940

$-2,060 (-20.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $417.38

$10,180

+$180 (+1.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $531.16

$12,955

+$2,955 (+29.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$434	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$499	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$371	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $448.5H $448.5L $410.0C $410.0VOL 2.87M

RES: $479.1SUP: $401.0SMA50: $449.6SMA200: $455.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TT Butterfly Map → + Track TT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #286 of 1011 ⚔️ MGA vs TT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TT vs. MGA, BWA, APTV, ALSN)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trane Technologies plc (TT) ranks #286 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #21 by equity capitalization ($94.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ALSN leads on earnings valuation at 14.6x trailing P/E, while TT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.2% ROIC and — gross margin. TT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TT ACTIVE Trane Technologies plc	C	62/100	32.5x	—	29.2%	-4.89%	$94.85B	Benchmark Subject
MGA Magna International Inc.	C	62/100	20.7x	14.3%	5.1%	-1.36%	$17.17B	/mga-vs-tt →
BWA BorgWarner Inc.	D-	37/100	39.2x	18.7%	5.5%	-3.13%	$10.86B	/bwa-vs-tt →
APTV Aptiv PLC	D	51/100	55.9x	19.1%	6.2%	-1.12%	$9.23B	/aptv-vs-tt →
ALSN Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.	C-	61/100	14.6x	48.6%	21.3%	-1.75%	$9.08B	/alsn-vs-tt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466258

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trane Technologies plc (TT) reported GAAP revenue of $21.32B (+7.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $19.84B , and +20.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.92B, operating cash flow of $3.19B, and free cash flow of $2.24B (-19.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TT closed FY2025 with $21.42B in total assets against $3.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.82, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$21.32B	$2.92B	$3.19B	$2.24B	$21.42B	$3.92B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$19.84B	$2.57B	$3.15B	$2.77B	$20.15B	$4.32B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$17.68B	$2.02B	$2.39B	$1.59B	$52.17B	$12.21B

3. TT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TT compare to MGA and BWA in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TT?

Where is TT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TT last traded at $410.00 (-4.89% on volume of 2,212,453 shares), positioning the stock -8.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($449.63) and -9.95% below its 200-day simple moving average ($455.31). Across its 52-week range of $348.06 to $505.87, TT sits at the 39.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($381.71 to $438.29).

TT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TT's 12-month stock price target?

Trane Technologies plc (TT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $417.38 (+1.8% from $410.00), with a bull-case target of $531.16 and a bear-case floor of $325.56.

Is TT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TT C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 62/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TT RQD Cockpit TT 12M Forecast TT Earnings & Move TT Dividends & DRIP TT Insiders & 13F TT Whale Options TT Profit Sankey TT News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

MGA C

Magna International Inc.

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc.

Modine Manufacturing Company

54 /100

TT Core Snapshot

Market Cap $94.85B

Trailing / Fwd P/E 32.5x / 30.2x

Gross Profit Margin —

Return on Capital (ROIC) 29.2%

Free Cash Flow Yield 2.36%

12M Base Price Target $417.38

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TT Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

3 Big Reasons to Love Trane Technologies (TT)

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 10h ago

Trane Technologies (TT) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 13h ago

Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Could Be Fairly Priced On New Heat Pump Launches

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 16h ago

Trane Technologies (TT) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 19h ago

Is Trane Technologies (TT) Undervalued Following Its Dividend Declaration?

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TT — Trane Technologies plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TT scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20 (ROIC 29.2%; FCF yield 2.36%). Returns on invested capital are strong, but the FCF yield is thin, which indicates that the market is pricing in substantial future cash generation relative to current free cash flow.
Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). Institutional signal is moderate. No holder-level detail is provided in the source data to explain the score further.
Insider Conviction: 13 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). Insider signal is moderately supportive.
Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20 (Beta 0.96; sector sensitivity). This is the weakest pillar. A beta near 1.0 means TT moves roughly in line with the market, and the score indicates limited defensive or regime-specific advantage.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20 (Altman Z 6.82; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.46). This is the strongest pillar and reflects a clean balance sheet profile.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the cash-return profile (ROIC) and the balance sheet strength. The valuation tradeoff is significant: the P/E (TTM) of 32.5 and EV/EBITDA of 20.3 are elevated relative to the 2.36% FCF yield, so future earnings growth must carry much of the return thesis. The macro pillar's low score signals that TT does not offer much regime-based protection. The composite verdict of Hold reflects a balance between quality and valuation rather than a directional call.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
431.1	$94.85B	32.5	30.2	20.3	13.26	0.88%	0.96	$348.06 - $505.87	29.2%

Business

Trane Technologies plc is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Auto Parts:O.E.M. industry, per the company profile. Not available in source data for product detail, customer base, or revenue mix. The source data confirms reported revenue, operating income, and net income figures (see Financial Trend) but does not describe the products sold, the end customers served, or the specific revenue model.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$21321.9M	$3967.4M	$2918.6M	N/A	$2235.0M	$1763.3M	$3922.1M
FY 2024	$19838.2M	$3500.1M	$2567.9M	N/A	$2775.0M	$1590.1M	$4318.1M
FY 2023	$17677.6M	$2894.0M	$2023.9M	N/A	$1594.1M	N/A	$12207.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $17677.6M (FY 2023) to $21321.9M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $2023.9M to $2918.6M over the same span. Market data reports an operating margin of 18.6%, a net margin of 13.7%, and ROIC of 29.2%. The Altman Z-Score is 6.82 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating's forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt fell from $12207.5M (FY 2023) to $3922.1M (FY 2025), and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.46. Gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data; this figure is not interpreted here.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six Yahoo Finance headlines reference TT, all published within the most recent fifteen hours of the data timestamp:

"3 Big Reasons to Love Trane Technologies (TT)" — flagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE).
"Trane Technologies (TT) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know" — flagged GREEN (CATALYST).
"Trane Technologies (TT) Stock Could Be Fairly Priced On New Heat Pump Launches" — flagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE). The headline references new heat pump launches; no further detail is provided in the source data.
"Trane Technologies (TT) Laps the Stock Market: Here's Why" — flagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE).
"Is Trane Technologies (TT) Undervalued Following Its Dividend Declaration?" — flagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE). The headline references a dividend declaration; the amount is not available in source data.
"Trane Technologies plc (TT) Stock Forecasts" — flagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE).

Summaries for all six items are identical and generic; no substantive claims beyond the headlines are available. The only item carrying a CATALYST flag is the market-outperformance headline. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are recorded. Risk watch items per the market data include the one-day change of -3.87% and the position at $431.1 within a 52-week range of $348.06 - $505.87.

Open Questions

What products and end markets generate TT's reported revenue, and how is that revenue distributed across them?
What drove the decline in reported debt from $12207.5M in FY 2023 to $3922.1M in FY 2025?
What is the content and amount of the dividend referenced in the recent news, and what is the basis for the 0.88% dividend yield?
Which institutional holders and insiders are driving the whale and insider pillar scores, and what are the transaction sizes?
Why is EPS reported as N/A for all three financial periods while EPS (TTM) is 13.26, and how is the gross margin of 0% to be interpreted?

TT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trane Technologies plc (TT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

3 Big Reasons to Love Trane Technologies (TT)