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trivago N.V. (TRVG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$3.64 +1.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.64

trivago N.V. (TRVG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $253.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRVG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, trivago N.V. (NASDAQ: TRVG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $3.64 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $253.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRVG compare to SMRT and KDK in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TRVG carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $258.7M) and KDK (Kodiak AI Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $244.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRVG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRVG?
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For trivago N.V. (TRVG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #420 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.64 (+0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE TRVG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRVG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRVG SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$4.17-7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$3.88-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$3.75-2.9% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$3.64-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRVG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRVG currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.98) and Max Pain ($3.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRVG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRVG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How TRVG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$7.1M (0.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.00BGross Profit $2.08B (52%)Cost of Sales $1.92BOp Profit $1.08B (27%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $998.4MNet Profit$865.3M (21.6%)Tax/Other $216.3M
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRVG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRVG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRVG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +30.00%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.82H $3.82L $3.59C $3.64VOL 90.5K
RES: $7.47SUP: $3.36SMA50: $4.98SMA200: $4.07
$7.08$5.91$4.74$3.58$2.41RES $7.47SUP $3.36$3.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRVG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRVG Butterfly Map → + Track TRVG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRVG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRVG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRVG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRVG)

Technology Rank #420 of 715 ⚔️ SMRT vs TRVG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRVG vs. SMRT, KDK, GLOO, DMRC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, trivago N.V. (TRVG) ranks #420 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #459 by equity capitalization ($253.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRVG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SMRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 32.7% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with TRVG at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRVG ACTIVE
trivago N.V.
D 45/100 — — — +1.39% $253.5M Benchmark Subject
SMRT
SmartRent Inc. (Class A)
E 30/100 — 32.7% -35.0% +2.22% $258.7M /smrt-vs-trvg →
KDK
Kodiak AI Inc.
D- 42/100 — — — -8.20% $244.8M /kdk-vs-trvg →
GLOO
Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — — -35.0% -2.05% $268.2M /gloo-vs-trvg →
DMRC
Digimarc Corporation
D+ 54/100 — — — -0.91% $238.8M /dmrc-vs-trvg →

2. TRVG Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

trivago N.V. (TRVG) operates in EDP Services (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $253.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. TRVG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRVG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, trivago N.V. (NASDAQ: TRVG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $3.64 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $253.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does TRVG compare to SMRT and KDK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TRVG carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $258.7M) and KDK (Kodiak AI Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $244.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRVG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRVG?

For trivago N.V. (TRVG), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #420 in Technology, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRVG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRVG last traded at $3.64 (+1.39% on volume of 197,664 shares), positioning the stock -26.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.98) and -10.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.07). Across its 52-week range of $2.59 to $6.80, TRVG sits at the 24.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($3.29 to $3.99).

Direct Sub-Reports: TRVG RQD Cockpit TRVG 12M Forecast TRVG Earnings & Move TRVG Dividends & DRIP TRVG Insiders & 13F TRVG Whale Options TRVG Profit Sankey TRVG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TRVG — trivago N.V.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

trivago N.V. (TRVG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.64 (+1.39% 1D, market capitalization $253.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Technology. Industry: EDP Services. Exchange: NASDAQ..V. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in EDP Services with a market capitalization of $0.3B. —: product lines, customer base, and revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.59 – $6.80 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE and butterfly_links is empty. The only sector-level linkage in the source is the liquidity signal above: because TRVG's measured beta to True Net Liquidity is 1.88x, a tightening in net liquidity would be expected to produce an amplified move relative to the broad market, according to the graph's regression.

  • Key Question #1: Can TRVG sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $6.80 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TRVG's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TRVG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for trivago N.V. (TRVG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRVG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRVG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRVG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRVG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.74 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The balance-sheet pillar at 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9 is the RQD's strongest component.

Long TRVG at $3.59 targeting $4.74. The balance-sheet pillar at 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9 is the RQD's strongest component.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.59 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — TRVG's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.05 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $3.59

Whale 13F flow scores 4/20 and the liquidity signal is BEARISH at severity 80 with a 1.88x beta to net liquidity.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short TRVG above $3.59. Whale 13F flow scores 4/20 and the liquidity signal is BEARISH at severity 80 with a 1.88x beta to net liquidity.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.80.

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