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Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.19 +1.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.19

Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $19.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TRSG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: TRSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (+1.59% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TRSG ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRSG compare to BEEM and XCH in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TRSG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 45.9%, and ROIC of -1.7%. By comparison, BEEM (Beam Global) holds a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.5M) and XCH (XCHG Limited) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $17.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTEC leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while GTEC leads on capital efficiency (9.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRSG?
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Per TRSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001943444), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) generated $15.6M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$170.3K in net income, and -$3.8M in free cash flow against $29.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.19 (+0.10%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.3% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRSG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRSG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRSG SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.59 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (19% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 25% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.20-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$1.18+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$1.21-1.7% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.19-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRSG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRSG currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.31) and Max Pain ($1.25) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRSG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TRSG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.19: 8403.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.80
$6,723
$-3,277 (-32.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.02
$8,571
$-1,429 (-14.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $1.84
$15,462
+$5,462 (+54.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRSG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRSG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.75%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1.18H $1.19L $1.18C $1.19VOL 325
RES: $1.46SUP: $0.87SMA50: $1.31SMA200: $1.33
$1.80$1.59$1.37$1.15$0.93RES $1.46SUP $0.87$1.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRSG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRSG Butterfly Map → + Track TRSG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRSG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRSG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRSG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRSG)

Industrials Rank #441 of 486 ⚔️ BEEM vs TRSG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TRSG vs. BEEM, XCH, GTEC, ZEO)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) ranks #441 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #435 by equity capitalization ($19.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTEC leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while GTEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.1% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. GTEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with TRSG at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRSG ACTIVE
Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A)
E 26/100 — 45.9% -1.7% +1.59% $19.2M Benchmark Subject
BEEM
Beam Global
E 16/100 — 12.5% -35.0% -6.55% $19.5M /beem-vs-trsg →
XCH
XCHG Limited
E 27/100 — 46.2% -35.0% +26.50% $17.7M /xch-vs-trsg →
GTEC
Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation (Class A)
C- 60/100 3.7x 31.4% 9.1% -10.75% $17.3M /gtec-vs-trsg →
ZEO
Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A)
D- 36/100 — 55.2% -35.0% -1.67% $16.5M /zeo-vs-trsg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001943444 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) reported GAAP revenue of $15.6M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.8M , and +8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$170.3K, operating cash flow of -$3.0M, and free cash flow of -$3.8M (-204.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRSG closed FY2025 with $29.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.59, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.6M -$170.3K -$3.0M -$3.8M $29.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.8M -$571.7K -$811.9K -$1.3M $29.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.4M $756.8K $451.0K $451.0K — —

3. TRSG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: TRSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.19 (+1.59% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, TRSG ranks #441 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRSG compare to BEEM and XCH in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TRSG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 45.9%, and ROIC of -1.7%. By comparison, BEEM (Beam Global) holds a E grade (16/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.5M) and XCH (XCHG Limited) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $17.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTEC leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while GTEC leads on capital efficiency (9.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRSG?

Per TRSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001943444), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) generated $15.6M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$170.3K in net income, and -$3.8M in free cash flow against $29.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRSG last traded at $1.19 (+1.59% on volume of 350 shares), positioning the stock -9.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.31) and -10.53% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.33). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $1.75, TRSG sits at the 25.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.04 to $1.34).

Direct Sub-Reports: TRSG RQD Cockpit TRSG 12M Forecast TRSG Earnings & Move TRSG Dividends & DRIP TRSG Insiders & 13F TRSG Whale Options TRSG Profit Sankey TRSG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TRSG — Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.19 (+1.59% 1D, market capitalization $19.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -1.7%, gross margin of 45.9%, operating margin of -1.5%, and free cash flow yield of -20.00%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.59, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Industrials sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..0B on a rounded basis, while the market data shows $19.2M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) reported $15.6M in annual revenue (up from $12.8M in FY2024, +22.0% YoY) and -$170.3K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.4M revenue, $756.8K net income) through FY2025, TRSG scaled operating cash flow to -$3.0M and free cash flow to -$3.8M, backed by $29.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -20.00% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.00 – $1.75 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Sector-level context is limited to the Industrials / Industrial Machinery/Components classification. A prospective investor should note that without mapped supplier or customer links, second-order ripple effects cannot be traced from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can TRSG sustain or expand its -1.5% operating margin and -1.7% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.6M and free cash flow of -$3.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TRSG's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TRSG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRSG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRSG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRSG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRSG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.37 (+16.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 10/20 with Altman Z 2.59 and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating and a relative floor aga

Picked up a starter position in TRSG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $1.18. Forensic balance sheet scores 10/20 with Altman Z 2.59 and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating and a relative floor against distress.. Trading inside a $1.00–$1.75 52-week range with -20.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $1.18 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.93 (-21.2%)
Spot @ $1.18

ROIC of -1.7% and FCF yield of -20% show the business is consuming cash, with FY 2025 FCF at -$3.8M and cash falling from $9.0M to $6.6

Fading this rally in TRSG at $1.18. ROIC of -1.7% and FCF yield of -20% show the business is consuming cash, with FY 2025 FCF at -$3.8M and cash falling from $9.0M to $6.6M.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.18 (52-wk range $1.00–$1.75), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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