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Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$17.15 +1.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.15

Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.61B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $17.15 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #894 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRIN compare to PGY and WLTH in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.60B) and WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HAPN leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?
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Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $1.04B in revenue (+40.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.15 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$20 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE TRIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRIN SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$16.91-4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$16.11+4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$16.79+2.1% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$17.15-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRIN currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.45) and Max Pain ($18.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.1%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TRIN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TRIN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRIN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TRIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.02%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $17.24H $17.24L $16.98C $17.15VOL 744.2K
RES: $19.79SUP: $15.63SMA50: $17.45SMA200: $16.71
$19.16$18.08$17.00$15.92$14.85RES $19.79SUP $15.63$17.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TRIN Butterfly Map → + Track TRIN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRIN)

Financials Rank #894 of 1096 ⚔️ PGY vs TRIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRIN vs. PGY, WLTH, HAPN, PWP)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) ranks #894 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #467 by equity capitalization ($1.61B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HAPN leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while PGY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. PGY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with TRIN at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRIN ACTIVE
Trinity Capital Inc.
D- 41/100 — — — +1.00% $1.61B Benchmark Subject
PGY
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)
B- 70/100 21.3x — 85.0% -5.72% $1.60B /pgy-vs-trin →
WLTH
Wealthfront Corporation
D 50/100 — — -6.8% +1.66% $1.60B /wlth-vs-trin →
HAPN
Happen Inc.
D- 37/100 13.6x — 9.0% +0.26% $1.79B /hapn-vs-trin →
PWP
Perella Weinberg Partners (Class A)
D 51/100 28.4x — 55.7% -1.76% $1.43B /pwp-vs-trin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001786108

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+40.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $745.2M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$535.5M, and free cash flow of -$535.5M (-69.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRIN closed FY2025 with $2.48B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.04B $0 -$535.5M -$535.5M $2.48B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $745.2M $0 -$316.9M -$316.9M $1.77B —

3. TRIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Trinity Capital Inc. (NYSE: TRIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $17.15 (+1.00% 1D, market cap $1.61B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRIN ranks #894 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRIN compare to PGY and WLTH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TRIN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PGY (Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (Class A)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.60B) and WLTH (Wealthfront Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.8%, cap $1.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HAPN leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while PGY leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIN?

Per TRIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001786108), Trinity Capital Inc. generated $1.04B in revenue (+40.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$535.5M in free cash flow against $2.48B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRIN last traded at $17.15 (+1.00% on volume of 699,225 shares), positioning the stock -1.72% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.45) and +2.63% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.71). Across its 52-week range of $14.13 to $18.90, TRIN sits at the 63.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($16.45 to $17.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: TRIN RQD Cockpit TRIN 12M Forecast TRIN Earnings & Move TRIN Dividends & DRIP TRIN Insiders & 13F TRIN Whale Options TRIN Profit Sankey TRIN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TRIN — Trinity Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.15 (+1.00% 1D, market capitalization $1.61B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Trinity Capital Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry. Market capitalization is $1.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) reported $1.04B in annual revenue (up from $745.2M in FY2024, +40.0% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($745.2M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, TRIN scaled operating cash flow to -$535.5M and free cash flow to -$535.5M, backed by $2.48B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $14.13 – $18.90 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), TRIN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can TRIN sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.04B and free cash flow of -$535.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TRIN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TRIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Trinity Capital Inc. (TRIN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TRIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TRIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TRIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TRIN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $20.72 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash on hand rose from $9.6M to $19.1M across the two reported years, and the RQD rating assigns a 2.5 Altman Z-Score.

Picked up a starter position in TRIN in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $16.98. Cash on hand rose from $9.6M to $19.1M across the two reported years, and the RQD rating assigns a 2.5 Altman Z-Score.. Trading inside a $14.13–$18.90 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Finance: Consumer Services multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.43 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $16.98

Free cash flow was negative in both periods (-$316.9M and -$535.5M), ROIC is 0%, and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9.

Fading this rally in TRIN at $16.98. Free cash flow was negative in both periods (-$316.9M and -$535.5M), ROIC is 0%, and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $16.98 (52-wk range $14.13–$18.90), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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