Seeking Alpha report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TRC Stock dropped -2.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tejon Ranch Co (NYSE: TRC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.38 (-2.27% 1D, market cap $442.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRC ranks #829 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), TRC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, AHRT (AH Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 116.9x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $453.5M) and BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?
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Per TRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000096869), Tejon Ranch Co generated $49.6M in revenue (+18.4% YoY), $75.0K in net income, and $6.1M in free cash flow against $630.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.4% FCF Margin ($6.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.7) create a -14 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRC Turnaround Squeeze
While TRC currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.29) and Max Pain ($17.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.38.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why TRC Stock dropped -2.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) dropped -2.27% to $16.38, trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($15.31 – $21.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($15.31 – $21.31) with RSI-14 at 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.1% around $16.38 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.1M annual free cash flow.
MarketBeat report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TEJON RANCH, Calif., Oct. 29, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Tejon Ranch Co., or the Company, (NYSE: TRC), a diversified real estate development and agribusiness company, today announced it will release its third quarter 2026
Tejon Ranch (TRC) stock remains a Hold: high valuation, uneven cash flow, and uncertain rent growth.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRC)
- ✓Walkthrough of TRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
TRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +18.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRC)
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TRC vs. AHRT, BOC, REAX, FRPH)
Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) ranks #829 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #730 by equity capitalization ($442.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRPH leads on earnings valuation at 114.6x trailing P/E, while AHRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and — gross margin. TRC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRC
ACTIVE
Tejon Ranch Co | D | 44/100 | — | — | -1.3% | -2.27% | $442.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| AHRT AH Realty Trust Inc. | D- | 37/100 | 116.9x | — | 6.5% | -0.49% | $453.5M | /ahrt-vs-trc → |
| BOC Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | — | -0.6% | -0.38% | $389.8M | /boc-vs-trc → |
| REAX Real REMAX Group Inc. | D- | 43/100 | — | — | — | -3.04% | $512.3M | /reax-vs-trc → |
| FRPH FRP Holdings Inc. | E | 28/100 | 114.6x | — | 1.3% | -1.00% | $360.0M | /frph-vs-trc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000096869In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) reported GAAP revenue of $49.6M (+18.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.9M , and +10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $75.0K, operating cash flow of $6.1M, and free cash flow of $6.1M (+114.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRC closed FY2025 with $630.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $49.6M | $75.0K | $6.1M | $6.1M | $630.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $41.9M | $2.7M | $14.3M | -$42.9M | $608.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $44.7M | $3.3M | $13.7M | $13.7M | — | — |
3. TRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Tejon Ranch Co (NYSE: TRC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $16.38 (-2.27% 1D, market cap $442.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TRC ranks #829 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TRC compare to AHRT and BOC in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), TRC carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.3%. By comparison, AHRT (AH Realty Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 116.9x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $453.5M) and BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRPH leads on earnings multiple (114.6x) while AHRT leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRC?
Per TRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000096869), Tejon Ranch Co generated $49.6M in revenue (+18.4% YoY), $75.0K in net income, and $6.1M in free cash flow against $630.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TRC last traded at $16.38 (-2.27% on volume of 99,563 shares), positioning the stock +0.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.29) and -7.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($17.74). Across its 52-week range of $15.31 to $21.31, TRC sits at the 17.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($15.54 to $17.22).
TRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TRC stock moving today?
Why TRC Stock dropped -2.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
TRC — Tejon Ranch Co: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TRC scores 47 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -1.3% and an FCF yield of 1.35%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating a return above its cost of capital, and the cash yield on the current price is thin.
- Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. The rating characterizes institutional accumulation and options positioning as weak in this framework. Institutional support is not a visible tailwind in the scoring.
- Insider Conviction: 7 / 20. Per the rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is scored low. The news wire does reference a director purchase (see Recent Catalysts), but the rating does not score it as a strong conviction cluster.
- Macro Regime Fit: 6 / 20. The rating cites beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the market, and the rating scores its positioning against the current regime as unfavorable.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. The rating cites Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is more stable than the earnings engine.
Investor implications, framed analytically: the upside case rests mainly on a turnaround in operating economics, since the current cash engine and flow signals are weak. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with a negative ROIC, a 1.35% FCF yield, and no reported P/E, traditional earnings-based valuation cannot be anchored from the source data. The balance-sheet pillar offers some downside cushion relative to the earnings profile, but does not offset the weakness in the other four pillars.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $49.6M | $-8.0M | $0.1M | N/A | $6.1M | $9.5M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $41.9M | $-9.2M | $2.7M | N/A | $-42.9M | $39.3M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $44.7M | $-3.7M | $3.3M | N/A | $13.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, operating income was negative in all three reported periods, while net income was positive but small. Per the market data, gross margin is 0%, operating margin is -16%, and net margin is 0.2%. ROIC is -1.3% and the FCF yield is 1.35%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the rating; the period-level debt figures are N/A in the SEC financials.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all flagged YELLOW and classified as MARKET WIRE:
- A Seeking Alpha report, "Tejon Ranch: Plenty Of Land, But Patience Has A Price," which the source summarizes only generically.
- A MarketBeat report noting the share price broke below its 200-day moving average.
- Stock Titan reports on a director award bringing trust holdings to 450,357 shares, and on director Andrew Dakos receiving 1,021 shares at a reported $16.22 each.
- A Kalkine Media report describing Andrew Dakos purchasing 1,021 shares at $16.22 under a Rule 10b5-1 plan.
- A report stating the stock traded flat at $16.35, midway between support and resistance, with a triangle correction pattern.
Risk watch items: the price breaking below its 200-day moving average and the weak RQD pillar scores. Proprietary signals: none present in the Butterfly graph. The news summaries are generic templates and provide no quantified operating catalyst.
Open Questions
- What is the composition of revenue and what drives the gap between operating losses and positive net income in FY 2024 and FY 2025?
- What explains the swing in FCF from $13.7M in FY 2023 to $-42.9M in FY 2024 and $6.1M in FY 2025?
- What is the reported debt balance and how does it relate to the Debt/Equity of 0.5 cited in the rating?
- Why are EPS and cash for FY 2023 not reported, and what are the period-level debt figures?
- What analyst consensus and price targets exist for TRC, and who are the material institutional holders?
TRC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Seeking Alpha report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.siam.in/ report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Kalkine Media report covering Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TRC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $16.38?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TRC (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $16.76?
Welcome to the TRC (Tejon Ranch Co) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TRC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TRC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tejon Ranch Co expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TRC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TRC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.76 (52-wk range $15.31 - $21.31), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.