What is TPG's 12-month stock price target?

TPG Inc. (TPG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $48.61 (+0.9% from $48.18), with a bull-case target of $73.9 and a bear-case floor of $37.92.

Stock Ratings / Financials / TPG / forecast

PS (54) OWL (65) BEN (65) CG (33) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

TPG Inc. (TPG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: Is TPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TPG C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 60/100.

$48.18 +3.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.37

TPG Inc. (TPG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $17.64B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TPG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, TPG Inc. (NASDAQ: TPG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $48.18 (+3.21% 1D, market cap $17.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, TPG ranks #379 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TPG compare to PS and OWL in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TPG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 98.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.5%. By comparison, PS (Pershing Square Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $18.26B) and OWL (Blue Owl Capital Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 53.1x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $16.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CG leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while OWL leads on capital efficiency (6.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPG?

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Per TPG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001880661), TPG Inc. generated $2.42B in revenue (+16.1% YoY), $184.6M in net income, and $923.3M in free cash flow against $13.49B in total assets and $4.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.37 (+0.39%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 38.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TPG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 38.1% FCF Margin ($923.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$42.22+4.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$44.08+1.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$44.59+8.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$48.18+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TPG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, TPG faces multiple-compression risk if 98.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 98x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.68) or 200D SMA ($45.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.61) toward Bear Floor ($37.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TPG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TPG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $48.18: 207.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $37.92

$7,870

$-2,130 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $48.61

$10,089

+$89 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $73.90

$15,338

+$5,338 (+53.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$51	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$69	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$43	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TPG Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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TPG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.00%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-03O $47.94H $48.18L $46.68C $48.18VOL 2.67M

RES: $62.58SUP: $41.77SMA50: $46.68SMA200: $45.40

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TPG Butterfly Map → + Track TPG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPG)

Financials Rank #379 of 1097 ⚔️ PS vs TPG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TPG vs. PS, OWL, BEN, CG)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TPG Inc. (TPG) ranks #379 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #124 by equity capitalization ($17.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CG leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while OWL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.3% ROIC and — gross margin. OWL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TPG at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TPG ACTIVE TPG Inc.	C-	60/100	98.2x	—	2.5%	+3.21%	$17.64B	Benchmark Subject
PS Pershing Square Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+2.10%	$18.26B	/ps-vs-tpg →
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc.	C	65/100	53.1x	—	6.3%	+2.81%	$16.11B	/owl-vs-tpg →
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc.	C	65/100	31.3x	—	3.0%	+1.04%	$16.08B	/ben-vs-tpg →
CG The Carlyle Group Inc.	E	33/100	17.9x	—	5.4%	+2.19%	$14.32B	/cg-vs-tpg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001880661 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TPG Inc. (TPG) reported GAAP revenue of $2.42B (+16.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.09B , and +58.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $184.6M, operating cash flow of $1.03B, and free cash flow of $923.3M (+110.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPG closed FY2025 with $13.49B in total assets against $4.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.42B	$184.6M	$1.03B	$923.3M	$13.49B	$4.21B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.09B	$23.5M	$532.1M	$438.2M	$10.54B	$3.12B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.53B	$80.1M	$720.5M	$651.5M	$9.96B	$2.33B

3. TPG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does TPG compare to PS and OWL in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPG?

Where is TPG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TPG last traded at $48.18 (+3.21% on volume of 2,699,022 shares), positioning the stock +3.21% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.68) and +6.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.40). Across its 52-week range of $36.95 to $70.38, TPG sits at the 33.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($43.75 to $52.61).

Direct Sub-Reports: TPG RQD Cockpit TPG 12M Forecast TPG Earnings & Move TPG Dividends & DRIP TPG Insiders & 13F TPG Whale Options TPG Profit Sankey TPG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TPG — TPG Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

TPG Inc. (TPG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $48.18 (+3.21% 1D, market capitalization $17.64B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 9.3%, and free cash flow yield of 5.10%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 0.93x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

TPG Inc. (TPG) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Investment Managers industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $17.64B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 9.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.5% (free cash flow yield of 5.1%). Within the Investment Managers peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), TPG Inc. (TPG) reported $2.42B in annual revenue (up from $2.09B in FY2024, +16.1% YoY) and $184.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.53B revenue, $80.1M net income) through FY2025, TPG scaled operating cash flow to $1.03B and free cash flow to $923.3M, backed by $13.49B in total assets against $4.21B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 5.10% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $36.95 – $70.38 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 98.2x trailing P/E and 66.7x EV/EBITDA against 9.3% operating margins and a 0.93x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Managers (Financials), TPG carries a macro regime beta of 0.93 and gross margin of —.

Key Question #1: Can TPG sustain or expand its 9.3% operating margin and 2.5% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.42B and free cash flow of $923.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $4.21B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is TPG's 82.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.93x)?

TPG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TPG Inc. (TPG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TPG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago

TPG Inc. (TPG) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

TPG RE Finance Trust: Funding Costs Are A Cause For Concern (NYSE:TRTX)

Seeking Alpha report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST GuruFocus • 1d ago

TPG Maintained by TD Cowen -- Price Target Raised to $61.00

GuruFocus report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

TPG Q3 deep dive: broad-based fund inflows and diversified growth drive outperformance

TradingView report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

At 8:30 a.m. Nov. 4, TPG Mortgage Investment Trust will discuss its third-quarter results.

Stock Titan report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

TPG Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Yahoo Finance report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

TPG RE Finance Trust: Discount Deepens, Dividend Yield Widens (NYSE:TRTX)

Seeking Alpha report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

TPG earnings: what to look for from TPG

TradingView report covering TPG Inc. (TPG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TPG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $48.18?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TPG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $59.75 (+28.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet is strongest, with Piotroski F 9/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Picked up a starter position in TPG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $46.68. Forensic balance sheet is strongest, with Piotroski F 9/9, Altman Z 2.5, and Debt/Equity 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating.. Trading inside a $36.95–$70.38 52-week range with 5.1% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Investment Managers multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — TPG's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $38.28 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $46.68

Trailing P/E of 98.2 and EV/EBITDA of 66.7 with ROIC of only 2.5% leave valuation exposed while insider conviction scores just 9/20.

Trailing P/E of 98.2 and EV/EBITDA of 66.7 with ROIC of only 2.5% leave valuation exposed while insider conviction scores just 9/20.. Look at the math on TPG: paying 98.2x trailing P/E for 2.5% ROIC and 9.3% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Investment Managers demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $41.08 before getting long.