Tenon Medical Inc. (TNON) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.05 -10.48% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01

Tenon Medical Inc. (TNON) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $5.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TNON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Tenon Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: TNON) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (-10.48% 1D, market cap $5.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TNON ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TNON compare to SNOA and INBS in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), TNON carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SNOA (Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.3M) and INBS (Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TNON leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNON?
β–Ό

Per TNON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560293), Tenon Medical Inc. generated $3.9M in revenue (+20.4% YoY), -$12.6M in net income, and -$11.0M in free cash flow against $10.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.01 (-2.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.7% Base Target
$48 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TNON RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNON)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TNON SCORES 30/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$2.89-13.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$2.51-14.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$2.14-4.2% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$2.05-9.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (38) β†’ E (30)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TNON Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TNON currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.50) and Max Pain ($2.15) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $47.77.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNONβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTNON Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TNON)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TNON.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TNON)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TNON's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TNON // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -92.25%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.29H $2.29L $2.05C $2.05VOL 172.5K
RES: $4.71SUP: $1.48SMA50: $3.50SMA200: $16.77
$38.79$28.84$18.88$8.92$-1.04RES $4.71SUP $1.48$2.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNON Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNON today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNON. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNON today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNON)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TNON vs. SNOA, INBS, NVNO, WOK)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tenon Medical Inc. (TNON) ranks #815 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #933 by equity capitalization ($5.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TNON leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TNON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 59.8% gross margin. WOK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with TNON at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TNON ACTIVE
Tenon Medical Inc.
E 30/100 β€” 59.8% -35.0% -10.48% $5.5M Benchmark Subject
SNOA
Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 34/100 β€” 38.0% -35.0% -8.33% $5.3M /snoa-vs-tnon β†’
INBS
Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.
E 27/100 β€” 40.8% -35.0% -3.82% $5.8M /inbs-vs-tnon β†’
NVNO
enVVeno Medical Corporation
E 33/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.13% $4.7M /nvno-vs-tnon β†’
WOK
WORK Medical Technology Group LTD (Class A)
D 51/100 β€” β€” β€” -9.09% $4.5M /wok-vs-tnon β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001560293

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tenon Medical Inc. (TNON) reported GAAP revenue of $3.9M (+20.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.3M , and +34.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$12.6M, operating cash flow of -$10.7M, and free cash flow of -$11.0M (-9.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, TNON closed FY2025 with $10.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.9M -$12.6M -$10.7M -$11.0M $10.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.3M -$13.7M -$9.9M -$10.1M $9.8M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.9M -$15.6M -$12.2M -$12.2M β€” β€”

3. TNON Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNON stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tenon Medical Inc. (NASDAQ: TNON) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $2.05 (-10.48% 1D, market cap $5.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TNON ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNON compare to SNOA and INBS in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), TNON carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 59.8%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SNOA (Sonoma Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.3M) and INBS (Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc.) posts a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $5.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TNON leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TNON leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNON?

Per TNON's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560293), Tenon Medical Inc. generated $3.9M in revenue (+20.4% YoY), -$12.6M in net income, and -$11.0M in free cash flow against $10.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNON trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNON last traded at $2.05 (-10.48% on volume of 172,537 shares), positioning the stock -41.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.50) and -87.78% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.77). Across its 52-week range of $2.05 to $45.50, TNON sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.79 to $2.31).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 30/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TNON β€” Tenon Medical Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TNON scores 30 out of 100 and receives an E grade, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits at or below 40% of its maximum, with the weakest readings in capital generation, institutional flow, and insider conviction. For a prospective investor, the practical implication is that the cash engine is not yet self-funding (ROIC -35%, FCF yield 0%), institutional and insider signals are weak rather than supportive, and the balance sheet is not flagged as distressed but is not a source of strength either. The rating's verdict label is a model output and should be weighed alongside the underlying facts rather than in isolation.

Business

Tenon Medical Inc. (TNON) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the company profile, it is classified within these sector and industry categories. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 59.8%.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, recent items include a Q3 2026 earnings date announcement (Nov. 12), an expansion of an ATM offering described as boosting capital flexibility, an investor-granted offering waiver for a warrant with a $5.02 exercise price, and eight new U.S. patents issued through Q3 2026. A Kalkine report headlined a month-long price decline "despite repeated capital raises." Most items are flagged YELLOW, with the penny-stock commentary flagged GREEN. Risk watch items include the ATM and warrant activity, which indicate ongoing reliance on equity financing. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the source data gives no product description?
  • What is the timeline and cash runway implied by the FY 2025 cash balance of $3.8M against FCF of $-11.0M?
  • What terms govern the ATM offering and the warrant at a $5.02 exercise price relative to the current $2.29 price?
  • Why are EPS, debt, and several earnings multiples recorded as N/A or not available, and how would they change the valuation picture?
  • What drove the 52-week range from $2.05 to $45.5, and what has happened to the share count and dilution over that period?

TNON Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tenon Medical Inc. (TNON) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to TNON Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TNON Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $2.05?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TNON 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TNON:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.02 (-11.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TNON (E β€’ RQD 30/100) a Buy at $2.29?

Welcome to the TNON (Tenon Medical Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 30/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.81 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $2.29

Pump the brakes on TNON β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TNON, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 59.8% gross margins. Unless Tenon Medical Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.73 (+19.2%)
Spot @ $2.29

TNON cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TNON, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.29 (52-wk range $2.05 - $45.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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