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Telos Corporation (TLS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$5.21 -3.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.16

Telos Corporation (TLS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $405.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Telos Corporation (NASDAQ: TLS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $5.21 (-3.87% 1D, market cap $405.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TLS ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TLS compare to CINT and MFI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TLS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CINT (CI&T Inc (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $389.2M) and MFI (mF International Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E 37.9x, ROIC -1.0%, cap $388.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IA leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while IA leads on capital efficiency (19.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLS?
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Per TLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000320121), Telos Corporation generated $164.8M in revenue (+52.2% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and $29.4M in free cash flow against $139.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.16 (-0.89%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 17.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$9 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE TLS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TLS SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.99 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$4.35+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$4.41+26.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$5.58-6.6% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$5.21+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TLS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, TLS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.54) or 200D SMA ($4.53) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.28) toward Bear Floor ($4.12).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TLS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TLS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TLS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TLS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.22%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $5.78H $5.78L $5.21C $5.21VOL 1.22M
RES: $6.02SUP: $3.99SMA50: $4.54SMA200: $4.53
$6.10$5.47$4.85$4.22$3.60RES $6.02SUP $3.99$5.212026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +52.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLS)

Technology Rank #204 of 714 ⚔️ CINT vs TLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TLS vs. CINT, MFI, IA, RZAI)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Telos Corporation (TLS) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #424 by equity capitalization ($405.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IA leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while IA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.4% ROIC and 48.1% gross margin. IA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with TLS at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TLS ACTIVE
Telos Corporation
C- 61/100 — 37.0% -35.0% -3.87% $405.1M Benchmark Subject
CINT
CI&T Inc (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — +1.99% $389.2M /cint-vs-tls →
MFI
mF International Limited (Class A)
E 30/100 37.9x — -1.0% +2.58% $388.9M /mfi-vs-tls →
IA
Innovative Solutions and Support Inc.
B- 70/100 24.8x 48.1% 19.4% +2.17% $371.8M /ia-vs-tls →
RZAI
Roze AI Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -12.99% $368.4M /rzai-vs-tls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000320121

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Telos Corporation (TLS) reported GAAP revenue of $164.8M (+52.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.3M , and +13.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$36.5M, operating cash flow of $30.2M, and free cash flow of $29.4M (+204.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TLS closed FY2025 with $139.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.99, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $164.8M -$36.5M $30.2M $29.4M $139.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $108.3M -$52.5M -$25.9M -$28.2M $158.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $145.4M -$34.4M $1.6M $1.6M — —

3. TLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Telos Corporation (NASDAQ: TLS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $5.21 (-3.87% 1D, market cap $405.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TLS ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TLS compare to CINT and MFI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TLS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CINT (CI&T Inc (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $389.2M) and MFI (mF International Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E 37.9x, ROIC -1.0%, cap $388.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IA leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while IA leads on capital efficiency (19.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLS?

Per TLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000320121), Telos Corporation generated $164.8M in revenue (+52.2% YoY), -$36.5M in net income, and $29.4M in free cash flow against $139.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TLS last traded at $5.21 (-3.87% on volume of 995,191 shares), positioning the stock +14.76% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.54) and +15.01% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.53). Across its 52-week range of $3.79 to $8.36, TLS sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.56 to $5.86).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

TLS — Telos Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Telos Corporation (TLS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $5.21 (-3.87% 1D, market capitalization $405.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 37.0%, operating margin of -24.2%, and free cash flow yield of 6.82%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.99, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the EDP Services industry, with a market capitalization of $0.4B. Per the market data, gross margin is 37%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Telos Corporation (TLS) reported $164.8M in annual revenue (up from $108.3M in FY2024, +52.2% YoY) and -$36.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($145.4M revenue, -$34.4M net income) through FY2025, TLS scaled operating cash flow to $30.2M and free cash flow to $29.4M, backed by $139.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.82% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.79 – $8.36 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation against -24.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlations beyond the Technology / EDP Services classification are — Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can TLS sustain or expand its -24.2% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $164.8M and free cash flow of $29.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is TLS's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

TLS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Telos Corporation (TLS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TLS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TLS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.21?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TLS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TLS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $6.78 (+25.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 6.82% FCF yield and a 14/20 forensic balance sheet score (Altman Z 2.99; Piotroski F 7/9) suggest the balance she

Don't sleep on TLS's setup in Technology. Per the RQD rating, a 6.82% FCF yield and a 14/20 forensic balance sheet score (Altman Z 2.99; Piotroski F 7/9) suggest the balance sheet and cash generation provide a floor under the stock.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in EDP Services. If gross margin (37.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.66 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $5.42

Per the market data, ROIC of -35% and operating margin of -24.2% show the business is not yet earning returns on its capital.

Fading this rally in TLS at $5.42. Per the market data, ROIC of -35% and operating margin of -24.2% show the business is not yet earning returns on its capital.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $5.42 (52-wk range $3.79–$8.36), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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