TradingView report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why TIL Stock slipped -0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Instil Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: TIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $6.80 (-0.37% 1D, market cap $46.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TIL ranks #561 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TIL compare to LONA and IMA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), TIL carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LONA (LeonaBio Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.3M) and IMA (ImageneBio Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TIL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TIL leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIL?
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Per TIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789769), Instil Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$71.4M in net income, and -$36.6M in free cash flow against $203.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TIL Turnaround Squeeze
While TIL currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.95) and Max Pain ($7.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.04.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why TIL Stock slipped -0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) slipped -0.37% to $6.80, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($5.56 – $18.13). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($5.56 – $18.13) with RSI-14 at 56.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $6.80 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
www.siam.in report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TIL)
- ✓Walkthrough of TIL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
TIL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TIL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TIL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TIL)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TIL vs. LONA, IMA, CRBU, INMB)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) ranks #561 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #760 by equity capitalization ($46.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TIL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TIL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. TIL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TIL
ACTIVE
Instil Bio Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -0.37% | $46.3M | Benchmark Subject |
| LONA LeonaBio Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +0.61% | $46.3M | /lona-vs-til → |
| IMA ImageneBio Inc. | E | 19/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.24% | $46.0M | /ima-vs-til → |
| CRBU Caribou Biosciences Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.90% | $47.7M | /crbu-vs-til → |
| INMB INmune Bio Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -9.37% | $44.4M | /inmb-vs-til → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001789769In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$71.4M, operating cash flow of -$36.6M, and free cash flow of -$36.6M (+34.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TIL closed FY2025 with $203.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$71.4M | -$36.6M | -$36.6M | $203.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$74.1M | -$55.7M | -$55.7M | $263.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$156.1M | -$82.0M | -$82.0M | — | — |
3. TIL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TIL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Instil Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: TIL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $6.80 (-0.37% 1D, market cap $46.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TIL ranks #561 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TIL compare to LONA and IMA in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), TIL carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LONA (LeonaBio Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.3M) and IMA (ImageneBio Inc.) posts a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $46.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TIL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TIL leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TIL?
Per TIL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001789769), Instil Bio Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$71.4M in net income, and -$36.6M in free cash flow against $203.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TIL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TIL last traded at $6.80 (-0.37% on volume of 25,233 shares), positioning the stock -2.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.95) and -11.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.68). Across its 52-week range of $5.56 to $18.13, TIL sits at the 9.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($5.95 to $7.65).
TIL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TIL stock moving today?
Why TIL Stock slipped -0.37% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
TIL — Instil Bio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, TIL scores 39 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 9 out of 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. Whale 13F flow scores 7 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning that the rating characterizes as weak. Insider conviction scores 5 out of 20, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 8 out of 20 with a beta of 1.0 and noted sector sensitivity. Forensic balance sheet scores 10 out of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 3 out of 9, and a debt-to-equity of 0.5.
For a prospective investor, the rating points to a company whose valuation rests on future outcomes rather than current earnings or cash generation. The pillar scores imply limited near-term upside drivers from operations, weak signals from insider and institutional behavior, and a balance sheet that the rating treats as vulnerable rather than robust. Valuation tradeoffs are sharp: with no reported revenue and negative operating income in each period shown, traditional earnings-based multiples are not meaningful here, and the market capitalization of $46.3M sits against cumulative reported losses. This is an educational read of the rating framework, not personalized advice.
Business
Instil Bio Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) industry, per the profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. The FY 2025 and FY 2024 financials report $0.0M in revenue, which is the only available indication of commercial activity in the reported periods. Source data does not describe how the company generates or intends to generate revenue.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-78.6M | $-71.4M | N/A | $-36.6M | $6.6M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-73.5M | $-74.1M | N/A | $-55.7M | $8.8M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-159.2M | $-156.1M | N/A | $-82.0M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, reported operating and net losses narrowed from $-159.2M operating income in FY 2023 to $-78.6M in FY 2025, while cash declined from $8.8M in FY 2024 to $6.6M in FY 2025. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% in the market data, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9, both as reported in the Roarable RQD rating. Debt-to-equity is 0.5 per the same rating, though the reported debt line is N/A in the financial table.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all tagged as market wire and rated yellow, and all summarized by third-party outlets as market-action reports covering TIL's price moves, institutional positioning, and fundamentals. Headlines reference a session decline to $5.70 with a $5.42 support level and a later rise to $5.84, along with liquidity-mapping and top-loser/largest-company list items. The summaries are generic and do not describe a specific fundamental catalyst such as a trial result, partnership, or financing. Risk watch items are the reported losses, the cash decline, and the stock's position near the low end of its 52-week range. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data beyond the sector classification itself (Health Care, Biological Products). Investors should note the absence of mapped links means this analysis cannot identify specific supplier, customer, or partner exposure.
Open Questions
- What products or development programs does the company have, and what is their stage and timeline?
- What is the cash runway given $6.6M in reported cash against FY 2025 free cash flow of $-36.6M, and how is the gap being financed?
- What is the debt structure, given the reported debt line is N/A while debt-to-equity is cited as 0.5?
- What explains the reported change from $-156.1M net income in FY 2023 to $-71.4M in FY 2025?
- Who holds the shares and how has institutional and insider ownership changed over time?
TIL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
TradingView report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
www.siam.in report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Traders Daily report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Instil Bio Inc. (TIL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TIL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.80?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TIL (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $6.83?
Welcome to the TIL (Instil Bio Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on TIL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TIL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Instil Bio Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
TIL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TIL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $6.83 (52-wk range $5.56 - $18.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.