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Why TFII Stock dropped -17.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$93.32 -17.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.27

TFI International Inc. (TFII) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.25B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on TFII Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TFII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, TFI International Inc. (NYSE: TFII) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $93.32 (-17.08% 1D, market cap $9.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TFII ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TFII compare to SAIA and KNX in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), TFII carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SAIA (Saia Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 35.9x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $9.15B) and KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 150.9x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $9.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ZTO leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TFII?
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For TFI International Inc. (TFII), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #190 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $90.28 (-3.26%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.4% Base Target
$176 Bull$92 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE TFII RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TFII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TFII SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.1% FCF Margin ($204.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$113.24-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$111.40+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$114.54-18.5% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$93.32-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TFII Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, TFII faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($121.25) or 200D SMA ($129.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($92.06) toward Bear Floor ($71.81).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TFII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TFII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TFII Stock dropped -17.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

TFI International Inc. (TFII) dropped -17.08% to $93.32, trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($80.63 – $167.69). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 15% of its 52-week range ($80.63 – $167.69) with RSI-14 at 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $93.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $204.4M annual free cash flow.
Live TFII Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TFII)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TFII's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
TFII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.67%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $112.1H $112.5L $93.32C $93.32VOL 446.5K
RES: $111.2SUP: $91.59SMA50: $121.3SMA200: $129.5
$172.9$151.2$129.5$107.8$86.10RES $111.2SUP $91.59$93.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TFII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TFII Butterfly Map → + Track TFII →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TFII today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TFII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TFII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TFII)

Industrials Rank #190 of 485 ⚔️ SAIA vs TFII Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TFII vs. SAIA, KNX, ZTO, SNDR)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TFI International Inc. (TFII) ranks #190 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #105 by equity capitalization ($9.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ZTO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.5% ROIC and 25.0% gross margin. ZTO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TFII at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TFII ACTIVE
TFI International Inc.
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% -17.08% $9.25B Benchmark Subject
SAIA
Saia Inc.
C- 59/100 35.9x — 8.5% +0.45% $9.15B /saia-vs-tfii →
KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
D 48/100 150.9x — 1.9% -0.62% $9.95B /knx-vs-tfii →
ZTO
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American
C 65/100 11.8x 25.0% 12.5% +1.36% $15.31B /zto-vs-tfii →
SNDR
Schneider National Inc.
D+ 56/100 49.8x — 4.2% -0.75% $5.16B /sndr-vs-tfii →

2. TFII Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

TFI International Inc. (TFII) operates in Trucking Freight/Courier Services (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $9.25B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. TFII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TFII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, TFI International Inc. (NYSE: TFII) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $93.32 (-17.08% 1D, market cap $9.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TFII ranks #190 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TFII compare to SAIA and KNX in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), TFII carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, SAIA (Saia Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 35.9x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $9.15B) and KNX (Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 150.9x, ROIC 1.9%, cap $9.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ZTO leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TFII?

For TFI International Inc. (TFII), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #190 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TFII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TFII last traded at $93.32 (-17.08% on volume of 1,140,892 shares), positioning the stock -23.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($121.25) and -27.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($129.54). Across its 52-week range of $80.63 to $167.69, TFII sits at the 14.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($86.88 to $99.76).

TFII Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TFII stock moving today?

Why TFII Stock dropped -17.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Direct Sub-Reports: TFII RQD Cockpit TFII 12M Forecast TFII Earnings & Move TFII Dividends & DRIP TFII Insiders & 13F TFII Whale Options TFII Profit Sankey TFII News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TFII — TFI International Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:10:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TFII scores 55 out of 100 (letter grade D+), with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 / 20 (ROIC 9.9%; FCF yield 2.21%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 12 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8 / 20 (Beta 0.9; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16 / 20 (Altman Z 3.74; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.39). The strongest pillar is the balance sheet, which the rating treats as the firmest support for the equity. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro fit, both of which pull the composite toward the sell verdict. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that the cash-generation and sentiment signals do not currently match the balance-sheet strength, and that the valuation (P/E TTM 32.8, Forward P/E 27.6) sits above the level the rating's cash-yield pillar supports. Upside would require evidence that the 2.21% FCF yield and 9.9% ROIC are improving; this is an educational reading of the data, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
112.54$9.25B32.827.6213.430%0.9$80.63 - $167.699.9%

Business

TFI International Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $9.2B. The source data does not detail its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings: A headline reports TFI International posted Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.67 per share, against a FactSet estimate of $1.75 (marketscreener.com, MARKET WIRE).
  • Analyst action (RISK WATCH): Stifel reportedly cut its price target on turnaround concerns (Investing.com).
  • Price target (RISK WATCH): A 12-month price target was cut to $160.1, which the headline states implies 40% upside (TradingView).
  • Valuation (MARKET WIRE): A Yahoo Finance headline states the stock trades below fair value after the pullback.
  • Additional MARKET WIRE items: Yahoo! Finance Canada and Simply Wall St coverage of the ticker, with no further specifics in the summaries.

The butterfly supply-chain graph reports sector Industrials, industry Trucking Freight/Courier Services, supply chain "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no upstream or downstream links, no supply-chain dependency recorded, and no proprietary signals. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be established from the source data. The Beta of 0.9 suggests market-level sensitivity below 1.0, per the market data, but the source does not identify sector peers or ripple pathways.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow figures by period? The financials section is empty.
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and the full range of price targets, given the conflicting headlines?
  • What insider, 13F institutional, and Congressional trades underlie the "accumulation" and "cluster flow" references in the RQD rating?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and does this reflect a data gap or a true reporting classification?
  • What specific turnaround concerns did Stifel cite, and do they relate to the Q3 EPS shortfall?

TFII Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for TFI International Inc. (TFII) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TFII Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TFII Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $93.32?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TFII 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TFII:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $121.54 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TFII (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $112.54?

Welcome to the TFII (TFI International Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $90.03 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $112.54

Pump the brakes on TFII — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TFII, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless TFI International Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $144.05 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $112.54

TFII cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TFII, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $112.54 (52-wk range $80.63 - $167.69), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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