Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.3% Move

$53.85 -1.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.86

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 7% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $53.85 (-1.21% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?
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Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.86 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 37.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Cash (13)Whales (16)SEC (10)Macro (17)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$68 Bull$57 Base$44 Bear
📬 FREE TEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TEN SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 92% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
80
Grade A-$56.40-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$50.43+5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
75
Grade B+$53.40+0.8% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$53.85+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (80) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TEN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TEN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($49.18) or 200D SMA ($40.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.24) toward Bear Floor ($44.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.3% Swing Band

±$4.47 Expected Swing
$49.38 (-8.3%)Spot $53.85$58.32 (+8.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TEN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $5.34 • YoY Revenue Growth: -0.7%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$798.7M$160.9M$297.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$804.1M$176.2M$307.7M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$889.6M$300.2M$395.3M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TEN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TEN
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.85%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $54.51H $54.51L $53.85C $53.85VOL 249.3K
RES: $58.25SUP: $42.14SMA50: $49.18SMA200: $40.15
$58.82$50.17$41.52$32.87$24.23RES $58.25SUP $42.14$53.852026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TEN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #117 of 1011 ⚔️ NAT vs TEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TEN vs. NAT, CMRE, FLNG, SFL)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) ranks #117 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #444 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMRE leads on earnings valuation at 4.8x trailing P/E, while CMRE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. TEN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TEN ACTIVE
Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd
B 72/100 10.2x — 6.6% -1.21% $1.62B Benchmark Subject
NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited
C- 60/100 139.9x 62.3% 4.6% -2.47% $1.67B /nat-vs-ten →
CMRE
Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value
D+ 53/100 4.8x — 12.8% -1.80% $1.71B /cmre-vs-ten →
FLNG
FLEX LNG Ltd.
D 45/100 20.7x — 6.9% -0.98% $1.53B /flng-vs-ten →
SFL
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 — — 3.9% -1.67% $1.72B /sfl-vs-ten →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001166663

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) reported GAAP revenue of $798.7M (-0.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $804.1M , and -10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $160.9M, operating cash flow of $297.6M, and free cash flow of $297.6M (-3.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TEN closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $798.7M $160.9M $297.6M $297.6M $3.95B $1.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $804.1M $176.2M $307.7M $307.7M $3.71B $1.35B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $889.6M $300.2M $395.3M $395.3M — —

3. TEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (NYSE: TEN) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $53.85 (-1.21% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TEN ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TEN compare to NAT and CMRE in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TEN carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.6%. By comparison, NAT (Nordic American Tankers Limited) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 139.9x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $1.67B) and CMRE (Costamare Inc. $0.0001 par value) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 4.8x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMRE leads on earnings multiple (4.8x) while CMRE leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TEN?

Per TEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166663), Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd generated $798.7M in revenue (-0.7% YoY), $160.9M in net income, and $297.6M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TEN last traded at $53.85 (-1.21% on volume of 249,327 shares), positioning the stock +9.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($49.18) and +34.12% above its 200-day simple moving average ($40.15). Across its 52-week range of $21.65 to $56.73, TEN sits at the 91.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($49.38 to $58.32).

TEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TEN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TEN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.3% event move for TEN, spanning a range between $49.38 and $58.32.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TEN — Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:22Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TEN scores 72 out of 100, grading B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 6.6% and an FCF yield of 18.12%. Cash generation is a relative strength, but the modest ROIC suggests capital deployed earns a thinner return than the cash yield alone implies.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. The rating reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Source detail for the underlying 13F filings is not included in this dataset.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. The rating reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. See the Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership section for the limits of what the source provides.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 17 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. This is the highest pillar, indicating the stock's market sensitivity is in line with the broad market rather than amplified.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82. This is the weakest pillar and the main counterweight to the overall score.

For a prospective investor, the implication is that the rating's strongest support comes from cash generation, institutional and insider signals, and market-regime fit, while the balance sheet is the area most in need of scrutiny. The valuation inputs in the market data (P/E TTM of 10.2, forward P/E of 9.5, EV/EBITDA of 11.2) describe a stock priced at a modest multiple of earnings and cash flow. Upside drivers in the data include the high FCF yield and the 3.66% dividend yield; the main valuation tradeoff is that a low multiple can reflect market doubts about durability, which the balance sheet pillar points toward. This is an analytical reading of the provided scores, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$54.51$1.64B10.29.511.25.343.66%1.0$21.65 - $56.736.6%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, six items reference TEN, all published within roughly the last 15 hours of the data timestamp:

  • Catalyst-tagged (GREEN): a ChartMill item on meeting a Minervini trend and high-growth momentum screen; a GuruFocus item on shares surging 6.2% with a GF Score of 48.
  • Market-wire-tagged (YELLOW): Seeking Alpha commentary on preferred versus common shares; a Yahoo! Finance Canada price-target item; a TradingView estimates item; and a Stock Titan item reporting that President Georgios Saroglou plans to sell 5,000 TEN shares.

Risk watch items: the planned insider sale reported by Stock Titan is the most direct negative-signal item in the wire. The news items do not disclose underlying causes for the price move. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links, so no proprietary signal analysis is available.

Open Questions

  • What drives the gap between the 6.6% ROIC and the 18.12% FCF yield, and how much of the FCF is sustainable versus a result of depreciation or working-capital timing?
  • Why did EPS report as N/A across all three periods, and what is the per-share earnings trend?
  • What explains the rise in debt from $1354.4M to $1487.4M while cash declined, and what are the maturity and refinancing terms?
  • What is the fleet, customer, and contract structure underlying the revenue, and how exposed is revenue to charter-rate cycles?
  • What were the underlying 13F, insider, and Congressional filings behind the RQD whale and insider pillar scores, and does the planned 5,000-share sale fit within those patterns?

TEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd (TEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.85?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $64.32 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TEN (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $54.51?

Welcome to the TEN (Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.43 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $54.51

Pump the brakes on TEN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TEN, but look at what you are paying: 10.2x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $66.50 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $54.51

TEN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TEN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $54.51 (52-wk range $21.65 - $56.73), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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