Tidewater Inc. (TDW) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.8% Move

$87.33 +2.40% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.92

Tidewater Inc. (TDW) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $4.35B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $87.33 (+2.40% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDW ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TDW compare to TRMD and BIPC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TDW carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, TRMD (TORM plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.38B) and BIPC (Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDW leads on earnings multiple (12.7x) while TDW leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDW?
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Per TDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098222), Tidewater Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $333.5M in net income, and $353.3M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $649.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.92 (+0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 26.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 79/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510079
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (14)SEC (15)Macro (15)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.4% Base Target
$113 Bull$96 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE TDW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TDW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (79/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TDW SCORES 79/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 26.1% FCF Margin ($353.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-6 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$86.45-6.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$80.81+4.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$84.49+3.4% Next Q
Current
79
Grade B+$87.33+8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → B+ (79)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TDW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, TDW faces multiple-compression risk if 12.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.02) or 200D SMA ($79.58) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($95.58) toward Bear Floor ($71.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TDW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TDW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.8% Swing Band

±$6.81 Expected Swing
$80.52 (-7.8%)Spot $87.33$94.14 (+7.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TDW Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 79/100

Trailing EPS: $6.70 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.5%

Model Bullish Setup (79/100)Model Risk Weight (21/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$1.35B$333.5M$353.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.35B$179.0M$254.9M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.01B$95.6M$104.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TDW & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TDW
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TDW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.29%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $85.28H $87.33L $85.28C $87.33VOL 382.3K
RES: $110.2SUP: $76.82SMA50: $87.02SMA200: $79.58
$104.3$93.00$81.70$70.40$59.09RES $110.2SUP $76.82$87.332026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TDW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
3.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TDW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TDW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TDW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TDW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #29 of 1011 ⚔️ TRMD vs TDW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TDW vs. TRMD, BIPC, DHT, GLNG)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tidewater Inc. (TDW) ranks #29 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #296 by equity capitalization ($4.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDW leads on earnings valuation at 12.7x trailing P/E, while TDW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TDW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 79/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TDW ACTIVE
Tidewater Inc.
B+ 79/100 12.7x — 15.6% +2.40% $4.35B Benchmark Subject
TRMD
TORM plc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.82% $4.38B /trmd-vs-tdw →
BIPC
Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation
D 50/100 — — — -0.24% $4.61B /bipc-vs-tdw →
DHT
DHT Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% -0.24% $4.03B /dht-vs-tdw →
GLNG
Golar Lng Ltd
D 44/100 72.3x — 2.5% -1.07% $4.70B /glng-vs-tdw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000098222

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tidewater Inc. (TDW) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.35B , and +33.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $333.5M, operating cash flow of $379.1M, and free cash flow of $353.3M (+38.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TDW closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $649.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.35B $333.5M $379.1M $353.3M $2.39B $649.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.35B $179.0M $282.5M $254.9M $2.07B $571.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.01B $95.6M $104.2M $104.2M — —

3. TDW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TDW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Tidewater Inc. (NYSE: TDW) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $87.33 (+2.40% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TDW ranks #29 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TDW compare to TRMD and BIPC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TDW carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, TRMD (TORM plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $4.38B) and BIPC (Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDW leads on earnings multiple (12.7x) while TDW leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TDW?

Per TDW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098222), Tidewater Inc. generated $1.35B in revenue (+0.5% YoY), $333.5M in net income, and $353.3M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $649.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TDW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TDW last traded at $87.33 (+2.40% on volume of 382,294 shares), positioning the stock +0.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.02) and +9.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($79.58). Across its 52-week range of $49.49 to $101.58, TDW sits at the 72.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($80.52 to $94.14).

TDW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TDW's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tidewater Inc. (TDW)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TDW stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.8% event move for TDW, spanning a range between $80.52 and $94.14.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 79/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TDW — Tidewater Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:21:58Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TDW scores 72 out of 100, grade B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The score is the sum of five pillars, and their relative strength shapes what the number means for an investor today:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17 / 20): The strongest pillar. The rating cites ROIC of 15.6% and an FCF yield of 8.33%. For a prospective investor, this suggests the business is generating meaningful returns on capital and cash relative to the current price, which is the core upside driver the rating highlights.
  • Insider Conviction (18 / 20): The highest-scoring pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is a signal of insider and related-party activity; the source does not specify the direction or size of individual trades beyond the pillar score, so the investor should treat it as a positive-leaning signal that warrants verification in the underlying filings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (15 / 20): Per the rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.48. These point to a financially sound balance sheet with moderate leverage and solid internal health indicators.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13 / 20): Beta is 1.0, indicating market-level sensitivity, with a sector-sensitivity component. This is a middling score, suggesting the stock's performance is tied to broader macro conditions rather than being insulated from them.
  • Whale 13F Flow (9 / 20): The weakest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. A low score here means institutional flow is a less supportive factor than the cash-generation and insider signals.

Valuation tradeoff: Market data shows a P/E (TTM) of 12.7 and a forward P/E of 11.8, against an EV/EBITDA of 14.2. The price sits near the upper part of its 52-week range, so the investor is weighing strong cash metrics against a valuation that has already re-rated over the past year. The 2.4% daily gain and 382,105 volume are reported without further context.

Overall implication: The rating frames TDW as a fundamentally supported name with insider support and sound forensics, tempered by weaker institutional flow and only market-level macro fit. This is an analytical framing of the data, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
87.33$4.24B12.711.814.26.70%1.0$49.54 - $101.5815.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1352.8M$282.6M$333.5MN/A$353.3M$578.8M$649.0M
FY 2024$1345.8M$311.3M$179.0MN/A$254.9M$324.9M$571.7M
FY 2023$1010.0M$182.2M$95.6MN/A$104.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1010.0M (FY 2023) to $1352.8M (FY 2025), and net income climbed from $95.6M to $333.5M over the same span. Operating margin in market data is 20.9% and net margin is 24.7%; gross margin is reported as 0%. ROIC is 15.6%. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.48. FY 2025 debt of $649.0M exceeded cash of $578.8M, and FY 2025 operating income of $282.6M was below FY 2024's $311.3M even as net income rose.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to TDW and labeled "MARKET WIRE" with YELLOW signal lights. They are headline-level aggregator and commentary pieces from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance Singapore, GuruFocus (three items), Timothy Sykes, and StocksToTrade, published between roughly 1 and 15 hours before the data timestamp. Their summaries are generic. Themes that recur across headlines include a price decline of 4.8% described alongside an "overvalued" label, a price rise of 8.1% also described alongside an "overvalued" label with a GF Score of 76/100, cash-flow strength, and steady momentum. Not available in source data for any specific fundamental event, contract, or guidance change. Proprietary signals in the Butterfly graph: Not available in source data (the list is empty).

Risk watch items from the sources: the GuruFocus headlines flag valuation concerns, and the price swings of 4.8% and 8.1% indicate short-term volatility.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

  • What does the company sell, to which customers, and through what revenue model? The source data contains no business description beyond sector and industry.
  • What drove the FY 2025 jump in net income ($333.5M vs. $179.0M) while operating income declined from $311.3M to $282.6M?
  • Which specific insider and Congressional transactions make up the 18 / 20 insider pillar, and in which direction?
  • Why is EPS reported as N/A for all periods, and how does it reconcile with the TTM EPS of 6.7?
  • What is the company's FY 2023 cash and debt position, which the source lists as N/A?

TDW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Tidewater Inc. (TDW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TDW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TDW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $87.33?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TDW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TDW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.05 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is TDW (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $87.33?

Welcome to the TDW (Tidewater Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.12 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $87.33

Pump the brakes on TDW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on TDW, but look at what you are paying: 12.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Tidewater Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $100.43 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $87.33

TDW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on TDW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $87.33 (52-wk range $49.54 - $101.58), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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