Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.47 -1.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.45

Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $873.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TBLA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Taboola.com Ltd. (NASDAQ: TBLA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $3.47 (-1.56% 1D, market cap $873.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TBLA ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TBLA compare to NXDR and DSP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TBLA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.0x, gross margin of 29.8%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, NXDR (Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $866.5M) and DSP (Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 21.5%, cap $853.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YALA leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while YALA leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBLA?
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Per TBLA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001840502), Taboola.com Ltd. generated $1.91B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $42.3M in net income, and $163.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $102.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.45 (-0.47%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 8.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (6)SEC (15)Macro (9)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$6 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE TBLA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TBLA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TBLA SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$3.46-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$3.45-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$3.39+2.4% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$3.47-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TBLA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, TBLA faces multiple-compression risk if 21.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($3.55) or 200D SMA ($4.00) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($3.44) toward Bear Floor ($2.68).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TBLA• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TBLA Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TBLA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.47: 2881.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.68
$7,723
$-2,277 (-22.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.44
$9,914
$-86 (-0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $6.00
$17,291
+$7,291 (+72.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TBLA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TBLA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TBLA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.44%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $3.52H $3.52L $3.47C $3.47VOL 1.91M
RES: $3.49SUP: $2.90SMA50: $3.55SMA200: $4.00
$5.89$5.15$4.42$3.69$2.95RES $3.49SUP $2.90$3.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TBLA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TBLA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TBLA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TBLA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TBLA)

Technology Rank #269 of 714 ⚔️ NXDR vs TBLA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TBLA vs. NXDR, DSP, SIFY, YALA)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) ranks #269 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #360 by equity capitalization ($873.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YALA leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while YALA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.1% ROIC and 67.3% gross margin. DSP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with TBLA at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TBLA ACTIVE
Taboola.com Ltd.
D+ 56/100 21.0x 29.8% 3.9% -1.56% $873.6M Benchmark Subject
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D 47/100 — 84.1% -15.4% -2.61% $866.5M /nxdr-vs-tbla →
DSP
Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)
C+ 69/100 106.2x 45.8% 21.5% -3.82% $853.2M /dsp-vs-tbla →
SIFY
Sify Technologies Limited
D 48/100 — — — -1.50% $901.1M /sify-vs-tbla →
YALA
Yalla Group Limited each representing one Class A Ordinary Share
C 62/100 5.8x 67.3% 34.1% -2.31% $833.5M /yala-vs-tbla →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001840502

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.91B (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.77B , and +32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $42.3M, operating cash flow of $208.4M, and free cash flow of $163.4M (+9.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TBLA closed FY2025 with $1.61B in total assets against $102.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.91B $42.3M $208.4M $163.4M $1.61B $102.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.77B -$3.8M $184.3M $149.2M $1.72B $116.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.44B -$82.0M $84.4M $84.4M — —

3. TBLA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TBLA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Taboola.com Ltd. (NASDAQ: TBLA) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $3.47 (-1.56% 1D, market cap $873.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TBLA ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TBLA compare to NXDR and DSP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TBLA carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.0x, gross margin of 29.8%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, NXDR (Nextdoor Holdings Inc. (Class A)) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $866.5M) and DSP (Viant Technology Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 106.2x, ROIC 21.5%, cap $853.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YALA leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while YALA leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TBLA?

Per TBLA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001840502), Taboola.com Ltd. generated $1.91B in revenue (+8.3% YoY), $42.3M in net income, and $163.4M in free cash flow against $1.61B in total assets and $102.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TBLA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TBLA last traded at $3.47 (-1.56% on volume of 1,908,113 shares), positioning the stock -2.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.55) and -13.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.00). Across its 52-week range of $2.84 to $5.71, TBLA sits at the 22.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($3.23 to $3.71).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

TBLA — Taboola.com Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:04Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, TBLA scores 56 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC 3.9%; FCF yield 18.42%), Whale 13F Flow at 6 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 16 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.11).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the Whale 13F Flow score and the Macro Regime Fit score, while the strongest is Insider Conviction. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar is comparatively solid, which the source ties to a low Debt/Equity ratio and a perfect Piotroski score. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar is held back by a 3.9% ROIC even though the source reports an 18.42% FCF yield; the gap between these two figures is a valuation and capital-efficiency tradeoff the source does not fully reconcile. Upside drivers cited in the data are the cash-flow yield and insider cluster activity; the main drags are low return on invested capital, modest institutional signal, and sector-linked beta exposure. The overall rating is a data-driven assessment, not a recommendation.

Business

Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Market wire coverage (YELLOW): Multiple items from Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance UK, Seeking Alpha, Simply Wall St, and MarketBeat cover market action and fundamental catalysts for TBLA. The headlines themselves are generic, and the summaries carry no specific event details.
  • Class action alert (YELLOW): A Morningstar-sourced item references a securities class action notice from Levi & Korsinsky with a stated upcoming deadline for stockholders. This is a risk watch item; the source does not provide case details, claim amounts, or deadlines beyond the headline.
  • Price action (GREEN, CATALYST): A MarketBeat item reports a 5.6% stock jump, tagged as a catalyst. The source does not state a cause.
  • Butterfly graph: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so upstream/downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be established from the provided sources.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

— The analyst data and holders sections are both empty, so no consensus rating, price targets, SEC Form 4 insider trades, 13F institutional holdings, or Congressional trades are reported. The Roarable RQD Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores are the only ownership-related figures provided.

Open Questions

  • What is the nature, scope, and deadline of the securities class action referenced in the Morningstar-sourced news item?
  • What drove the 5.6% stock move referenced in the MarketBeat item, and is it tied to any disclosed event?
  • Why does an 18.42% FCF yield coexist with a 3.9% ROIC, and what share-count or capital-structure factors explain the gap?
  • What are the FY 2025 EPS figure and the cash and debt amounts for FY 2023, which are reported as N/A or not available?
  • What is the company's revenue mix by product, customer segment, and geography?

TBLA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to TBLA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

TBLA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.47?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON TBLA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on TBLA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.16 (+19.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong FCF yield of 18.42% combined with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and low Debt/Equity of 0.11 suggests a cash-generative, fin

Long TBLA at $3.47 targeting $4.16. Strong FCF yield of 18.42% combined with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 and low Debt/Equity of 0.11 suggests a cash-generative, financially sound balance sheet.. Institutional whale score is 6/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.84 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 56/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.47 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.23.

RE RedlineAuditor Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.88 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $3.47

A 3.9% ROIC, a 6 of 20 Whale 13F Flow score, and a securities class action alert point to weak capital efficiency and institutional and

I respect the product at Taboola.com Ltd., but the stock at $3.47 is a different story. A 3.9% ROIC, a 6 of 20 Whale 13F Flow score, and a securities class action alert point to weak capital efficiency and institutional and legal risk.. FCF yield is 18.42% and RQD sits at 56/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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