SVRN Inc. (SVRN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$29.47 -5.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.13

SVRN Inc. (SVRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $55.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SVRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SVRN Inc. (NASDAQ: SVRN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $29.47 (-5.33% 1D, market cap $55.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SVRN ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SVRN compare to GLBS and PXS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SVRN carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.5%. By comparison, GLBS (Globus Maritime Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $62.4M) and PXS (Pyxis Tankers Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $73.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PXS leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while EHLD leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVRN?
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Per SVRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31, CIK 0001869467), SVRN Inc. generated $25.7M in revenue (+35.6% YoY), -$17.9M in net income, and -$22.4M in free cash flow against $89.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.13 (-1.15%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$78 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE SVRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SVRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SVRN SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 37% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$38.61-32.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$25.98+19.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$31.12-5.3% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$29.47-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SVRN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SVRN currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.44) and Max Pain ($30.94) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $78.48.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SVRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SVRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SVRN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SVRN.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SVRN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SVRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SVRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +242.67%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $31.13H $31.13L $29.47C $29.47VOL 91.3K
RES: $91.01SUP: $6.60SMA50: $28.44SMA200: $14.30
$79.60$59.47$39.34$19.20$-0.93RES $91.01SUP $6.60$29.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SVRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +35.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SVRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SVRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SVRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SVRN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #707 of 1011 ⚔️ GLBS vs SVRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SVRN vs. GLBS, PXS, HMR, EHLD)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SVRN Inc. (SVRN) ranks #707 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #803 by equity capitalization ($55.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PXS leads on earnings valuation at 37.5x trailing P/E, while EHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with SVRN at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SVRN ACTIVE
SVRN Inc.
D- 42/100 — — -18.5% -5.33% $55.3M Benchmark Subject
GLBS
Globus Maritime Limited
D+ 54/100 — — — +1.40% $62.4M /glbs-vs-svrn →
PXS
Pyxis Tankers Inc.
C+ 66/100 37.5x — 3.4% -2.40% $73.0M /pxs-vs-svrn →
HMR
Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -23.60% $80.2M /hmr-vs-svrn →
EHLD
Euroholdings Ltd.
C 65/100 — — 33.1% +1.88% $33.7M /ehld-vs-svrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2024)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2024-12-31 • CIK 0001869467

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31), SVRN Inc. (SVRN) reported GAAP revenue of $25.7M (+35.6% vs. FY2023 revenue of $19.0M ) , GAAP net income of -$17.9M, operating cash flow of -$3.5M, and free cash flow of -$22.4M (-2852.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SVRN closed FY2024 with $89.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $25.7M -$17.9M -$3.5M -$22.4M $89.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $19.0M -$2.0M $815.0K $815.0K — —

3. SVRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SVRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SVRN Inc. (NASDAQ: SVRN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $29.47 (-5.33% 1D, market cap $55.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SVRN ranks #707 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SVRN compare to GLBS and PXS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), SVRN carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.5%. By comparison, GLBS (Globus Maritime Limited) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $62.4M) and PXS (Pyxis Tankers Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 37.5x, ROIC 3.4%, cap $73.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PXS leads on earnings multiple (37.5x) while EHLD leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SVRN?

Per SVRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2024, filed 2024-12-31, CIK 0001869467), SVRN Inc. generated $25.7M in revenue (+35.6% YoY), -$17.9M in net income, and -$22.4M in free cash flow against $89.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SVRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SVRN last traded at $29.47 (-5.33% on volume of 91,279 shares), positioning the stock +3.62% above its 50-day simple moving average ($28.44) and +106.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.30). Across its 52-week range of $3.12 to $74.74, SVRN sits at the 36.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($25.79 to $33.15).

SVRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is SVRN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for SVRN.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SVRN — SVRN Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:46:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SVRN scores 43 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. The pillar reflects ROIC of -18.5% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the core issue is that the business is not currently generating a return on invested capital, and it is not producing free cash flow relative to its valuation. Any upside case would need to rest on a turnaround in operating economics that the source data does not demonstrate.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 11 / 20. Scored on institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the basis for this pillar score cannot be independently traced in the sources provided.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the lowest-scoring pillar relative to its weight, indicating weak insider-side conviction signals in the rating's inputs.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the rating treats the stock as moving in line with the broad market, so it does not by itself indicate a defensive or aggressive posture.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Built on Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. The Piotroski reading is weak, and the Altman figure is presented here as the rating's input without further interpretation.

Taken together, a prospective investor should view the rating as a signal of fundamental and flow weakness rather than a valuation call. The highest-weighted concerns are the negative ROIC and zero FCF yield, the weak insider-conviction reading, and the low Piotroski score. Upside drivers the rating does not capture would need to come from outside the scored inputs. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31)$25.7M$-18.0M$-17.9MN/A$-22.4M$7.2MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31)$19.0M$-7.7M$-2.0MN/A$0.8MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating margin and net margin are each -60% per the market data section, and gross margin is 0%. ROIC is -18.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both per the Roarable RQD rating forensic inputs. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same source. The source data shows operating and net losses in both reported periods, with FY 2024 losses widening relative to FY 2023 and FY 2024 free cash flow turning sharply negative. Debt for either period is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the feed contains six items tagged to SVRN:

  • CATALYST (green): Investing.com report on a daily gain of roughly 7%, covering institutional positioning and fundamental catalysts.
  • MARKET WIRE (yellow): TradingView report headlined as a short seller calling the stock "uninvestable."
  • CATALYST (green): Benzinga report on a Friday gain.
  • RISK WATCH (red): Moomoo report on shares falling after a Nasdaq delisting determination.
  • MARKET WIRE (yellow): Stock Titan report on an acquisition under the SVRN name tied to OceanPal and NEAR network operations.
  • RISK WATCH (red): StreetInsider report on shares dropping after a short-seller report.

The risk-watch items (delisting determination and short-seller report) are the most material for a prospective investor, while the catalyst items describe price moves without specifying their drivers in the source. The Butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the basis and status of the Nasdaq delisting determination referenced in the news feed, and what timeline applies?
  • What drove the rise from a 52-week low of $3.12 to a 52-week high of $74.74, and what explains the current price of $31.13?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue model, given that the source data gives only sector and industry classification?
  • What is the company's debt level and liquidity position in FY 2024, given that debt is not reported and cash is reported only for FY 2024?
  • What is the relationship between the OceanPal/NEAR acquisition headline and the company's reported financials, and does it affect the FY 2024 operating losses?

SVRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SVRN Inc. (SVRN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SVRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SVRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.47?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SVRN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SVRN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $27.39 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SVRN (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $31.13?

Welcome to the SVRN (SVRN Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.97 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $31.13

Pump the brakes on SVRN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SVRN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless SVRN Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.67 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $31.13

SVRN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SVRN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $31.13 (52-wk range $3.12 - $74.74), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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