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Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$83.78 +0.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.01

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (96.0% gross margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $34.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SUNB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SUNB) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $83.78 (+0.18% 1D, market cap $34.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUNB ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SUNB compare to AER and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUNB carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, AER (AerCap Holdings N.V.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $24.48B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUNB?
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Per SUNB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0002083785), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. generated $2.51B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $1.3K in net income, and $3.67B in free cash flow against $22.31B in total assets and $7.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.01 (+0.27%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 146.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B-
Cash (15)Whales (18)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$107 Bull$91 Base$69 Bear
📬 FREE SUNB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SUNB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SUNB SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 146.3% FCF Margin ($3.67B FCF) & 171% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67) create a -6 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$75.61+3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$78.50+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$82.90+1.1% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$83.78+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SUNB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, SUNB faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 168.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($75.50) or 200D SMA ($74.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($90.57) toward Bear Floor ($68.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SUNB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SUNB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SUNB)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SUNB.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SUNB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SUNB
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SUNB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.69%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $84.32H $84.32L $83.63C $83.78VOL 3.93M
RES: $84.35SUP: $61.71SMA50: $75.50SMA200: $74.74
$88.21$81.88$75.56$69.23$62.91RES $84.35SUP $61.71$83.782026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SUNB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SUNB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SUNB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SUNB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SUNB)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #48 of 1009 ⚔️ AER vs SUNB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SUNB vs. AER, APG, ROL, URI)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) ranks #48 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #60 by equity capitalization ($34.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. URI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with SUNB at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SUNB ACTIVE
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 — 96.0% 11.7% +0.18% $34.27B Benchmark Subject
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x — 9.2% +3.04% $24.48B /aer-vs-sunb →
APG
APi Group Corporation
C 64/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% +2.17% $18.86B /apg-vs-sunb →
ROL
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x — 28.5% +3.95% $16.57B /rol-vs-sunb →
URI
United Rentals Inc.
B+ 78/100 29.8x 96.0% 18.2% +0.46% $72.45B /uri-vs-sunb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-04-30 • CIK 0002083785 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) reported GAAP revenue of $2.51B (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.40B , and -10.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.3K, operating cash flow of $3.78B, and free cash flow of $3.67B (-1.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SUNB closed FY2025 with $22.31B in total assets against $7.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.47, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $2.51B $1.3K $3.78B $3.67B $22.31B $7.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $2.40B $1.55B $3.84B $3.74B $19.00B $4.45B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $2.80B $1.57B $3.66B $3.54B $19.00B $4.45B

3. SUNB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SUNB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (NYSE: SUNB) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $83.78 (+0.18% 1D, market cap $34.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SUNB ranks #48 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SUNB compare to AER and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), SUNB carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of 11.7%. By comparison, AER (AerCap Holdings N.V.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 6.6x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $24.48B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SUNB?

Per SUNB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0002083785), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. generated $2.51B in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $1.3K in net income, and $3.67B in free cash flow against $22.31B in total assets and $7.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SUNB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SUNB last traded at $83.78 (+0.18% on volume of 2,474,093 shares), positioning the stock +10.97% above its 50-day simple moving average ($75.50) and +12.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.74). Across its 52-week range of $61.03 to $86.68, SUNB sits at the 88.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($78.25 to $89.31).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SUNB — Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-04-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 76/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $83.78 (+0.18% 1D, market capitalization $34.27B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.7%, gross margin of 96.0%, operating margin of 75.0%, and free cash flow yield of 10.63%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (18/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.14x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.47, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.93x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Diversified Commercial Services industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-04-30), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) reported $2.51B in annual revenue (up from $2.40B in FY2024, +4.4% YoY) and $1.3K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.80B revenue, $1.57B net income) through FY2025, SUNB scaled operating cash flow to $3.78B and free cash flow to $3.67B, backed by $22.31B in total assets against $7.09B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 76/100): Strong cash generator (96.0% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 18/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $61.03 – $86.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation and 18.3x EV/EBITDA against 75.0% operating margins and a 1.14x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations cannot be mapped from the provided sources. The profile places the company in Diversified Commercial Services, but no peer or correlation data is supplied to test that classification. Second-order bottlenecks therefore cannot be identified from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can SUNB sustain or expand its 75.0% operating margin and 11.7% ROIC against Diversified Commercial Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.51B and free cash flow of $3.67B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.09B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SUNB's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.14x)?

SUNB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc. (SUNB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SUNB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SUNB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.78?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SUNB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SUNB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.70 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation (18/20) and a 10.63% FCF yield point to strong smart-money and cash-generation support.

Here is why I am bullish on SUNB here at $83.63: Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation (18/20) and a 10.63% FCF yield point to strong smart-money and cash-generation support.. Compare SUNB's 75.0% operating margin and 11.7% ROIC against the rest of Diversified Commercial Services. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $79.45 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 76/100 quality, though with 1.14 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $83.63 and keeping dry powder in case we test $77.78.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $69.41 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $83.63

Reported net income of $0.0M in FY 2025 against $3.67B of FCF and debt rising to $7.09B raises unresolved earnings-quality and leve

I respect the product at Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc., but the stock at $83.63 is a different story. Reported net income of $0.0M in FY 2025 against $3.67B of FCF and debt rising to $7.09B raises unresolved earnings-quality and leverage questions.. FCF yield is 10.63% and RQD sits at 76/100 (B+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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