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System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.69 -0.59% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68

System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 17/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $17.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, System1 Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.69 (-0.59% 1D, market cap $17.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SST ranks #708 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SST compare to JF and GIGM in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SST carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.7%, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, JF (J and Friends Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $16.7M) and GIGM (GigaMedia Limited) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SST leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SST?
β–Ό

Per SST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805833), System1 Inc. (Class A) generated $266.1M in revenue (-22.6% YoY), -$65.3M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $405.0M in total assets and $228.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.68 (-0.30%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (17/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510017
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (4)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-18.3% Base Target
$6 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SST RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (17/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SST SCORES 17/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 37.7% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+4/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$2.16-2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
22
Grade E$2.10-13.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
20
Grade E$1.82-7.1% Next Q
Current
17
Grade E$1.69-12.5% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (25) β†’ E (17)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While SST currently carries a cautious 17/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.62) and Max Pain ($1.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.35.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SSTβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSST Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SST)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SST.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SST)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of SST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.45%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.77H $1.77L $1.69C $1.69VOL 88.3K
RES: $6.39SUP: $1.61SMA50: $2.62SMA200: $2.80
$5.73$4.57$3.40$2.24$1.08RES $6.39SUP $1.61$1.692026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SST today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SST)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SST vs. JF, GIGM, IPM, GMM)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) ranks #708 by composite RQD confidence (17/100, grade E) and #614 by equity capitalization ($17.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SST leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.5% ROIC and 37.7% gross margin. GMM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with SST at 17/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SST ACTIVE
System1 Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 β€” 37.7% -28.5% -0.59% $17.8M Benchmark Subject
JF
J and Friends Holdings Limited
D 44/100 β€” 71.5% -32.2% +3.30% $16.7M /jf-vs-sst β†’
GIGM
GigaMedia Limited
E 29/100 β€” 52.4% -34.2% -4.25% $15.6M /gigm-vs-sst β†’
IPM
Intelligent Protection Management Corp.
D- 38/100 β€” 52.3% -29.6% +7.10% $14.0M /ipm-vs-sst β†’
GMM
Global Mofy AI Limited (Class A)
D 47/100 β€” 40.2% β€” +5.77% $13.3M /gmm-vs-sst β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001805833 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) reported GAAP revenue of $266.1M (-22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $343.9M , and -33.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$65.3M, operating cash flow of -$4.1M, and free cash flow of -$4.2M (+20.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, SST closed FY2025 with $405.0M in total assets against $228.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $266.1M -$65.3M -$4.1M -$4.2M $405.0M $228.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $343.9M -$74.7M -$5.3M -$5.3M $459.1M $255.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $402.0M -$227.2M -$24.7M -$24.7M β€” β€”

3. SST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, System1 Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: SST) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 17/100 at a spot price of $1.69 (-0.59% 1D, market cap $17.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SST ranks #708 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SST compare to JF and GIGM in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), SST carries a Roarable E (17/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.7%, and ROIC of -28.5%. By comparison, JF (J and Friends Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.2%, cap $16.7M) and GIGM (GigaMedia Limited) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -34.2%, cap $15.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SST leads on capital efficiency (-28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SST?

Per SST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001805833), System1 Inc. (Class A) generated $266.1M in revenue (-22.6% YoY), -$65.3M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $405.0M in total assets and $228.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SST last traded at $1.69 (-0.59% on volume of 61,181 shares), positioning the stock -35.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.62) and -39.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.80). Across its 52-week range of $1.35 to $6.05, SST sits at the 7.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.48 to $1.90).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 17/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SST β€” System1 Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 17/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.69 (-0.59% 1D, market capitalization $17.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -28.5%, gross margin of 37.7%, operating margin of -23.3%, and free cash flow yield of -22.59%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (4/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 7.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) is a NYSE-listed issuer.. β€” for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) reported $266.1M in annual revenue (up from $343.9M in FY2024, -22.6% YoY) and -$65.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($402.0M revenue, -$227.2M net income) through FY2025, SST scaled operating cash flow to -$4.1M and free cash flow to -$4.2M, backed by $405.0M in total assets against $228.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 17/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -22.59% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.35 – $6.05 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -23.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

For a prospective investor, this means second-order ripple effects cannot be mapped from the provided data. The one structural watch point the data does support is the leverage relationship: with debt of $228.4M against cash of $86.9M, any tightening in credit conditions or revenue shortfall would transmit quickly to equity holders.

  • Key Question #1: Can SST sustain or expand its -23.3% operating margin and -28.5% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $266.1M and free cash flow of -$4.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $228.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SST's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for System1 Inc. (Class A) (SST) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SST Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.69?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SST:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Options Flow Specialist πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.24 (+31.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Price sits near the low end of its $1.35 - $6.05 52-week range with a gross margin of 37.7%, so a turnaround in operating economics cou

Long SST at $1.70 targeting $2.24. Price sits near the low end of its $1.35 - $6.05 52-week range with a gross margin of 37.7%, so a turnaround in operating economics could drive a re-rating.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.35 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 17/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.70 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.58.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.29 (-24.1%)
Spot @ $1.70

A Debt/Equity of 7.5, Altman Z of 0.2, and debt of $228.4M against cash of $86.9M leave the balance sheet exposed to refinancing and so

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SST above $1.70. A Debt/Equity of 7.5, Altman Z of 0.2, and debt of $228.4M against cash of $86.9M leave the balance sheet exposed to refinancing and solvency stress.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20) and FCF yield (-22.59%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.05.

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