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Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$11.08 -9.77% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.86

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.76B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SSMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (NYSE: SSMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-9.77% 1D, market cap $1.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SSMR compare to SVM and SIND in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), SSMR carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.76B) and SIND (Sinda Ltd.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSMR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSMR?
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Per SSMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002091017), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company generated $28.9M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $68.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.86 (-1.95%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 170.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$21 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE SSMR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SSMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SSMR SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 170.9% FCF Margin ($49.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$13.68-9.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$12.41+14.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$14.18-21.9% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$11.08-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SSMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SSMR currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.24) and Max Pain ($11.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SSMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SSMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SSMR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SSMR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SSMR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SSMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SSMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.39%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $13.24H $13.24L $11.08C $11.08VOL 2.97M
RES: $23.39SUP: $11.08SMA50: $15.24SMA200: $14.94
$20.21$17.73$15.26$12.79$10.31RES $23.39SUP $11.08$11.082026-06-042026-07-142026-08-192026-09-252026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SSMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SSMR Butterfly Map → + Track SSMR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SSMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SSMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SSMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SSMR)

Materials Rank #188 of 270 ⚔️ SVM vs SSMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (SSMR vs. SVM, SIND, DRD, HYMC)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #117 by equity capitalization ($1.76B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSMR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HYMC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SVM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with SSMR at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SSMR ACTIVE
Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company
D- 42/100 — — — -9.77% $1.76B Benchmark Subject
SVM
Silvercorp Metals Inc.
D 45/100 — — — +2.51% $1.76B /svm-vs-ssmr →
SIND
Sinda Ltd.
D 44/100 — — — -2.31% $1.86B /sind-vs-ssmr →
DRD
DRDGOLD Limited
D 45/100 — — — +1.46% $1.96B /drd-vs-ssmr →
HYMC
Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation (Class A)
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -0.55% $1.53B /hymc-vs-ssmr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002091017

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) reported GAAP revenue of $28.9M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SSMR closed FY2025 with $68.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $28.9M $0 — — $68.8M —

3. SSMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SSMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (NYSE: SSMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-9.77% 1D, market cap $1.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does SSMR compare to SVM and SIND in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), SSMR carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SVM (Silvercorp Metals Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.76B) and SIND (Sinda Ltd.) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSMR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HYMC leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SSMR?

Per SSMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002091017), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company generated $28.9M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $68.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SSMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SSMR last traded at $11.08 (-9.77% on volume of 1,033,036 shares), positioning the stock -27.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.24) and -25.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.94). Across its 52-week range of $11.38 to $19.61, SSMR sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.69 to $12.47).

Direct Sub-Reports: SSMR RQD Cockpit SSMR 12M Forecast SSMR Earnings & Move SSMR Dividends & DRIP SSMR Insiders & 13F SSMR Whale Options SSMR Profit Sankey SSMR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SSMR — Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 42/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.08 (-9.77% 1D, market capitalization $1.76B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. — The sources do not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) reported $28.9M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $68.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 42/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.38 – $19.61 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or dependency mapping. The only cross-sector linkage provided is the liquidity signal, which ties SSMR's price behavior to net liquidity conditions rather than to specific trading partners. A prospective investor should watch whether the liquidity regime changes, since the source describes the stock as highly liquidity-elastic, and whether the index inclusion news affects passive or ETF-related flows.

  • Key Question #1: Can SSMR sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $28.9M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SSMR's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SSMR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company (SSMR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SSMR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SSMR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SSMR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SSMR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $15.47 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Liquidity signal assigns a 96/100 Macro Tailwind Score and a 6.00x net liquidity beta, with the balance sheet showing an Altman Z of 2.

Long SSMR at $12.28 targeting $15.47. Liquidity signal assigns a 96/100 Macro Tailwind Score and a 6.00x net liquidity beta, with the balance sheet showing an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $11.38 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Shorting a 4/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $12.28 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Materials.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.82 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $12.28

Reported FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income are all $0.0M, with ROIC and FCF yield at 0% and a Cash Engine pillar score

I respect the product at Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company, but the stock at $12.28 is a different story. Reported FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income are all $0.0M, with ROIC and FCF yield at 0% and a Cash Engine pillar score of 10 of 20.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 42/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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