Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (SPTX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$20.01 +2.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.05

Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (SPTX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.05B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SPTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SPTX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $20.01 (+2.09% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SPTX ranks #288 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SPTX compare to CTY and HROW in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SPTX carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CTY (City Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B) and HROW (Harrow Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 42.9%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HROW leads on capital efficiency (42.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPTX?
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Per SPTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002042347), Seaport Therapeutics Inc. generated $104.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $249.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.05 (+0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 28.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$30 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE SPTX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SPTX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SPTX SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 28.1% FCF Margin ($29.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$16.08+19.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$19.28+10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
45
Grade D$21.28-6% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$20.01-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SPTX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SPTX currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.01) and Max Pain ($21.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $29.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SPTX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SPTX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SPTX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SPTX.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SPTX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SPTX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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SPTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.71%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $21.10H $21.10L $19.60C $20.01VOL 549.2K
RES: $31.84SUP: $15.36SMA50: $21.01SMA200: $20.13
$29.33$25.40$21.48$17.56$13.63RES $31.84SUP $15.36$20.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SPTX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SPTX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SPTX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SPTX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SPTX)

Health Care Rank #288 of 1016 ⚔️ CTY vs SPTX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (SPTX vs. CTY, HROW, JANX, MLTX)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (SPTX) ranks #288 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #353 by equity capitalization ($1.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPTX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while HROW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 42.9% ROIC and 75.1% gross margin. HROW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with SPTX at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SPTX ACTIVE
Seaport Therapeutics Inc.
D 48/100 — — — +2.09% $1.05B Benchmark Subject
CTY
City Therapeutics Inc.
D 50/100 — — — +0.82% $1.04B /cty-vs-sptx →
HROW
Harrow Inc.
D+ 53/100 — 75.1% 42.9% -0.14% $1.06B /hrow-vs-sptx →
JANX
Janux Therapeutics Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -13.8% -0.06% $1.07B /janx-vs-sptx →
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -35.0% -2.63% $1.00B /mltx-vs-sptx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002042347

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (SPTX) reported GAAP revenue of $104.6M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SPTX closed FY2025 with $249.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $104.6M $0 — — $249.0M —

3. SPTX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SPTX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: SPTX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $20.01 (+2.09% 1D, market cap $1.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, SPTX ranks #288 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SPTX compare to CTY and HROW in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), SPTX carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CTY (City Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.04B) and HROW (Harrow Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 42.9%, cap $1.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPTX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while HROW leads on capital efficiency (42.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SPTX?

Per SPTX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002042347), Seaport Therapeutics Inc. generated $104.6M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $249.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SPTX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SPTX last traded at $20.01 (+2.09% on volume of 527,909 shares), positioning the stock -4.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.01) and -0.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.13). Across its 52-week range of $14.85 to $28.38, SPTX sits at the 38.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($17.51 to $22.51).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SPTX — Seaport Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:04Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SPTX scores 55 out of 100, equivalent to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. The pillar reflects ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0%, indicating no measurable return on capital or free cash generation in the source data.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. This pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning; the source assigns a mid-to-low score without further detail on specific holders.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. This is the lowest pillar, covering SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating weak insider signaling in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Beta is 1.0, and the sector sensitivity assessment is moderate.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 form the basis of this score.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a company whose current operating profile does not yet generate returns or cash flow, with the balance sheet and macro sensitivity being the relatively stronger components. Upside drivers would need to come from outside the cash engine, such as pipeline or trial developments referenced in the news wire, rather than from reported earnings. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: with the P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS metrics unavailable in the source data, the market price of $21.10 cannot be benchmarked against earnings. The 0% margin, ROIC, and FCF yield readings mean that the price relies on expectations not captured in the reported figures. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (SPTX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry..1B. —

FY 2025 reports — in revenue, operating income, and net income, with cash of $46.0M. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. The reported profitability profile is absent in the source data, while the balance sheet metrics provide the only quantified stability indicators.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The stock trades near $21.10 with a balance sheet pillar scoring 13 / 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $14.85 – $28.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: With ROIC at 0%, FCF yield at 0%, and insider conviction scoring 9 / 20, the reported data shows no cash generation or insider signaling. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context provided is the Health Care / Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations classification and beta of 1.0. Investors should watch the lock-up expiry of 28-OCT-2026 as the nearest identifiable supply-of-shares event, since it may affect trading dynamics in the stock.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's specific products, clinical pipeline stages, and revenue model, given that FY 2025 revenue is reported at —?
  • Key Question #2: What is the cash runway implied by $46.0M of cash against the current operating loss profile, and how does the lock-up expiry interact with that runway?
  • Key Question #3: What are the terms and scope of the trial referenced in the H.C. Wainwright headline?

SPTX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seaport Therapeutics Inc. (SPTX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SPTX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SPTX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SPTX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SPTX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.72 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades near $21.10 with a balance sheet pillar scoring 13 / 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9.

The stock trades near $21.10 with a balance sheet pillar scoring 13 / 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9.. When you look under the hood at SPTX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 10/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $28.38. My 12M target is $23.72.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $19.60 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.68 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $19.60

With ROIC at 0%, FCF yield at 0%, and insider conviction scoring 9 / 20, the reported data shows no cash generation or insider signalin

Fading this rally in SPTX at $19.60. With ROIC at 0%, FCF yield at 0%, and insider conviction scoring 9 / 20, the reported data shows no cash generation or insider signaling.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $19.60 (52-wk range $14.85–$28.38), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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