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iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$453.65 -8.98% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $445.46

iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $15.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SOXX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $453.65 (-8.98% 1D, market cap $15.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, SOXX ranks #33 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SOXX compare to SLV and HYG in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (Semiconductors & Foundry), SOXX carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, SLV (iShares Silver Trust) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B) and HYG (iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOXX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOXX leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOXX?
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For iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Semiconductors & Foundry basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $445.44 (-1.81%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E
Fund (10)Whales (14)Struct (8)Macro (5)Flow (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$689 Bull$419 Base$327 Bear
📬 FREE SOXX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SOXX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SOXX SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($15.00B AUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$519.42-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$510.36+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$521.94-13.1% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$453.65-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SOXX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SOXX currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified Semiconductors & Foundry basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SOXX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SOXX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (SOXX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for SOXX.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SOXX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SOXX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SOXX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.82%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $496.0H $496.0L $453.7C $453.7VOL 18.73M
RES: $617.6SUP: $444.1SMA50: $526.2SMA200: $478.3
$680.1$580.0$479.9$379.8$279.7RES $617.6SUP $444.1$453.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SOXX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SOXX Butterfly Map → + Track SOXX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SOXX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SOXX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SOXX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SOXX)

ETF / Index Rank #33 of 40 ⚔️ SLV vs SOXX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (SOXX vs. SLV, HYG, GDX, XLP)

Industry: Semiconductors & Foundry (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) ranks #33 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #26 by equity capitalization ($15.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SOXX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SOXX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with SOXX at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SOXX ACTIVE
iShares Semiconductor ETF
D- 41/100 — — — -8.98% $15.00B Benchmark Subject
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
E 32/100 — — — -6.01% $15.00B /slv-vs-soxx →
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
D 46/100 — — — -0.19% $16.00B /hyg-vs-soxx →
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
D- 36/100 — — — -5.50% $14.00B /gdx-vs-soxx →
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
A- 81/100 — — — +1.39% $17.00B /xlp-vs-soxx →

2. SOXX ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NASDAQ

Because iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates SOXX on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $453.65, SOXX trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $526.24 and 200-day SMA of $478.26 on daily liquidity of 18,730,584 shares.

50D SMA Level
$526.24
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$478.26
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
49.0%
$260.44 – $655.95
RSI-14 Momentum
32.3
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
18,730,584
AUM Cap $15.00B

3. SOXX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SOXX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $453.65 (-8.98% 1D, market cap $15.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 4/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, SOXX ranks #33 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SOXX compare to SLV and HYG in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Semiconductors & Foundry), SOXX carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, SLV (iShares Silver Trust) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B) and HYG (iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $16.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SOXX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SOXX leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SOXX?

For iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Semiconductors & Foundry basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk and Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SOXX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SOXX last traded at $453.65 (-8.98% on volume of 18,730,584 shares), positioning the stock -13.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($526.24) and -5.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($478.26). Across its 52-week range of $260.44 to $655.95, SOXX sits at the 48.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($420.99 to $486.31).

Direct Sub-Reports: SOXX RQD Cockpit SOXX 12M Forecast SOXX Earnings & Move SOXX Dividends & DRIP SOXX Insiders & 13F SOXX Whale Options SOXX Profit Sankey SOXX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SOXX — iShares Semiconductor ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $453.65 (-8.98% 1D, market capitalization $15.00B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (4/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

IShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) is an exchange-traded fund listed on NASDAQ with approximately $15.0B in assets under management,. It is classified under the ETF / Index sector and the Semiconductors & Foundry industry. The profile describes it as a liquid institutional fund tracking that industry.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Diversified Semiconductors & Foundry basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. Institutional 13F desks and index options flow show constructive basket demand. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $260.44 – $655.95 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with an empty butterfly_links array and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector correlations for SOXX. An investor should note that as an ETF tracking the semiconductor sector, the fund's sensitivity to foundry capacity, chip demand cycles, and AI-related spending is implied by its industry classification but is not mapped in the supplied graph.

  • Key Question #1: Can SOXX sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Semiconductors & Foundry peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $655.95 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SOXX's equity valuation to ETF / Index capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SOXX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SOXX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SOXX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $453.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SOXX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SOXX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $535.31 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Whale/13F flow scores 15 of 20, the strongest pillar, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning.

Here is why I am bullish on SOXX here at $453.65: Whale/13F flow scores 15 of 20, the strongest pillar, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning.. Compare SOXX's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Semiconductors & Foundry. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $430.97 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $453.65 is dangerous when funds are rotating into ETF / Index.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $344.77 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $453.65

Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20 with Beta 1.0, and a RED RISK WATCH headline cites a forecast of a further 15% decline.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SOXX above $453.65. Macro Regime Fit scores 5 of 20 with Beta 1.0, and a RED RISK WATCH headline cites a forecast of a further 15% decline.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $655.95.

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