Does SMTC pay a dividend and is it safe?

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Stock Ratings / Technology / SMTC / dividends

NXT (66) SWKS (79) LSCC (52) SITM (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$127.38 -9.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $124.95

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SMTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Semtech Corporation (NASDAQ: SMTC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $127.38 (-9.56% 1D, market cap $11.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, SMTC ranks #253 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SMTC compare to NXT and SWKS in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), SMTC carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 2.4%. By comparison, NXT (Nextpower Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 20.7x, ROIC 29.1%, cap $12.04B) and SWKS (Skyworks Solutions Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 27.9x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $13.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NXT leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while NXT leads on capital efficiency (29.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMTC?

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Per SMTC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-25, CIK 0000088941), Semtech Corporation generated $1.05B in revenue (+15.5% YoY), -$40.4M in net income, and $171.4M in free cash flow against $1.41B in total assets and $491.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $124.95 (-1.91%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 16.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SMTC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SMTC SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 12.36 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.3% FCF Margin ($171.4M FCF) & 51.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$160.26-11.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$141.63+3.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$146.97-13.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$127.38-0.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SMTC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, SMTC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($157.89) or 200D SMA ($125.89) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($126.81) toward Bear Floor ($98.91).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SMTC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SMTC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 57%NO 43%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $23,892

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $143/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.9K

Yr 1

$11.9K

Yr 2

$13.0K

Yr 3

$14.2K

Yr 4

$15.5K

Yr 5

$16.9K

Yr 6

$18.4K

Yr 7

$20.1K

Yr 8

$21.9K

Yr 9

$23.9K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SMTC)

✓Walkthrough of SMTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SMTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.94%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $140.9H $140.9L $127.4C $127.4VOL 3.21M

RES: $209.6SUP: $124.5SMA50: $157.9SMA200: $125.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SMTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SMTC Butterfly Map → + Track SMTC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

15.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SMTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SMTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SMTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SMTC)

Technology Rank #253 of 715 ⚔️ NXT vs SMTC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SMTC vs. NXT, SWKS, LSCC, SITM)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Semtech Corporation (SMTC) ranks #253 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #138 by equity capitalization ($11.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NXT leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while NXT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.1% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. SWKS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with SMTC at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SMTC ACTIVE Semtech Corporation	D+	57/100	—	51.6%	2.4%	-9.56%	$11.89B	Benchmark Subject
NXT Nextpower Inc.	C+	66/100	20.7x	32.6%	29.1%	-0.63%	$12.04B	/nxt-vs-smtc →
SWKS Skyworks Solutions Inc.	B+	79/100	27.9x	41.2%	7.8%	-2.07%	$13.02B	/swks-vs-smtc →
LSCC Lattice Semiconductor Corporation	D+	52/100	—	68.2%	0.8%	-9.74%	$13.20B	/lscc-vs-smtc →
SITM SiTime Corporation	D	49/100	—	53.6%	-4.5%	-8.40%	$13.44B	/sitm-vs-smtc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-25 • CIK 0000088941 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-25), Semtech Corporation (SMTC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.05B (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $909.3M , and +20.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$40.4M, operating cash flow of $181.2M, and free cash flow of $171.4M (+241.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SMTC closed FY2025 with $1.41B in total assets against $491.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.36, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-25	$1.05B	-$40.4M	$181.2M	$171.4M	$1.41B	$491.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-26	$909.3M	-$161.9M	$58.0M	$50.1M	$1.42B	$505.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-28	$868.8M	-$1.09B	-$93.9M	-$133.0M	$7.23B	$1.69B

3. SMTC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SMTC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SMTC compare to NXT and SWKS in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SMTC?

Where is SMTC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SMTC last traded at $127.38 (-9.56% on volume of 3,207,598 shares), positioning the stock -19.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($157.89) and +1.18% above its 200-day simple moving average ($125.89). Across its 52-week range of $60.28 to $201.99, SMTC sits at the 47.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($111.46 to $143.30).

Direct Sub-Reports: SMTC RQD Cockpit SMTC 12M Forecast SMTC Earnings & Move SMTC Dividends & DRIP SMTC Insiders & 13F SMTC Whale Options SMTC Profit Sankey SMTC News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SMTC — Semtech Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2026-01-25

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $127.38 (-9.56% 1D, market capitalization $11.89B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 2.4%, gross margin of 51.6%, operating margin of 3.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.30%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.25x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 12.36, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.89x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Semiconductors industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 51.6%, which indicates the nature of its product economics, though the underlying business model is not further described in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-25), Semtech Corporation (SMTC) reported $1.05B in annual revenue (up from $909.3M in FY2024, +15.5% YoY) and -$40.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($868.8M revenue, -$1.09B net income) through FY2025, SMTC scaled operating cash flow to $181.2M and free cash flow to $171.4M, backed by $1.41B in total assets against $491.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.30% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $60.28 – $201.99 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 3.1% operating margins and a 1.25x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Semiconductors (Technology), SMTC carries a macro regime beta of 1.25 and gross margin of 51.6%.

Key Question #1: Can SMTC sustain or expand its 3.1% operating margin and 2.4% ROIC against Semiconductors peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.05B and free cash flow of $171.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $491.2M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is SMTC's 22.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.25x)?

SMTC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Semtech Corporation (SMTC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SMTC Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Australia • 22h ago

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Australia report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Analyst/Investor Day - Slideshow (NASDAQ:SMTC) 2026-10-16

Seeking Alpha report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Semtech Rises 154% YTD: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?

The Globe and Mail report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 1d ago

Can Semtech's 1.6T Ramp Accelerate its Data Center Growth?

TradingView report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Semtech (NasdaqGS:SMTC) Stock Forecast & Analyst Predictions

Simply Wall St report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Quiver Quantitative • 1d ago

Why Semtech (SMTC) Stock Is Up Today

Quiver Quantitative report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH MarketBeat • 1d ago

Semtech (NASDAQ:SMTC) Stock Falls 7.8% Following Insider Selling

MarketBeat report covering Semtech Corporation (SMTC) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SMTC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $127.38?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SMTC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $154.13 (+21.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Debt has fallen from $1.69B to $491.2M while the forensic balance sheet earns 16 of 20 points, with an Altman Z of 12.36.

Debt has fallen from $1.69B to $491.2M while the forensic balance sheet earns 16 of 20 points, with an Altman Z of 12.36.. When you look under the hood at SMTC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 51.6% gross margins and 2.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $201.99. My 12M target is $154.13.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $127.38 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $96.81 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $127.38

Net income remained negative at -$40.4M in FY 2025 and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 22 and EV/EBITDA of 95 against ROIC of 2.4%

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on SMTC: Net income remained negative at -$40.4M in FY 2025 and the stock trades at a forward P/E of 22 and EV/EBITDA of 95 against ROIC of 2.4%.. At 22.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Semiconductors triggers a 12-15% air pocket.