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SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$29.01 +1.19% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.02

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.76B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SIRI Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $29.01 (+1.19% 1D, market cap $9.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SIRI ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SIRI compare to TME and NXST in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SIRI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, TME (Tencent Music Entertainment Group American) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.24B) and NXST (Nexstar Media Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 63.1x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $5.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VSNT leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while TME leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIRI?
β–Ό

Per SIRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000908937), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. generated $8.56B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $805.0M in net income, and $1.25B in free cash flow against $27.24B in total assets and $7.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.02 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 14.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 56.9% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- Β· Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (16)SEC (12)Macro (14)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$36 Bull$30 Base$24 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE SIRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY SIRI SCORES 68/100 (C+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5.9% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 17.2% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$26.51+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$26.96+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$27.32+6.2% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$29.01+1.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C (60) β†’ C+ (68)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SIRI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, SIRI faces multiple-compression risk if 12.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.54) or 200D SMA ($26.35) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($30.32) toward Bear Floor ($23.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIRIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œSIRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in SIRI & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on SIRI and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SIRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.37%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $28.67H $29.01L $28.67C $29.01VOL 7.15M
RES: $29.08SUP: $24.97SMA50: $27.54SMA200: $26.35
$33.38$30.39$27.39$24.39$21.39RES $29.08SUP $24.97$29.012026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIRI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIRI)

Communication Services Rank #15 of 132 βš”οΈ TME vs SIRI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (SIRI vs. TME, NXST, FWONA, VSNT)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #31 by equity capitalization ($9.76B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VSNT leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while TME leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and β€” gross margin. SIRI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SIRI ACTIVE
SiriusXM Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 12.0x 52.4% 6.4% +1.19% $9.76B Benchmark Subject
TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group American
D+ 55/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.48% $13.24B /tme-vs-siri β†’
NXST
Nexstar Media Group Inc.
D 45/100 63.1x β€” 8.4% +0.79% $5.28B /nxst-vs-siri β†’
FWONA
Formula One Group (Series A)
C 63/100 41.8x β€” 3.9% -0.57% $21.34B /fwona-vs-siri β†’
VSNT
Versant Media Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 4.6x β€” 9.0% +1.34% $4.36B /vsnt-vs-siri β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000908937 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) reported GAAP revenue of $8.56B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.70B , and -4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $805.0M, operating cash flow of $1.90B, and free cash flow of $1.25B (+22.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, SIRI closed FY2025 with $27.24B in total assets against $7.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.35, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.56B $805.0M $1.90B $1.25B $27.24B $7.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $8.70B -$2.08B $1.74B $1.01B $27.52B $7.40B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.95B $988.0M $1.83B $1.43B $10.74B $2.51B

3. SIRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $29.01 (+1.19% 1D, market cap $9.76B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, SIRI ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SIRI compare to TME and NXST in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), SIRI carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.0x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, TME (Tencent Music Entertainment Group American) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $13.24B) and NXST (Nexstar Media Group Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 63.1x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $5.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VSNT leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while TME leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIRI?

Per SIRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000908937), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. generated $8.56B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $805.0M in net income, and $1.25B in free cash flow against $27.24B in total assets and $7.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SIRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIRI last traded at $29.01 (+1.19% on volume of 7,154,991 shares), positioning the stock +5.34% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.54) and +10.09% above its 200-day simple moving average ($26.35). Across its 52-week range of $19.77 to $32.66, SIRI sits at the 71.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.9% ($27.30 to $30.72).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 68/100 (C+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SIRI β€” SiriusXM Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $29.01 (+1.19% 1D, market capitalization $9.76B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.4%, gross margin of 52.4%, operating margin of 17.2%, and free cash flow yield of 12.88%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.89x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.35, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SiriusXM Holdings Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and Broadcasting industry,. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $8.56B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) reported $8.56B in annual revenue (up from $8.70B in FY2024, -1.6% YoY) and $805.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.95B revenue, $988.0M net income) through FY2025, SIRI scaled operating cash flow to $1.90B and free cash flow to $1.25B, backed by $27.24B in total assets against $7.05B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C+ β€’ RQD 68/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $19.77 – $32.66 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh 12.0x trailing P/E and 8.0x EV/EBITDA against 17.2% operating margins and a 0.89x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Broadcasting (Communication Services), SIRI carries a macro regime beta of 0.89 and gross margin of 52.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SIRI sustain or expand its 17.2% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.56B and free cash flow of $1.25B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.05B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SIRI's 11.2x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.89x)?

SIRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SiriusXM Holdings Inc. (SIRI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to SIRI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SIRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $29.01?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SIRI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SIRI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Systematic Momentum Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.71 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Low P/E (TTM) of 12 and FCF yield of 12.88% against a beta of 0.89 suggest cash generation is undervalued relative to market risk.

Here is why I am bullish on SIRI here at $29.01: Low P/E (TTM) of 12 and FCF yield of 12.88% against a beta of 0.89 suggest cash generation is undervalued relative to market risk.. Compare SIRI's 17.2% operating margin and 6.4% ROIC against the rest of Broadcasting. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $27.56 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 16/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $29.01 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Communication Services.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $21.76 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $29.01

An Altman Z of 1.35 and debt rising from $2.51B to $7.05B with cash of only $94.0M signal balance-sheet stress.

I respect the product at SiriusXM Holdings Inc., but the stock at $29.01 is a different story. An Altman Z of 1.35 and debt rising from $2.51B to $7.05B with cash of only $94.0M signal balance-sheet stress.. FCF yield is 12.88% and RQD sits at 68/100 (C+) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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