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SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$19.70 -1.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.59

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $125.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, SIFCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: SIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $19.70 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $125.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SIF ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SIF compare to DPRO and AIRO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SIF carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.5%, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $136.4M) and AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $162.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIF?
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Per SIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000090168), SIFCO Industries Inc. generated $84.8M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), -$729.0K in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.59 (-0.55%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 4.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (11)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$30 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE SIF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SIF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SIF SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 61% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.2% FCF Margin ($3.5M FCF) & 12.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$22.42-7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$20.80-0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$20.69-4.8% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$19.70-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SIF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SIF currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($21.58) and Max Pain ($20.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.45.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SIF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SIF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SIF Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$3.5M (4.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$84.8MGross Profit $10.6M (12.5%)Cost of Sales $74.2MOp Profit $180.0K (0.2%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $10.4MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $180.0K

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $66.1M
FY24
Rev $79.6M
FY25
Rev $84.8M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$84.8M12.5%0.2%-$729.0K-$692.5K0.4%
FY 2024$79.6M7.5%-6.5%-$5.4M-$5.1M-13.3%
FY 2023$66.1M12.5%-13.6%-$8.7M-$1.4M0.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SIF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SIF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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SIF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.97%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $21.19H $21.19L $19.70C $19.70VOL 72.7K
RES: $23.77SUP: $15.16SMA50: $21.58SMA200: $18.32
$30.43$24.51$18.60$12.68$6.76RES $23.77SUP $15.16$19.702026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SIF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SIF Butterfly Map → + Track SIF →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SIF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SIF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SIF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SIF)

Industrials Rank #360 of 486 ⚔️ DPRO vs SIF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (SIF vs. DPRO, AIRO, HOVR, EVTL)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) ranks #360 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #369 by equity capitalization ($125.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. EVTL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with SIF at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SIF ACTIVE
SIFCO Industries Inc.
D- 37/100 — 12.5% 0.4% -1.99% $125.7M Benchmark Subject
DPRO
Draganfly Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -1.99% $136.4M /dpro-vs-sif →
AIRO
AIRO Group Holdings Inc.
E 21/100 — 59.9% -3.1% +0.39% $162.8M /airo-vs-sif →
HOVR
New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share
E 34/100 9.9x — — -2.51% $80.2M /hovr-vs-sif →
EVTL
Vertical Aerospace Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — -5.38% $72.1M /evtl-vs-sif →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000090168 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) reported GAAP revenue of $84.8M (+6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.6M , and +28.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$729.0K, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, SIF closed FY2025 with $74.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $84.8M -$729.0K — — $74.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $79.6M -$5.4M — — $81.0M $85.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $66.1M -$8.7M -$1.4M -$1.4M — —

3. SIF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SIF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, SIFCO Industries Inc. (NYSE: SIF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $19.70 (-1.99% 1D, market cap $125.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, SIF ranks #360 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SIF compare to DPRO and AIRO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), SIF carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.5%, and ROIC of 0.4%. By comparison, DPRO (Draganfly Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $136.4M) and AIRO (AIRO Group Holdings Inc.) posts a E grade (21/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.1%, cap $162.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SIF?

Per SIF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000090168), SIFCO Industries Inc. generated $84.8M in revenue (+6.5% YoY), -$729.0K in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $74.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SIF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SIF last traded at $19.70 (-1.99% on volume of 63,431 shares), positioning the stock -8.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($21.58) and +7.53% above its 200-day simple moving average ($18.32). Across its 52-week range of $4.88 to $29.00, SIF sits at the 61.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.7% ($17.59 to $21.81).

Direct Sub-Reports: SIF RQD Cockpit SIF 12M Forecast SIF Earnings & Move SIF Dividends & DRIP SIF Insiders & 13F SIF Whale Options SIF Profit Sankey SIF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SIF — SIFCO Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $19.70 (-1.99% 1D, market capitalization $125.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.4%, gross margin of 12.5%, operating margin of 0.2%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

SIFCO Industries Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and Aerospace industry. The reported gross margin of 12.5% and FY 2025 revenue of $84.8M indicate an operating business with thin profitability.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) reported $84.8M in annual revenue (up from $79.6M in FY2024, +6.5% YoY) and -$729.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($66.1M revenue, -$8.7M net income) through FY2025, SIF scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $74.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.88 – $29.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against 0.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Aerospace (Industrials), SIF carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 12.5%.

  • Key Question #1: Can SIF sustain or expand its 0.2% operating margin and 0.4% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $84.8M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SIF's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SIF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for SIFCO Industries Inc. (SIF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SIF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SIF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.70?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SIF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SIF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.33 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Operating income swung from -$9.0M in FY 2023 to $0.2M in FY 2025 while revenue grew to $84.8M, showing early operating leverage.

Long SIF at $20.10 targeting $25.33. Operating income swung from -$9.0M in FY 2023 to $0.2M in FY 2025 while revenue grew to $84.8M, showing early operating leverage.. Institutional whale score is 7/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.62 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Aerospace. If gross margin (12.5%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.48 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $20.10

With ROIC at 0.4%, FCF yield at 0%, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and insider pillar at 3/20, the fundamentals and insider signals do not

Fading this rally in SIF at $20.10. With ROIC at 0.4%, FCF yield at 0%, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and insider pillar at 3/20, the fundamentals and insider signals do not support the price.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $20.10 (52-wk range $3.62–$29.00), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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