Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SEG

CDRO (48) AIBZ (47) XPOF (40) LUCK (21) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$22.56 -2.13% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.43

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 20/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $295.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on SEG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (NYSE: SEG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 20/100 at a spot price of $22.56 (-2.13% 1D, market cap $295.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SEG ranks #989 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SEG compare to CDRO and AIBZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), SEG carries a Roarable E (20/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.6%. By comparison, CDRO (Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $387.4M) and AIBZ (Bitzero Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $202.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SEG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LUCK leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEG?

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Per SEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002009684), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. generated $130.4M in revenue (+18.3% YoY), -$116.7M in net income, and -$49.7M in free cash flow against $650.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.43 (-0.57%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (20/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (20/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SEG SCORES 20/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+7/20 pts (35% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$22.25-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$22.22+1.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$22.60-0.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$22.56-11.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (15) → E (20)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SEG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SEG currently carries a cautious 20/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($24.00) and Max Pain ($23.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 20%NO 80%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

50.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.20>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE41% OF RANGE

L: $18$22.56H: $30

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 2 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 8 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SEG

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (15)

-24.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -16.82% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (25)

Altman-Z 0.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (22)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 3/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SEG

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SEG)

✓Walkthrough of SEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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SEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.31%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $22.76H $23.05L $22.56C $22.56VOL 63.1K

RES: $29.33SUP: $20.47SMA50: $24.00SMA200: $23.60

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SEG Butterfly Map → + Track SEG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SEG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SEG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SEG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #989 of 1011 ⚔️ CDRO vs SEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SEG vs. CDRO, AIBZ, XPOF, LUCK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) ranks #989 by composite RQD confidence (20/100, grade E) and #649 by equity capitalization ($295.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SEG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LUCK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CDRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with SEG at 20/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SEG ACTIVE Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.	E	20/100	—	—	-24.6%	-2.13%	$295.3M	Benchmark Subject
CDRO Codere Online Luxembourg S.A.	D	48/100	—	—	—	+1.53%	$387.4M	/cdro-vs-seg →
AIBZ Bitzero Holdings Inc.	D	47/100	—	—	—	-11.66%	$202.8M	/aibz-vs-seg →
XPOF Xponential Fitness Inc. (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	—	6.8%	+19.25%	$184.5M	/xpof-vs-seg →
LUCK Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)	E	21/100	—	—	7.7%	-0.25%	$552.1M	/luck-vs-seg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002009684

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) reported GAAP revenue of $130.4M (+18.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $110.2M , and +13.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$116.7M, operating cash flow of -$49.7M, and free cash flow of -$49.7M (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SEG closed FY2025 with $650.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$130.4M	-$116.7M	-$49.7M	-$49.7M	$650.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$110.2M	-$153.2M	-$52.7M	-$52.7M	$743.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$114.9M	-$838.1M	-$50.8M	-$50.8M	—	—

3. SEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does SEG compare to CDRO and AIBZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SEG?

Where is SEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SEG last traded at $22.56 (-2.13% on volume of 41,190 shares), positioning the stock -6.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.00) and -4.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.60). Across its 52-week range of $17.74 to $29.61, SEG sits at the 40.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($21.45 to $23.67).

SEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SEG stock right now?

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 20/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-25% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SEG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SEG's 12-month base price target is $18.7 (range $14.59 to $31.09), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SEG RQD Cockpit SEG 12M Forecast SEG Earnings & Move SEG Dividends & DRIP SEG Insiders & 13F SEG Whale Options SEG Profit Sankey SEG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 20/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SEG — Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEG scores 20 out of 100, a letter grade of E, with the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 2/20 (ROIC of -24.6% and FCF yield of -16.82%), Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z-Score of 0.2, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is the cash engine, where the reported negative ROIC and negative FCF yield indicate the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow per the source data. The forensic balance sheet pillar also flags elevated distress risk per the Altman Z-Score. The strongest-scoring pillar, whale flow at 7/20, still sits well below a neutral midpoint. Upside drivers would have to come from a reversal in operating economics, which the source data does not show. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed on earnings multiples, because the P/E and EV/EBITDA figures are not available in source data. The rating is an analytical signal derived from the cited metrics and is not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$130.4M	$-118.2M	$-116.7M	N/A	$-49.7M	$77.8M	N/A
FY 2024	$110.2M	$-102.2M	$-153.2M	N/A	$-52.7M	$165.7M	N/A
FY 2023	$114.9M	$-756.7M	$-838.1M	N/A	$-50.8M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, operating and net margins are reported at -60% in the market data, and gross margin at 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -24.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, both per the forensic balance sheet pillar, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash declined from $165.7M in FY 2024 to $77.8M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials. Debt figures are reported as N/A.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news feed, the headlines include: a Seeking Alpha report titled "Seaport Entertainment: Qualitative Story Seems Interesting, But Execution Risks Suggest Caution," flagged RED with impact label RISK WATCH; a Yahoo Finance announcement of third quarter earnings release and conference call dates; a TradingView estimates page; a MarketBeat item on a JonesTrading Q3 earnings estimate; a Moomoo preview stating SEG will report financial results post-market on November 04; and an Investing.com Form 144 filing item dated 11 October. The earnings date is a near-term catalyst, and the RISK WATCH item is the only RED-flagged signal. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals or butterfly links.

Open Questions

What are the company's products, customers, and revenue drivers, given that the profile contains only sector and industry classification?
What are the reported EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, which are N/A or unavailable in the source data?
What are the debt balances behind the Debt/Equity of 0.5, since the debt field is N/A for every period?
What drove the FY 2023 net loss of $-838.1M, and is operating income trending toward breakeven?
What are the terms and outcome of the Form 144 filing and any insider or institutional holdings changes?

SEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SEG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Seeking Alpha • 8h ago

Seaport Entertainment: Qualitative Story Seems Interesting, But Execution Risks Suggest Caution

Seeking Alpha report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 11h ago

Seaport Entertainment Group Announces Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call Dates

Yahoo Finance report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 14h ago

Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. Estimates – NYSE:SEG

TradingView report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 17h ago

What is JonesTrading's Estimate for SEG Q3 Earnings?

MarketBeat report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 20h ago

Earnings Preview: SEG to Report Financial Results Post-market on November 04

Moomoo report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com Nigeria • 23h ago

Form 144 Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. For: 11 October By Investing.com

Investing.com Nigeria report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

MSGR Stock Price and Chart — NYSE:MSGR

TradingView report covering Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. (SEG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.56?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SEG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.28 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SEG (E • RQD 20/100) a Buy at $23.05?

Welcome to the SEG (Seaport Entertainment Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 20/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.44 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $23.05

Pump the brakes on SEG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SEG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.35 (+23.0%)

Spot @ $23.05

SEG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SEG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $23.05 (52-wk range $17.74 - $29.61), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.