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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / SDHC / insiders
HOV (42) LEGH (68) DFH (38) LGIH (28) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$10.43 +1.86% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.45

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $520.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SDHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: SDHC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $10.43 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $520.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SDHC ranks #860 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SDHC compare to HOV and LEGH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), SDHC carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.0x, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 12.3%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $592.5M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $698.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDHC?
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Per SDHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001982518), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) generated $971.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $10.7M in net income, and -$36.9M in free cash flow against $557.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.44 (+0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (5)SEC (10)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$25 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE SDHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SDHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SDHC SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.7) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$10.08-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$10.00+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$10.14+2.9% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$10.43-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (23) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SDHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SDHC currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.53) and Max Pain ($10.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SDHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SDHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

SDHC Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (SDHC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on SDHC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SDHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SDHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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SDHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.81%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $10.52H $10.52L $10.24C $10.43VOL 43.7K
RES: $10.59SUP: $9.39SMA50: $10.53SMA200: $13.50
$18.00$15.76$13.51$11.26$9.01RES $10.59SUP $9.39$10.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SDHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SDHC Butterfly Map → + Track SDHC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
36.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SDHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SDHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SDHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SDHC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #860 of 1009 ⚔️ HOV vs SDHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (SDHC vs. HOV, LEGH, DFH, LGIH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) ranks #860 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #580 by equity capitalization ($520.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFH leads on earnings valuation at 4.2x trailing P/E, while DFH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LEGH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with SDHC at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SDHC ACTIVE
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A)
E 31/100 50.0x 21.8% 12.3% +1.86% $520.5M Benchmark Subject
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — — +5.54% $592.5M /hov-vs-sdhc →
LEGH
Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)
C+ 68/100 16.5x — 7.4% +9.54% $698.3M /legh-vs-sdhc →
DFH
Dream Finders Homes Inc. (Class A)
D- 38/100 4.2x — 15.3% +11.85% $886.3M /dfh-vs-sdhc →
LGIH
LGI Homes Inc.
E 28/100 14.0x 20.7% 3.0% +6.87% $1.03B /lgih-vs-sdhc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001982518 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) reported GAAP revenue of $971.1M (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $975.5M , and +27.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.7M, operating cash flow of -$31.3M, and free cash flow of -$36.9M (-341.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SDHC closed FY2025 with $557.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $971.1M $10.7M -$31.3M -$36.9M $557.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $975.5M $16.1M $19.1M $15.2M $475.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $764.6M $0 $76.3M $76.3M — —

3. SDHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SDHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (NYSE: SDHC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $10.43 (+1.86% 1D, market cap $520.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, SDHC ranks #860 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SDHC compare to HOV and LEGH in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), SDHC carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.0x, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 12.3%. By comparison, HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $592.5M) and LEGH (Legacy Housing Corporation (TX)) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 16.5x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $698.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFH leads on earnings multiple (4.2x) while DFH leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDHC?

Per SDHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001982518), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) generated $971.1M in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $10.7M in net income, and -$36.9M in free cash flow against $557.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SDHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SDHC last traded at $10.43 (+1.86% on volume of 45,050 shares), positioning the stock -0.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.53) and -22.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.50). Across its 52-week range of $9.71 to $23.49, SDHC sits at the 5.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($9.51 to $11.35).

Direct Sub-Reports: SDHC RQD Cockpit SDHC 12M Forecast SDHC Earnings & Move SDHC Dividends & DRIP SDHC Insiders & 13F SDHC Whale Options SDHC Profit Sankey SDHC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

SDHC — Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 31/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $10.43 (+1.86% 1D, market capitalization $520.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 12.3%, gross margin of 21.8%, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of -6.89%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Homebuilding industry. FY 2025 revenue was $971.1M, indicating a sizable homebuilding operation.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) reported $971.1M in annual revenue (up from $975.5M in FY2024, -0.4% YoY) and $10.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($764.6M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, SDHC scaled operating cash flow to -$31.3M and free cash flow to -$36.9M, backed by $557.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 31/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.89% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $9.71 – $23.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 50.0x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

A prospective investor should note that the absence of recorded links means second-order ripples cannot be mapped from the provided material.

  • Key Question #1: Can SDHC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 12.3% ROIC against Homebuilding peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $971.1M and free cash flow of -$36.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is SDHC's 46.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

SDHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A) (SDHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SDHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SDHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.43?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SDHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SDHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.90 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported ROIC of 12.3% and a 21.8% gross margin show the underlying operating model still earns a respectable return on capital.

Long SDHC at $10.24 targeting $12.90. Reported ROIC of 12.3% and a 21.8% gross margin show the underlying operating model still earns a respectable return on capital.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $9.71 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 31/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $10.24 and keeping dry powder in case we test $9.52.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.19 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $10.24

A Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 and a -6.89% FCF yield show weak fundamental quality and cash conversion behind a 50x trailing P/E.

I respect the product at Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Class A), but the stock at $10.24 is a different story. A Piotroski F-Score of 1 out of 9 and a -6.89% FCF yield show weak fundamental quality and cash conversion behind a 50x trailing P/E.. FCF yield is -6.89% and RQD sits at 31/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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