ScanSource Inc. (SCSC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.8% Move

$57.71 -2.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.38

ScanSource Inc. (SCSC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.18B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SCSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ScanSource Inc. (NASDAQ: SCSC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $57.71 (-2.15% 1D, market cap $1.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SCSC ranks #156 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SCSC compare to CLMB and PLUS in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment), SCSC carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of 13.4%, and ROIC of 7.3%. By comparison, CLMB (Climb Global Solutions Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 36.6x, ROIC 28.8%, cap $758.3M) and PLUS (ePlus inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 17.8%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SCSC leads on earnings multiple (16.8x) while CLMB leads on capital efficiency (28.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SCSC?
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Per SCSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000918965), ScanSource Inc. generated $3.04B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $71.5M in net income, and $112.3M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $99.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $57.38 (-0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$70 Bull$59 Base$46 Bear
📬 FREE SCSC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SCSC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SCSC SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$61.97-2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$60.23+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$61.25-5.8% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$57.71+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the SCSC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, SCSC faces multiple-compression risk if 16.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($58.79) or 200D SMA ($48.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($59.27) toward Bear Floor ($46.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SCSC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SCSC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 28, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.8% Swing Band

±$3.92 Expected Swing
$53.79 (-6.8%)Spot $57.71$61.63 (+6.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

SCSC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $3.51 • YoY Revenue Growth: -6.7%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-06-30$3.04B$71.5M$112.3M13.4%
FY 20242024-06-30$3.26B$77.1M$371.6M12.2%
FY 20232023-06-30$3.79B$89.8M$80.8M13.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating SCSC & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on SCSC
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SCSC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.84%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $58.98H $58.98L $57.71C $57.71VOL 416.8K
RES: $62.04SUP: $56.03SMA50: $58.79SMA200: $48.01
$68.82$60.36$51.89$43.43$34.96RES $62.04SUP $56.03$57.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SCSC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SCSC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SCSC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SCSC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SCSC)

Technology Rank #156 of 714 ⚔️ CLMB vs SCSC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SCSC vs. CLMB, PLUS, INGM, SNX)

Industry: Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ScanSource Inc. (SCSC) ranks #156 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #338 by equity capitalization ($1.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SCSC leads on earnings valuation at 16.8x trailing P/E, while CLMB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.8% ROIC and 16.1% gross margin. INGM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with SCSC at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SCSC ACTIVE
ScanSource Inc.
C 64/100 16.8x 13.4% 7.3% -2.15% $1.18B Benchmark Subject
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions Inc.
B 72/100 36.6x 16.1% 28.8% -2.87% $758.3M /clmb-vs-scsc →
PLUS
ePlus inc.
D+ 57/100 18.8x 25.2% 17.8% -2.70% $2.42B /plus-vs-scsc →
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
B 75/100 20.1x 6.7% 13.5% -0.73% $6.53B /ingm-vs-scsc →
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
D- 43/100 24.6x 7.0% 6.6% -7.23% $18.88B /snx-vs-scsc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000918965

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), ScanSource Inc. (SCSC) reported GAAP revenue of $3.04B (-6.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.26B , and -19.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $71.5M, operating cash flow of $112.3M, and free cash flow of $112.3M (-69.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SCSC closed FY2025 with $1.74B in total assets against $99.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.04, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $3.04B $71.5M $112.3M $112.3M $1.74B $99.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $3.26B $77.1M $371.6M $371.6M $1.70B $132.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $3.79B $89.8M — — — —

3. SCSC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SCSC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ScanSource Inc. (NASDAQ: SCSC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $57.71 (-2.15% 1D, market cap $1.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SCSC ranks #156 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SCSC compare to CLMB and PLUS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment), SCSC carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.8x, gross margin of 13.4%, and ROIC of 7.3%. By comparison, CLMB (Climb Global Solutions Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 36.6x, ROIC 28.8%, cap $758.3M) and PLUS (ePlus inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 17.8%, cap $2.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SCSC leads on earnings multiple (16.8x) while CLMB leads on capital efficiency (28.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SCSC?

Per SCSC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000918965), ScanSource Inc. generated $3.04B in revenue (-6.7% YoY), $71.5M in net income, and $112.3M in free cash flow against $1.74B in total assets and $99.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SCSC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SCSC last traded at $57.71 (-2.15% on volume of 416,791 shares), positioning the stock -1.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($58.79) and +20.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($48.01). Across its 52-week range of $33.76 to $66.78, SCSC sits at the 72.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($53.79 to $61.63).

SCSC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is SCSC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, ScanSource Inc. (SCSC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 28, 2026.

How much is SCSC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.8% event move for SCSC, spanning a range between $53.79 and $61.63.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SCSC — ScanSource Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, SCSC scores 67 out of 100 (letter grade C+; verdict: Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 7.3% and an FCF yield of 9.35%. Cash generation is a relative strength, while the modest ROIC indicates limited capital efficiency.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not provide the underlying 13F figures, so the score cannot be traced to specific holder activity.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the highest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The highest score in the rating points to insider-related signals being the strongest component.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock moves in line with the broader market by this measure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 4.04, a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11.

Investor implications. The upside drivers in the rating are the strong balance sheet, the high FCF yield, and the insider-flow signal. The main valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 16.8 against a ROIC of 7.3%, so the price already reflects a moderate return on capital. The "Watch for Breakout" verdict implies the rating is waiting for confirmation rather than signaling a directional call. This analysis is educational and not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$58.98$1.2B16.815.614.33.510%1.0$33.76 - $66.787.3%

Business

ScanSource Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer. Per the company profile, it operates in the Technology sector, within the Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $1.2B. The source data does not describe its customers or the specific products and services it sells, or how it generates revenue beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-06-30)$3040.8M$85.2M$71.5MN/A$112.3M$83.5M$99.8M
FY 2024 (filed 2024-06-30)$3259.8M$90.3M$77.1MN/A$371.6M$110.5M$132.0M
FY 2023 (filed 2023-06-30)$3787.7M$135.9M$89.8MN/AN/AN/AN/A

Revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $3787.7M to $3040.8M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 13.4%, the operating margin is 2.8%, and the net margin is 2.4%, with ROIC of 7.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.04 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Per the same source, Debt/Equity is 0.11. Per the financials, cash fell from $110.5M to $83.5M and debt fell from $132.0M to $99.8M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all related to SCSC and all carrying a YELLOW light:

  • "ScanSource (SCSC) Is Attractively Priced Despite Fast-paced Momentum" (Yahoo Finance).
  • "WASATCH ADVISORS LP Trims ScanSource Inc (SCSC) Stake -- Shares Look 23% Overvalued on GF Value" (GuruFocus). This item reports a reduction in a holder's stake and a 23% overvaluation estimate attributed to GF Value.
  • "ScanSource (SCSC) Stock May Be Reasonable Given Its Cash Flow Outlook" (Simply Wall St).
  • "ScanSource, Inc. (SCSC) Stock Forecasts" (Yahoo Finance).
  • "SCANSOURCE, INC. ($SCSC) Chair and CEO 2026 Pay Revealed" (Quiver Quantitative).
  • "SCANSOURCE, INC. SEC Filing (Oct 26, 2026)" (Stock Titan).

Risk watch items from the wire include the reported stake reduction and the overvaluation estimate. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The sector classification (Technology) and industry classification (Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment) are the only structural information provided.

Open Questions

  • What is the specific business model, customer base, and product mix behind the sector and industry classification?
  • What drove the revenue decline from $3787.7M in FY 2023 to $3040.8M in FY 2025, and is it expected to continue?
  • What do the 13F filings show for institutional holders, and how large are the Form 4 and Congressional PTR trades behind the insider pillar?
  • Why are EPS, FY 2023 FCF, cash, and debt not reported, and what would the trend look like with complete data?
  • What is the basis for the GuruFocus 23% overvaluation estimate, and how does it compare with the forward P/E of 15.6?

SCSC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ScanSource Inc. (SCSC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SCSC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SCSC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $57.71?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SCSC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SCSC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $63.70 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is SCSC (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $58.98?

Welcome to the SCSC (ScanSource Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $48.95 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $58.98

Pump the brakes on SCSC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on SCSC, but look at what you are paying: 16.8x trailing P/E with 13.4% gross margins. Unless ScanSource Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $67.83 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $58.98

SCSC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on SCSC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Retail: Computer Software & Peripheral Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $58.98 (52-wk range $33.76 - $66.78), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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