Sharplink Inc. (SBET) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$6.49 -3.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.43

Sharplink Inc. (SBET) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.46B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is SBET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Sharplink Inc. (NASDAQ: SBET) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $6.49 (-3.71% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SBET ranks #634 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does SBET compare to LSPD and QUBT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SBET carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.0%. By comparison, LSPD (Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.45B) and QUBT (Quantum Computing Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBET leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BAND leads on capital efficiency (-2.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBET?
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Per SBET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981535), Sharplink Inc. generated $28.1M in revenue (+666.1% YoY), -$734.6M in net income, and -$17.6M in free cash flow against $2.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.43 (-0.86%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target
$14 Bull$6 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE SBET RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SBET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY SBET SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (33% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+6/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$8.41-6.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$7.87-5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$7.45-12.9% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$6.49-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SBET Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SBET currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.52) and Max Pain ($6.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SBET• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “SBET Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (15.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $40,809

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $245/yr
$11.5K
Yr 1
$13.2K
Yr 2
$15.2K
Yr 3
$17.6K
Yr 4
$20.2K
Yr 5
$23.3K
Yr 6
$26.8K
Yr 7
$30.8K
Yr 8
$35.5K
Yr 9
$40.8K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SBET)

  • ✓Walkthrough of SBET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
SBET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.27%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $7.23H $7.23L $6.49C $6.49VOL 14.41M
RES: $12.30SUP: $9.84SMA50: $8.52SMA200: $7.19
$12.78$10.53$8.27$6.02$3.76RES $12.30SUP $9.84$6.492026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SBET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SBET today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SBET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SBET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SBET)

Technology Rank #634 of 714 ⚔️ LSPD vs SBET Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (SBET vs. LSPD, QUBT, LIME, BAND)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sharplink Inc. (SBET) ranks #634 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #323 by equity capitalization ($1.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SBET leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BAND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.1% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. LSPD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with SBET at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
SBET ACTIVE
Sharplink Inc.
E 27/100 — — -24.0% -3.71% $1.46B Benchmark Subject
LSPD
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
D+ 58/100 — — — +2.94% $1.45B /lspd-vs-sbet →
QUBT
Quantum Computing Inc.
E 33/100 — 9.8% -4.6% -4.09% $1.49B /qubt-vs-sbet →
LIME
Neutron Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -3.13% $1.51B /lime-vs-sbet →
BAND
Bandwidth Inc.
D 51/100 — 39.1% -2.1% -9.23% $1.53B /band-vs-sbet →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001981535

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sharplink Inc. (SBET) reported GAAP revenue of $28.1M (+666.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.7M , and +466.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$734.6M, operating cash flow of -$17.5M, and free cash flow of -$17.6M (+23.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, SBET closed FY2025 with $2.43B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $28.1M -$734.6M -$17.5M -$17.6M $2.43B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.7M $10.1M -$22.8M -$22.8M $2.6M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.0M -$14.2M $582.9K $582.9K — —

3. SBET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SBET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Sharplink Inc. (NASDAQ: SBET) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $6.49 (-3.71% 1D, market cap $1.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, SBET ranks #634 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SBET compare to LSPD and QUBT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), SBET carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -24.0%. By comparison, LSPD (Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.45B) and QUBT (Quantum Computing Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.6%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SBET leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BAND leads on capital efficiency (-2.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SBET?

Per SBET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001981535), Sharplink Inc. generated $28.1M in revenue (+666.1% YoY), -$734.6M in net income, and -$17.6M in free cash flow against $2.43B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SBET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SBET last traded at $6.49 (-3.71% on volume of 21,881,281 shares), positioning the stock -23.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.52) and -9.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.19). Across its 52-week range of $4.46 to $13.43, SBET sits at the 22.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.4% ($5.75 to $7.23).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

SBET — Sharplink Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:40Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

SBET scores 31 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is built from five pillars, each weighted out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of -24% and an FCF yield of -1.12%. For a prospective investor, negative return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield mean the business is not currently converting capital into cash returns, so the stock's value depends on future improvement rather than current earnings power.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. A below-midpoint score indicates limited evidence of supportive institutional demand in the rating's inputs.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. this pillar covers SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow and is the weakest pillar. Its low score signals that insider and disclosed-trading activity in the rating's inputs does not provide a confidence signal. Related news items in the catalysts section describe a director-linked entity selling stock, which is consistent with this pillar.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity considered. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is rated to move in line with the broader market, so it offers no defensive cushion in a downturn.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The low Piotroski score and the forensic framing of the verdict point to weak financial-quality signals, even though leverage is moderate.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sharplink Inc. (SBET) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Technology sector, Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry,. Reported revenue was $28.1M in FY 2025, $3.7M in FY 2024, and $5.0M in FY 2023. Gross margin is 0% per the market data.

Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, and ROIC is -24%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 of 9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. FY 2025 shows a net loss of -$734.6M against revenue of $28.1M, while FY 2024 reports positive net income of $10.1M despite an operating loss of -$4.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: The stock trades at a 52-week low-to-high position with a beta of 1.0 and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score, indicating no acute solvency distress in the rating inputs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC -24.0%, FCF yield -1.12%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $4.46 – $13.43 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Negative ROIC of -24%, a negative FCF yield of -1.12%, and an insider-conviction score of 3 of 20 point to weak cash generation and low confidence signals. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain is NONE, with no upstream or downstream links recorded and no proprietary signals. Sector correlations and second-order bottlenecks cannot be determined from the source data. The one ripple the news feed does indicate is a sympathy move: the RED RISK WATCH item links a fall in a related ethereum-treasury company to a decline in SBET, suggesting the stock may trade with peers tied to the same asset exposure. The investor should monitor whether that correlation persists.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the FY 2025 net loss of -$734.6M against $28.1M revenue, and is it recurring or one-time?
  • Key Question #2: Why did FY 2024 show positive net income of $10.1M while operating income was -$4.8M?
  • Key Question #3: What are the cash and debt balances in the reported periods, since most are marked N/A?

SBET Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Sharplink Inc. (SBET) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to SBET Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

SBET Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.49?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON SBET 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on SBET:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.89 (+17.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock trades at a 52-week low-to-high position with a beta of 1.0 and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score, indicating no acute solvency distress i

The street is overcomplicating Sharplink Inc. (SBET). The stock trades at a 52-week low-to-high position with a beta of 1.0 and a 2.5 Altman Z-Score, indicating no acute solvency distress in the rating inputs.. With an RQD score of 27/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $7.28.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — SBET's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.26 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $6.74

Negative ROIC of -24%, a negative FCF yield of -1.12%, and an insider-conviction score of 3 of 20 point to weak cash generation and low

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short SBET above $6.74. Negative ROIC of -24%, a negative FCF yield of -1.12%, and an insider-conviction score of 3 of 20 point to weak cash generation and low confidence signals.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20) and FCF yield (-1.12%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $13.43.

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