Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.1% Move

$53.72 +0.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.68

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $28.10B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RYAAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $53.72 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $28.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RYAAY ranks #472 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RYAAY compare to UAL and LUV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), RYAAY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $34.18B) and LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $21.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYAAY?
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For Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #472 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $53.68 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$78 Bull$53 Base$41 Bear
📬 FREE RYAAY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RYAAY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RYAAY SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 15.5% FCF Margin ($620.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48.4) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$52.84+2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$54.00-1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$53.29+0.8% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$53.72-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RYAAY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RYAAY currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($54.09) and Max Pain ($56.41) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $77.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RYAAY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RYAAY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.1% Swing Band

±$2.74 Expected Swing
$50.98 (-5.1%)Spot $53.72$56.46 (+5.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

RYAAY Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $1.63 • YoY Revenue Growth: 23.1%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RYAAY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RYAAY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RYAAY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.90%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $52.31H $53.72L $52.31C $53.72VOL 2.03M
RES: $54.21SUP: $47.73SMA50: $54.09SMA200: $59.55
$68.75$63.94$59.14$54.33$49.53RES $54.21SUP $47.73$53.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RYAAY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RYAAY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RYAAY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RYAAY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RYAAY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #472 of 1011 ⚔️ UAL vs RYAAY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (RYAAY vs. UAL, LUV, FDXF, DAL)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) ranks #472 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #71 by equity capitalization ($28.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while DAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. DAL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with RYAAY at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RYAAY ACTIVE
Ryanair Holdings plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.62% $28.10B Benchmark Subject
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 10.2x — 14.0% -0.92% $34.18B /ual-vs-ryaay →
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D+ 56/100 48.5x — 3.2% -2.86% $21.39B /luv-vs-ryaay →
FDXF
FedEx Freight Holding Company Inc.
D 45/100 25.0x — 8.3% +14.91% $16.40B /fdxf-vs-ryaay →
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc.
B- 70/100 10.7x — 16.2% -1.82% $53.71B /dal-vs-ryaay →

2. RYAAY Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $28.10B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. RYAAY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RYAAY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $53.72 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $28.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, RYAAY ranks #472 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RYAAY compare to UAL and LUV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), RYAAY carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $34.18B) and LUV (Southwest Airlines Company) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 48.5x, ROIC 3.2%, cap $21.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RYAAY?

For Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #472 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RYAAY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RYAAY last traded at $53.72 (+0.62% on volume of 2,357,419 shares), positioning the stock -0.68% below its 50-day simple moving average ($54.09) and -9.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($59.55). Across its 52-week range of $51.02 to $74.24, RYAAY sits at the 11.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($50.98 to $56.46).

RYAAY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is RYAAY's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is RYAAY stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.1% event move for RYAAY, spanning a range between $50.98 and $56.46.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RYAAY — Ryanair Holdings plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RYAAY scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental cash engine scores 12 of 20, citing ROIC of 9.9% and FCF yield of 2.21%. This is the pillar most directly tied to the company's ability to generate returns on invested capital, and the modest ROIC and FCF yield indicate limited cash generation relative to the valuation. Whale 13F flow scores 7 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider conviction scores 12 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro regime fit scores 7 of 20, citing beta of 0.9 and sector sensitivity. Forensic balance sheet scores 16 of 20, the strongest pillar, citing Altman Z of 3.74, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet strength, which the rating treats as the firm's relative strength. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8 and EV/EBITDA of 21 against an FCF yield of 2.21%, meaning investors are paying a premium for earnings whose cash conversion the rating views as thin. Weak institutional and insider signal scores, together with sector-sensitive macro exposure, indicate limited external conviction behind the price. This is an analytical summary of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
53.39$28.1B32.827.6211.630%0.9$51.02 - $74.249.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most prominent items are:

  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Yahoo Finance-sourced headline on geopolitical pressures cutting the outlook, with the feed noting fuel hedging and net cash as margin supports.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Seeking Alpha item on a review of costs and a possible pay freeze as fuel costs squeeze profit.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A GuruFocus item on rising fuel costs amid a Q2 profit decline.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance item on the Ireland-listed shares' earnings outlook.
  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Benzinga item in which the CEO warns airfares could rise 20% as fuel costs threaten profits. The feed labels this a catalyst, though the content is a cost warning.
  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Stock Titan item reporting that Capital Group's voting rights fell below 16%.

The feed's headlines consistently point to fuel cost pressure as the dominant near-term theme. Proprietary signals are Not available in source data, as the butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links or proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, and does the 9.9% ROIC reflect a trend?
  • What is the fuel hedging position referenced in the news feed, and how much of near-term cost pressure it offsets?
  • What drives the 0% gross margin and 0% dividend yield in the market data, and are these reporting or data-coverage artifacts?
  • Who holds the shares by institution and insider category, and does the Capital Group voting-rights reduction reflect a broader ownership shift?
  • How does the company's pay-review and airfare-pricing response to fuel costs translate into operating margin over the coming quarters?

RYAAY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ryanair Holdings plc (RYAAY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RYAAY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RYAAY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.72?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RYAAY 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RYAAY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $57.66 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RYAAY (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $53.39?

Welcome to the RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings plc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.04 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $53.39

Pump the brakes on RYAAY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RYAAY, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ryanair Holdings plc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $68.34 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $53.39

RYAAY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RYAAY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $53.39 (52-wk range $51.02 - $74.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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