Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$10.72 -5.38% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.60

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $84.8M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: RPT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $10.72 (-5.38% 1D, market cap $84.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RPT ranks #1067 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RPT compare to BHR and SUNS in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RPT carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $89.3M) and SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPT?
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Per RPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001614806), Rithm Property Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and -$8.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.60 (-1.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.3% Base Target
$19 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE RPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY RPT SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (42% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
16
Grade E$10.57+4.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
19
Grade E$11.01+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
21
Grade E$11.10-3.4% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$10.72-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (16) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a RPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While RPT currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.51) and Max Pain ($11.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “RPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE
L: $10$10.72H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 3 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 7 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on RPT

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (15)

-0.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -9.27% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

7/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like RPT
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring RPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of RPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.78%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $11.33H $11.33L $10.72C $10.72VOL 37.7K
RES: $11.75SUP: $10.51SMA50: $11.51SMA200: $13.47
$15.62$14.04$12.47$10.89$9.31RES $11.75SUP $10.51$10.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RPT)

Financials Rank #1067 of 1096 ⚔️ BHR vs RPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (RPT vs. BHR, SUNS, IOR, CHMI)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) ranks #1067 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #976 by equity capitalization ($84.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SUNS leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while BHR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CHMI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with RPT at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RPT ACTIVE
Rithm Property Trust Inc.
E 24/100 — — -0.9% -5.38% $84.8M Benchmark Subject
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.
D- 40/100 — — 85.0% -1.51% $89.3M /bhr-vs-rpt →
SUNS
Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.
E 33/100 7.3x — 6.7% +0.30% $89.3M /suns-vs-rpt →
IOR
Income Opportunity Realty Investors Inc.
D- 36/100 18.9x — -0.2% 0.00% $75.3M /ior-vs-rpt →
CHMI
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation
D+ 57/100 — — — -1.51% $96.1M /chmi-vs-rpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001614806

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$2.7M, operating cash flow of -$8.3M, and free cash flow of -$8.3M (-2963.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, RPT closed FY2025 with $1.04B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$2.7M -$8.3M -$8.3M $1.04B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$92.2M $290.0K $290.0K $977.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$49.3M -$46.5M -$46.5M — —

3. RPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (NYSE: RPT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $10.72 (-5.38% 1D, market cap $84.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, RPT ranks #1067 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RPT compare to BHR and SUNS in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), RPT carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.9%. By comparison, BHR (Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $89.3M) and SUNS (Sunrise Realty Trust Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $89.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SUNS leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while BHR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RPT?

Per RPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001614806), Rithm Property Trust Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$2.7M in net income, and -$8.3M in free cash flow against $1.04B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RPT last traded at $10.72 (-5.38% on volume of 37,653 shares), positioning the stock -6.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.51) and -20.42% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.47). Across its 52-week range of $9.80 to $17.94, RPT sits at the 11.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($9.81 to $11.63).

RPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell RPT stock right now?

Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 24/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is RPT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

RPT's 12-month base price target is $9.08 (range $7.08 to $18.84), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

RPT — Rithm Property Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:33Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, RPT scores 26 out of 100, a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 (ROIC -0.9%; FCF yield -9.27%); Whale 13F Flow at 6/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 1/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the ones that determine whether a company generates durable value. The cash engine and insider pillars both score 3 of 20, indicating negative return on invested capital and negative free-cash-flow yield alongside limited insider conviction signals. The Piotroski F-Score of 1 of 9 is a particularly low reading on the forensic side, pointing to weak profitability, leverage, and operating-efficiency signals together. The Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are the relatively better elements within the balance-sheet pillar, but they do not offset the cash-generation weakness. Institutional flow (6/20) is the strongest pillar but remains below the midpoint. Upside drivers would need to come from a turnaround in cash generation, which the current source data does not demonstrate. Valuation cannot be assessed on earnings multiples because P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable in the source data. The 52-week range of $9.8 to $17.94 against a current price of 11.33 shows the stock trading in the lower portion of its range.

Business

Per the profile section, Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, with a market capitalization of $0.1B. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Revenue is reported as $0.0M across the available financial periods, and the source data does not explain how the company earns money.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$-2.7MN/A$-8.3M$79.3MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-92.2MN/A$0.3M$64.3MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$-49.3MN/A$-46.5MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income was negative in each of the three listed periods, and free cash flow was negative in FY 2025 and FY 2023, with FY 2024 showing $0.3M. Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0% in the market data. ROIC is -0.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1 of 9, both per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating, while the debt line item is N/A across the financial periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tagged to RPT and all marked YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE. The headlines reference a third-quarter 2026 earnings release schedule, a Q3 earnings snapshot, a Wedbush coverage initiation on housing-related stocks following recent underperformance, a MarketBeat report of a 3.9% price rise, and a TradingView-reported dividend declaration of $0.36 per share. The dividend declaration conflicts with the market data showing a 0% dividend yield, and the source data does not reconcile this. The estimates item has no content in the source. The Butterfly supply-chain graph lists no proprietary signals. Key watch items are the Q3 2026 earnings release and the dividend question.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data beyond the sector and industry classification of Financials and Real Estate Investment Trusts.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue sources, given that reported revenue is $0.0M across all periods?
  • Does the declared $0.36 per share dividend reported in the news section conflict with the 0% dividend yield in the market data, and which is current?
  • What explains the negative net income and free cash flow in FY 2023 and FY 2025, and what are the reported debt and EPS figures?
  • What are the forward earnings and EV/EBITDA estimates, since the valuation multiples are unavailable?
  • What insider, institutional, and analyst positioning exists beyond the RQD pillar scores?

RPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rithm Property Trust Inc. (RPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to RPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.72?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RPT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.97 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is RPT (E • RQD 26/100) a Buy at $11.33?

Welcome to the RPT (Rithm Property Trust Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 26/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Real Estate Investment Trusts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.61 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $11.33

Pump the brakes on RPT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on RPT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Rithm Property Trust Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.26 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $11.33

RPT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on RPT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate Investment Trusts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $11.33 (52-wk range $9.80 - $17.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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