Why ROL Stock surged +3.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$36.03 +3.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.37

Rollins Inc. (ROL) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $16.57B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ROL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Rollins Inc. (NYSE: ROL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $36.03 (+3.95% 1D, market cap $16.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ROL ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ROL compare to ALLE and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ROL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.5%. By comparison, ALLE (Allegion plc) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.72B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROL?
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Per ROL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000084839), Rollins Inc. generated $3.76B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $526.7M in net income, and $650.0M in free cash flow against $3.14B in total assets and $794.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.37 (+0.95%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 17.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (18)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$69 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE ROL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ROL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ROL SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.3% FCF Margin ($650.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.9) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$32.63+2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$33.45+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$33.50+7.6% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$36.03+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ROL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, ROL faces multiple-compression risk if 31.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($33.40) or 200D SMA ($46.49) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.30) toward Bear Floor ($29.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ROL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ROL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ROL Stock surged +3.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Rollins Inc. (ROL) surged +3.95% to $36.03, trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($29.29 – $66.14). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($29.29 – $66.14) with RSI-14 at 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $36.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $650.0M annual free cash flow.
Live ROL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRETrefis • 1d ago
Is Rollins Stock About To Rebound?

Trefis report covering Rollins Inc. (ROL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Rollins, Inc. (ROL) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering Rollins Inc. (ROL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ROL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
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ROL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.46%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $34.69H $36.03L $34.66C $36.03VOL 5.39M
RES: $35.17SUP: $26.14SMA50: $33.40SMA200: $46.49
$60.13$51.77$43.41$35.05$26.70RES $35.17SUP $26.14$36.032026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ROL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ROL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ROL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ROL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ROL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #106 of 1011 ⚔️ ALLE vs ROL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ROL vs. ALLE, APG, AER, SUNB)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rollins Inc. (ROL) ranks #106 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #115 by equity capitalization ($16.57B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AER leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ROL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ALLE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 79/100 (B+) compared with ROL at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ROL ACTIVE
Rollins Inc.
B 72/100 31.5x — 28.5% +3.95% $16.57B Benchmark Subject
ALLE
Allegion plc
B+ 79/100 24.5x 45.2% 18.4% +2.84% $15.72B /alle-vs-rol →
APG
APi Group Corporation
C 64/100 64.4x 31.4% 8.3% +2.17% $18.86B /apg-vs-rol →
AER
AerCap Holdings N.V.
C+ 69/100 6.6x — 9.2% +3.04% $24.48B /aer-vs-rol →
SUNB
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 — 96.0% 11.7% +0.18% $34.27B /sunb-vs-rol →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000084839

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Rollins Inc. (ROL) reported GAAP revenue of $3.76B (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.39B , and +22.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $526.7M, operating cash flow of $678.1M, and free cash flow of $650.0M (+12.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ROL closed FY2025 with $3.14B in total assets against $794.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.80, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.76B $526.7M $678.1M $650.0M $3.14B $794.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.39B $466.4M $607.7M $580.1M $2.82B $670.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.07B $435.0M $528.4M $390.1M $9.12B $2.13B

3. ROL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ROL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rollins Inc. (NYSE: ROL) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $36.03 (+3.95% 1D, market cap $16.57B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ROL ranks #106 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ROL compare to ALLE and APG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ROL carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.5%. By comparison, ALLE (Allegion plc) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $15.72B) and APG (APi Group Corporation) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 64.4x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $18.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AER leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ROL leads on capital efficiency (28.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ROL?

Per ROL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000084839), Rollins Inc. generated $3.76B in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $526.7M in net income, and $650.0M in free cash flow against $3.14B in total assets and $794.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ROL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ROL last traded at $36.03 (+3.95% on volume of 4,666,491 shares), positioning the stock +7.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($33.40) and -22.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.49). Across its 52-week range of $29.29 to $66.14, ROL sits at the 18.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($33.72 to $38.34).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ROL — Rollins Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:14:18Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ROL scores 72 out of 100, graded B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Return on invested capital is 28.5% and free cash flow yield is 3.92%. This is the strongest operating signal in the rating and indicates the business converts capital into returns efficiently.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning earned a middling score.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scored well.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Beta is 1.13, indicating above-market sensitivity to broad moves, and sector sensitivity weighed on this pillar.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Altman Z-Score is 7.8, Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.54, pointing to strong financial health.

For a prospective investor, the rating suggests quality and balance-sheet strength are the main supports, while institutional flow and macro/beta exposure are weaker. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 31.5 and EV/EBITDA of 23 are elevated relative to the FCF yield of 3.92%, so upside depends on sustained earnings growth rather than multiple expansion alone. The stock's 52-week range of $29.29 to $66.14 and the current price of $34.69 show the shares trade well below their prior high, which the rating does not explain. This is an analytical read, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rollins Inc. (ROL) is a NYSE-listed company classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Diversified Commercial Services industry,. Market capitalization is $16.6B.

Revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow rose across the three reported years. Operating margin is 19.3% and net margin is 14% per the market data, with ROIC at 28.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 7.8 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both supportive. Debt/Equity is 0.54 per the rating. Reported debt fell from $2.13B in FY 2023 to $794.8M in FY 2025, though the source does not explain the change. Gross margin is listed as 0% in the market data, which is not a reliable figure and is not interpreted here.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality, with ROIC of 28.5%, Altman Z of 7.8, and Piotroski F of 8/9, support the Roarable Buy rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 (ROIC 28.5%, FCF yield 3.92%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $29.29 – $66.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Trailing P/E of 31.5 and EV/EBITDA of 23 are elevated while the news wire reports missed Q3 sales and margin pressure. Investors must weigh 31.5x trailing P/E and 23.0x EV/EBITDA against 19.3% operating margins and a 1.13 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector information is the Consumer Discretionary / Diversified Commercial Services classification. — for the rest of this section.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue segments, and how much of growth comes from pest control?
  • Key Question #2: What were the Q3 2026 revenue and earnings figures versus consensus, and what drove the margin pressure cited in the news wire?
  • Key Question #3: Why did reported debt decline sharply between FY 2023 and FY 2025, and what is the current debt maturity profile?

ROL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rollins Inc. (ROL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ROL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ROL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ROL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ROL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $43.32 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality, with ROIC of 28.5%, Altman Z of 7.8, and Piotroski F of 8/9, support the Roarable

Don't sleep on ROL's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality, with ROIC of 28.5%, Altman Z of 7.8, and Piotroski F of 8/9, support the Roarable Buy rating.. Beta of 1.13 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (72/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $34.66 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.34 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $34.66

Trailing P/E of 31.5 and EV/EBITDA of 23 are elevated while the news wire reports missed Q3 sales and margin pressure.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on ROL: Trailing P/E of 31.5 and EV/EBITDA of 23 are elevated while the news wire reports missed Q3 sales and margin pressure.. At 31.5x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Diversified Commercial Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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