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Reed's Inc. (REED) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.76 +2.18% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76

Reed's Inc. (REED) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $8.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is REED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Reed's Inc. (NYSE: REED) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $8.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, REED ranks #119 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does REED compare to WVVI and EPSM in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), REED carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WVVI (Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $9.0M) and EPSM (Epsium Enterprise Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.3%, cap $11.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REED leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WVVI leads on capital efficiency (-1.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REED?
β–Ό

Per REED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001140215), Reed's Inc. generated $34.1M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), -$15.8M in net income, and -$17.3M in free cash flow against $23.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76 (+0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (9)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.8% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE REED RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for REED)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY REED SCORES 32/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 1/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
24
Grade E$0.57-19.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$0.46+58.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$0.73+4.1% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$0.76-9.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (24) β†’ E (32)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a REED Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While REED currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.71) and Max Pain ($0.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.40.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $REEDβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œREED Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (REED)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for REED.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring REED)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of REED's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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REED // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -78.29%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $0.69H $0.76L $0.69C $0.76VOL 110.2K
RES: $0.88SUP: $0.22SMA50: $0.71SMA200: $1.88
$5.04$3.76$2.49$1.21$-0.07RES $0.88SUP $0.22$0.762026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

REED Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on REED today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for REED. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for REED today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (REED)

Consumer Staples Rank #119 of 146 βš”οΈ WVVI vs REED Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (REED vs. WVVI, EPSM, SRXH, IBG)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Reed's Inc. (REED) ranks #119 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #129 by equity capitalization ($8.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REED leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WVVI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.4% ROIC and 60.5% gross margin. IBG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 34/100 (E) compared with REED at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
REED ACTIVE
Reed's Inc.
E 32/100 β€” 20.4% -35.0% +2.18% $8.8M Benchmark Subject
WVVI
Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc.
E 23/100 β€” 60.5% -1.4% +1.11% $9.0M /wvvi-vs-reed β†’
EPSM
Epsium Enterprise Limited (Class A)
E 25/100 β€” 14.7% -10.3% +0.96% $11.0M /epsm-vs-reed β†’
SRXH
SRX Global Inc.
E 18/100 β€” 23.4% -35.0% -3.98% $20.5M /srxh-vs-reed β†’
IBG
Innovation Beverage Group Limited
E 34/100 β€” 44.2% -35.0% -6.34% $3.6M /ibg-vs-reed β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001140215

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Reed's Inc. (REED) reported GAAP revenue of $34.1M (-10.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.0M , and -23.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$15.8M, operating cash flow of -$17.0M, and free cash flow of -$17.3M (-175.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, REED closed FY2025 with $23.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $34.1M -$15.8M -$17.0M -$17.3M $23.3M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $38.0M -$13.2M -$6.1M -$6.3M $25.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $44.7M -$15.5M -$4.3M -$4.3M β€” β€”

3. REED Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is REED stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Reed's Inc. (NYSE: REED) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (+2.18% 1D, market cap $8.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, REED ranks #119 in composite RQD confidence.

How does REED compare to WVVI and EPSM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), REED carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WVVI (Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc.) holds a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.4%, cap $9.0M) and EPSM (Epsium Enterprise Limited (Class A)) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.3%, cap $11.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REED leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WVVI leads on capital efficiency (-1.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for REED?

Per REED's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001140215), Reed's Inc. generated $34.1M in revenue (-10.2% YoY), -$15.8M in net income, and -$17.3M in free cash flow against $23.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is REED trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

REED last traded at $0.76 (+2.18% on volume of 50,300 shares), positioning the stock +7.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.71) and -59.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.88). Across its 52-week range of $0.33 to $8.00, REED sits at the 5.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.86).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 32/100 (E) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

REED β€” Reed's Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Reed's Inc. (REED) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 32/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $0.76 (+2.18% 1D, market capitalization $8.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 20.4%, operating margin of -44.5%, and free cash flow yield of β€”.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Reed's Inc. (REED) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Beverages (Production/Distribution) industry. The market capitalization is $0.0B on a rounded basis, while the market data section reports $8.2M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Reed's Inc. (REED) reported $34.1M in annual revenue (up from $38.0M in FY2024, -10.2% YoY) and -$15.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($44.7M revenue, -$15.5M net income) through FY2025, REED scaled operating cash flow to -$17.0M and free cash flow to -$17.3M, backed by $23.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (E β€’ RQD 32/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of β€” and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.33 – $8.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -44.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply chain status is NONE and butterfly links are empty. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks are identified in source data. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this source cannot confirm whether the reported unusual trading activity or the proposed $10 million funding from D&D Source Of Life Holding Ltd. Has any supply-chain ripple effect.

  • Key Question #1: Can REED sustain or expand its -44.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $34.1M and free cash flow of -$17.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is REED's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

REED Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Reed's Inc. (REED) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to REED Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

REED Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.76?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON REED 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on REED:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.87 (+17.6%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A reported expected $10 million funding from D&D Source Of Life Holding Ltd. could provide new capital against a $8.2M market cap.

The street is overcomplicating Reed's Inc. (REED). A reported expected $10 million funding from D&D Source Of Life Holding Ltd. could provide new capital against a $8.2M market cap.. With an RQD score of 32/100 (E) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.80.

RetailWhale_TX πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” REED's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.63 (-14.9%)
Spot @ $0.74

Free cash flow of -$17.3M in FY 2025 with an FCF yield of 0% and ROIC of -35% signals an unfunded cash engine under forensic risk.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short REED above $0.74. Free cash flow of -$17.3M in FY 2025 with an FCF yield of 0% and ROIC of -35% signals an unfunded cash engine under forensic risk.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $8.00.

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