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Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$114.67 -7.64% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $112.88

Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $25.74B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on RBRK Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is RBRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Rubrik Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $114.67 (-7.64% 1D, market cap $25.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, RBRK ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does RBRK compare to MDB and CRWV in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RBRK carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 80.1%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, MDB (MongoDB Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.4%, cap $28.43B) and CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $30.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTC leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while PTC leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBRK?
β–Ό

Per RBRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001943896), Rubrik Inc. generated $1.32B in revenue (+48.5% YoY), -$350.0K in net income, and $253.3M in free cash flow against $2.77B in total assets and $1.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $112.87 (-1.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 19.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 54.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C Β· Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (17)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$147 Bull$117 Base$91 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE RBRK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for RBRK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY RBRK SCORES 62/100 (C) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.90 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$113.90+5.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$120.38+13% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$136.00-15.7% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$114.67+0.7% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C- (54) β†’ C (62)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the RBRK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, RBRK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($112.48) or 200D SMA ($77.59) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.73) toward Bear Floor ($91.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $RBRKβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œRBRK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

RBRK Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (RBRK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on RBRK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (RBRK Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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RBRK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +97.95%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $133.6H $133.6L $114.7C $114.7VOL 4.04M
RES: $143.6SUP: $107.7SMA50: $112.5SMA200: $77.59
$146.1$120.5$95.00$69.46$43.91RES $143.6SUP $107.7$114.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

RBRK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ RBRK Butterfly Map β†’ + Track RBRK β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
27.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +48.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on RBRK today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for RBRK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for RBRK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (RBRK)

Technology Rank #177 of 715 βš”οΈ MDB vs RBRK Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (RBRK vs. MDB, CRWV, RBLX, PTC)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) ranks #177 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #97 by equity capitalization ($25.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PTC leads on earnings valuation at 28.8x trailing P/E, while PTC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and 83.8% gross margin. PTC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with RBRK at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
RBRK ACTIVE
Rubrik Inc.
C 62/100 β€” 80.1% -12.3% -7.64% $25.74B Benchmark Subject
MDB
MongoDB Inc.
C- 59/100 β€” 71.7% -4.4% -6.38% $28.43B /mdb-vs-rbrk β†’
CRWV
CoreWeave Inc.
E 24/100 β€” 71.7% -0.2% -8.60% $30.26B /crwv-vs-rbrk β†’
RBLX
Roblox Corporation
D- 37/100 β€” 78.1% -32.5% -0.26% $30.77B /rblx-vs-rbrk β†’
PTC
PTC Inc.
B+ 80/100 28.8x 83.8% 16.4% -0.63% $21.22B /ptc-vs-rbrk β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-31 β€’ CIK 0001943896 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) reported GAAP revenue of $1.32B (+48.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $886.5M , and +109.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$350.0K, operating cash flow of $282.9M, and free cash flow of $253.3M (+708.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, RBRK closed FY2025 with $2.77B in total assets against $1.48B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.90, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.32B -$350.0K $282.9M $253.3M $2.77B $1.48B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $886.5M -$1.1M $48.2M $31.3M $1.42B $322.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $627.9M -$354.2M -$4.5M -$32.8M $15.24B $3.57B

3. RBRK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is RBRK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Rubrik Inc. (NYSE: RBRK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $114.67 (-7.64% 1D, market cap $25.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, RBRK ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

How does RBRK compare to MDB and CRWV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), RBRK carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 80.1%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, MDB (MongoDB Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.4%, cap $28.43B) and CRWV (CoreWeave Inc.) posts a E grade (24/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.2%, cap $30.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PTC leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while PTC leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for RBRK?

Per RBRK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001943896), Rubrik Inc. generated $1.32B in revenue (+48.5% YoY), -$350.0K in net income, and $253.3M in free cash flow against $2.77B in total assets and $1.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is RBRK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

RBRK last traded at $114.67 (-7.64% on volume of 3,988,313 shares), positioning the stock +1.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($112.48) and +47.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.59). Across its 52-week range of $42.25 to $139.92, RBRK sits at the 74.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($100.34 to $129.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: RBRK RQD Cockpit RBRK 12M Forecast RBRK Earnings & Move RBRK Dividends & DRIP RBRK Insiders & 13F RBRK Whale Options RBRK Profit Sankey RBRK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 62/100 (C) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

RBRK β€” Rubrik Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $114.67 (-7.64% 1D, market capitalization $25.74B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.3%, gross margin of 80.1%, operating margin of -26.2%, and free cash flow yield of 0.91%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.31x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.90, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Gross margin is reported at 80.1% and operating margin at -26.2%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) reported $1.32B in annual revenue (up from $886.5M in FY2024, +48.5% YoY) and -$350.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($627.9M revenue, -$354.2M net income) through FY2025, RBRK scaled operating cash flow to $282.9M and free cash flow to $253.3M, backed by $2.77B in total assets against $1.48B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (C β€’ RQD 62/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Free cash flow yield of 0.91% and institutional whale pillar of 17/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $42.25 – $139.92 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -26.2% operating margins and a 1.31x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is Technology / Computer Software: Prepackaged Software, with beta of 1.31 per the market data section.

  • Key Question #1: Can RBRK sustain or expand its -26.2% operating margin and -12.3% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.32B and free cash flow of $253.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.48B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is RBRK's 36.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.31x)?

RBRK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Rubrik Inc. (RBRK) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to RBRK Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

RBRK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $114.67?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON RBRK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on RBRK:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Cross-Asset Macro Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $160.15 (+29.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Institutional whale-flow pillar scores 19/20 and FY 2025 free cash flow reached $253.3M, per the RQD rating and SEC financials.

The street is overcomplicating Rubrik Inc. (RBRK). Institutional whale-flow pillar scores 19/20 and FY 2025 free cash flow reached $253.3M, per the RQD rating and SEC financials.. With an RQD score of 62/100 (C) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $134.08.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Fair point on 36.0x forward P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. If gross margin (80.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $96.84 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $124.15

Operating margin of -26.2% and ROIC of -12.3% show the business is not yet earning returns on invested capital, with a 36 forward P/E o

Careful chasing RBRK at $124.15. Operating margin of -26.2% and ROIC of -12.3% show the business is not yet earning returns on invested capital, with a 36 forward P/E on a $27.7B market cap.. Gross margin is 80.1%, but operating margin is -26.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $96.84 on multiple compression.

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