Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE: QSR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $72.41 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $33.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QSR ranks #554 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), QSR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 30.2%, cap $39.58B) and YUM (Yum! Brands Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 60.3%, cap $42.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while YUM leads on capital efficiency (60.3% ROIC).
Per QSR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001618756), Restaurant Brands International Inc. generated $9.43B in revenue (+12.2% YoY), $1.07B in net income, and $1.45B in free cash flow against $25.61B in total assets and $13.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.4% FCF Margin ($1.45B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.8) create a -15 pt regime headwind
While QSR currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($74.28) and Max Pain ($76.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $86.06.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) slipped -0.82% to $72.41, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($64.52 – $81.96). Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The chain has reclaimed one crown and has made a major menu change to better challenge McDonald’s and Wendy’s.
Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR) reported contrasting brand trends, with Burger King and Tim Hortons outpacing a weaker Popeyes segment. Popeyes is undergoing an operational shake-up after ongoing same store sa
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QSR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for QSR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) ranks #554 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #65 by equity capitalization ($33.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YUMC leads on earnings valuation at 16.7x trailing P/E, while YUM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 60.3% ROIC and 69.8% gross margin. YUM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with QSR at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QSR
ACTIVE
Restaurant Brands International Inc. | D | 50/100 | 30.9x | — | 12.6% | -0.82% | $33.18B | Benchmark Subject |
| CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 25.8x | — | 30.2% | +1.95% | $39.58B | /cmg-vs-qsr → |
| YUM Yum! Brands Inc. | B | 74/100 | 27.1x | 69.8% | 60.3% | +0.55% | $42.18B | /yum-vs-qsr → |
| DRI Darden Restaurants Inc. | C | 64/100 | 20.7x | 20.3% | 19.5% | -0.14% | $24.95B | /dri-vs-qsr → |
| YUMC Yum China Holdings Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 16.7x | — | 14.9% | +1.28% | $15.48B | /yumc-vs-qsr → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) reported GAAP revenue of $9.43B (+12.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.41B , and +34.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.07B, operating cash flow of $1.71B, and free cash flow of $1.45B (+11.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, QSR closed FY2025 with $25.61B in total assets against $13.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.72, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $9.43B | $1.07B | $1.71B | $1.45B | $25.61B | $13.25B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $8.41B | $1.45B | $1.50B | $1.30B | $24.63B | $13.46B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.02B | $1.72B | $1.32B | $1.01B | $18.25B | $4.27B |
As of 2026-11-02, Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE: QSR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $72.41 (-0.82% 1D, market cap $33.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, QSR ranks #554 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Restaurants), QSR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 30.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.6%. By comparison, CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 25.8x, ROIC 30.2%, cap $39.58B) and YUM (Yum! Brands Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 60.3%, cap $42.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, YUMC leads on earnings multiple (16.7x) while YUM leads on capital efficiency (60.3% ROIC).
Per QSR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001618756), Restaurant Brands International Inc. generated $9.43B in revenue (+12.2% YoY), $1.07B in net income, and $1.45B in free cash flow against $25.61B in total assets and $13.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
QSR last traded at $72.41 (-0.82% on volume of 4,794,721 shares), positioning the stock -2.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($74.28) and -2.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($74.07). Across its 52-week range of $64.52 to $81.96, QSR sits at the 45.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($69.01 to $75.81).
Why QSR Stock slipped -0.82% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 31x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, QSR scores 50 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." Across the five pillars:
Investor implications: The upside case rests on the cash-generation pillar and the dividend (3.34% yield). The valuation tradeoff is that trailing P/E of 30.9 and EV/EBITDA of 17.9 are elevated relative to the forward P/E of 26, and the stock trades within a 52-week range of $64.52–$81.96. The balance sheet pillar is the principal constraint: high leverage amplifies sensitivity to any deterioration in earnings or refinancing conditions. The RQD verdict treats these factors together as a distribution warning rather than an accumulation signal.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $9434.0M | $2202.0M | $1075.0M | N/A | $1449.0M | N/A | $13250.0M |
| FY 2024 | $8406.0M | $2419.0M | $1445.0M | N/A | $1302.0M | N/A | $13455.0M |
| FY 2023 | $7022.0M | $2051.0M | $1718.0M | N/A | $1007.0M | N/A | $4270.7M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $7022.0M (FY 2023) to $9434.0M (FY 2025), while net income declined from $1718.0M to $1075.0M over the same span. Operating income fell from $2419.0M in FY 2024 to $2202.0M in FY 2025. Per the market data, the operating margin is 23.3% and the net margin is 11.4%; the gross margin is reported as 0%. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 12.6%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.72 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, per the RQD forensic pillar. Reported debt rose from $4270.7M (FY 2023) to $13250.0M (FY 2025), and the Debt/Equity ratio is 3.65.
Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six headlines are present, each tagged YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label:
Risk watch items per the feed: the mixed-results framing and the "zombie stock" characterization both point to the balance sheet and growth questions already flagged by the RQD forensic pillar. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present (see below).
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CNBC report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Morningstar report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Globe and Mail report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the QSR (Restaurant Brands International Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 50/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Restaurants. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (30.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on QSR, but look at what you are paying: 30.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Restaurant Brands International Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on QSR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Restaurants and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $73.01 (52-wk range $64.52 - $81.96), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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