Why QCOM Stock dropped -11.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$164.79 -11.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $161.89

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) earns a Roarable Rating of A (Strong Buy) with 86/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A • STRONG BUY Cap $194.72B
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As of 2026-11-02, QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 86/100 at a spot price of $164.79 (-11.12% 1D, market cap $194.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, QCOM ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does QCOM compare to MSI and NOK in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), QCOM carries a Roarable A (86/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 55.4%, and ROIC of 34.3%. By comparison, MSI (Motorola Solutions Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 24.4%, cap $81.44B) and NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $53.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOK leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QCOM?
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Per QCOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0000804328), QUALCOMM Incorporated generated $44.28B in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $5.54B in net income, and $12.02B in free cash flow against $53.03B in total assets and $13.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $161.89 (-1.76%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 27.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 86/100 (A) historically ranked in the Top 5% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 73.2% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A
025507510086
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A · Rk A-
Cash (20)Whales (16)SEC (18)Macro (15)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+12.6% Base Target
$273 Bull$186 Base$135 Bear
📬 FREE QCOM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for QCOM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (86/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY QCOM SCORES 86/100 (A) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.1% FCF Margin ($12.02B FCF) & 55.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit15/20 pts (-5 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.5) create a -5 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
94
Grade A+$176.86-0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
91
Grade A+$175.71+4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
89
Grade A$184.17-10.5% Next Q
Current
86
Grade A$164.79+9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A+ (94) → A (86)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the QCOM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 86/100 (A) score, QCOM faces multiple-compression risk if 35.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($178.87) or 200D SMA ($169.77) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($185.55) toward Bear Floor ($135.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $QCOM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “QCOM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why QCOM Stock dropped -11.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) dropped -11.12% to $164.79, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($121.99 – $259.92). High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($121.99 – $259.92) with RSI-14 at 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $164.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable A (Strong Buy) backed by 55.4% gross margin and $12.0B annual free cash flow.
Live QCOM Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (QCOM Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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QCOM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $183.0H $185.4L $164.8C $164.8VOL 8.23M
RES: $194.7SUP: $161.9SMA50: $178.9SMA200: $169.8
$268.5$232.9$197.3$161.8$126.2RES $194.7SUP $161.9$164.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

QCOM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on QCOM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
ARM → QCOM Confirmed Filing
Qualcomm Snapdragon mobile, automotive, and Oryon Windows-on-Arm PC processors execute on Armv8/Armv9 instruction-set architecture (ISA) licenses.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for QCOM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (QCOM)

Technology Rank #1 of 714 ⚔️ MSI vs QCOM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (QCOM vs. MSI, NOK, ERIC, UI)

Industry: Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) ranks #1 by composite RQD confidence (86/100, grade A) and #31 by equity capitalization ($194.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NOK leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while QCOM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.3% ROIC and 55.4% gross margin. QCOM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 86/100 (A).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
QCOM ACTIVE
QUALCOMM Incorporated
A 86/100 35.1x 55.4% 34.3% -11.12% $194.72B Benchmark Subject
MSI
Motorola Solutions Inc.
B 74/100 37.8x 51.7% 24.4% -0.11% $81.44B /msi-vs-qcom →
NOK
Nokia Corporation Sponsored
C- 61/100 21.7x — 14.9% -8.06% $53.46B /nok-vs-qcom →
ERIC
Ericsson
C+ 69/100 21.7x — 14.9% +0.36% $37.56B /eric-vs-qcom →
UI
Ubiquiti Inc.
C 63/100 51.6x 43.4% 22.5% -7.07% $36.71B /ui-vs-qcom →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-28 • CIK 0000804328

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28), QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) reported GAAP revenue of $44.28B (+13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.96B , and +23.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.54B, operating cash flow of $14.01B, and free cash flow of $12.02B (+15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, QCOM closed FY2025 with $53.03B in total assets against $13.48B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.43, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-28 $44.28B $5.54B $14.01B $12.02B $53.03B $13.48B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-29 $38.96B $10.14B $12.20B $10.45B $55.58B $12.91B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-24 $35.82B $7.23B $11.30B $9.69B $107.10B $25.06B

3. QCOM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is QCOM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, QUALCOMM Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 86/100 at a spot price of $164.79 (-11.12% 1D, market cap $194.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, QCOM ranks #1 in composite RQD confidence.

How does QCOM compare to MSI and NOK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment), QCOM carries a Roarable A (86/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.1x, gross margin of 55.4%, and ROIC of 34.3%. By comparison, MSI (Motorola Solutions Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 37.8x, ROIC 24.4%, cap $81.44B) and NOK (Nokia Corporation Sponsored) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 14.9%, cap $53.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NOK leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while QCOM leads on capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for QCOM?

Per QCOM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-28, CIK 0000804328), QUALCOMM Incorporated generated $44.28B in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $5.54B in net income, and $12.02B in free cash flow against $53.03B in total assets and $13.48B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is QCOM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

QCOM last traded at $164.79 (-11.12% on volume of 24,111,918 shares), positioning the stock -7.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($178.87) and -2.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($169.77). Across its 52-week range of $121.99 to $259.92, QCOM sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($152.93 to $176.65).

QCOM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is QCOM stock moving today?

Why QCOM Stock dropped -11.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 86/100 (A) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

QCOM — QUALCOMM Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:08Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, QCOM scores 86 out of 100, a letter grade of A, labeled "Roarable Strong Buy — Excellent Cash & Whale Support." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 (ROIC 34.3%; FCF yield 6.17%), the strongest component and the main driver of the score; Whale 13F Flow at 16/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 15/20 (Beta 1.18; sector sensitivity), the weakest pillar and the one most exposed to market-wide swings; and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 6.43; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.55).

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars, which together account for 38 of 40 points in the cash and forensic categories. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 35.1 sits above the forward P/E of 29.5, meaning earnings are expected to rise, while EV/EBITDA of 14.2 is shown alongside a 52-week range of $121.99 to $259.92, so the current price of 185.41 sits well inside that band. The Macro Regime Fit pillar signals that a beta above 1.0 implies amplified sensitivity to broad tech selloffs, as the recent news wire itself reflects. This is an educational reading of the rating, not a personalized recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
185.41$194.72B35.129.514.25.280%1.18$121.99 - $259.9234.3%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items were reported: a Yahoo Finance trending-stock piece (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW); a Yahoo Finance piece on QCOM beating a market upswing (CATALYST, GREEN); a Seeking Alpha report that QUALCOMM dropped 12% as tech stocks fell (RISK WATCH, RED); a MarketBeat report of an average target price of $204.10 (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW); a Yahoo Finance valuation question (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW); and a Seeking Alpha piece titled that Qualcomm is at a turning point with enticing valuation (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sole active link is a mixed-constraint relationship with Arm (ARM), with next catalysts listed as Arm quarterly royalty growth and post-trial appellate rulings on Nuvia ALA scope. No proprietary signals are present in the graph.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, Arm is a direct supplier with a CONFIRMED_FILING evidence tier and a disclosed top-licensee concentration above 10%. The mechanism is that Qualcomm's custom Oryon core integration, via the Nuvia acquisition, limits Arm's transition from lower-rate architectural royalties to higher-rate Compute Subsystems royalties, which creates a mixed constraint rather than a clean tailwind. The source lists a competing explanation: favorable litigation outcomes preserving Qualcomm's existing ALA royalty rates, or RISC-V offload on microcontrollers, could limit Arm per-chip take-rate expansion. A prospective investor should watch the Arm royalty trajectory and the appellate rulings on Nuvia ALA scope as second-order signals. The supply-chain field is marked "NONE," so no additional upstream or downstream dependencies are documented in source data.

Open Questions

  • What drove the FY 2025 net income decline from $10142.0M to $5541.0M despite higher revenue, and is it recurring?
  • The FY 2025 EPS and FY 2024 and FY 2025 EPS values are N/A; what are the reported per-share figures?
  • What is the outcome and timing of the Arm/Nuvia ALA appellate process, and how would it change royalty economics?
  • What are the 13F institutional holders and insider transactions underlying the 16/20 and 17/20 pillar scores?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is missing from the source?

QCOM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to QCOM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

QCOM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $164.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON QCOM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on QCOM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $218.78 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is QCOM (A • RQD 86/100) a Buy at $185.41?

Welcome to the QCOM (QUALCOMM Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 86/100 (Roarable Strong Buy — Excellent Cash & Whale Support) in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (34.3% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (35.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $155.74 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $185.41

Pump the brakes on QCOM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on QCOM, but look at what you are paying: 35.1x trailing P/E with 55.4% gross margins. Unless QUALCOMM Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $220.64 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $185.41

QCOM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on QCOM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Radio And Television Broadcasting And Communications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $185.41 (52-wk range $121.99 - $259.92), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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